- The trend backdrop is active with a 66-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
2891
TAI
Week ended 14 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
CTBC Financial Holding Co., Ltd. · Financial Services · Banks - Regional
Latest close
65.80 TWD
0.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 15.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 83.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.3%, after a 6.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
63
out of 100
Latest Close
65.80 TWD
14 Aug 2026
1W Return
0.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
6.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
18.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
100.0%
52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.6x
vs 13-week average
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move 6.0%.
Indicator stack
100/45
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 59.24%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
0 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 15.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 83.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.3%, after a 6.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.9212-week average 0.95
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.92Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 6.0% over four weeks, 18.5% over 12 weeks, and 58.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 66 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak66 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.13Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-87.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-4.89Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change0.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-7.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
20 Mar
17 Apr
15 May
12 Jun
10 Jul
14 Aug
Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.1%Week of 5 Jun.
Worst week-8.1%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+0.3%Week of 14 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses2
Recent vol4.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.7% / -2.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorTW Financial Services
4-week rank14 / 54
Group average2.2%
Trend breadth85.2%
Trend85.2%active weekly trend signals
MD75.9%positive activity pressure
RS14.8%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryTW Banks - Regional
4-week rank4 / 19
Group average0.6%
Trend breadth89.5%
Trend89.5%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS15.8%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape63/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 63/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis67/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.92; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 59.24%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 59.24% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026 | 65.80 TWD | 0.3% | 56.77 TWD | 37.55 TWD | 0.13 | -4.89 | 140.5M | On |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 65.60 TWD | 1.1% | 56.18 TWD | 37.27 TWD | 0.36 | -2.14 | 160.0M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 64.90 TWD | 2.0% | 55.62 TWD | 36.99 TWD | 0.52 | -0.98 | 208.9M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 63.60 TWD | 2.4% | 55.06 TWD | 36.71 TWD | 0.74 | -4.46 | 202.6M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 62.10 TWD | -7.9% | 54.53 TWD | 36.44 TWD | 1.03 | -4.92 | 399.0M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 67.40 TWD | -1.0% | 53.96 TWD | 36.18 TWD | 1.20 | -3.29 | 0 | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 68.07 TWD | 0.4% | 53.14 TWD | 35.88 TWD | 1.49 | -5.67 | 219.7M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 67.79 TWD | -2.2% | 52.27 TWD | 35.58 TWD | 1.65 | -1.84 | 247.2M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 69.33 TWD | 6.4% | 51.40 TWD | 35.28 TWD | 1.62 | -4.00 | 178.4M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 65.18 TWD | 1.5% | 50.46 TWD | 34.97 TWD | 1.45 | -5.37 | 306.7M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 64.22 TWD | 10.1% | 49.64 TWD | 34.68 TWD | 1.00 | -8.95 | 357.0M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 58.34 TWD | 5.0% | 48.84 TWD | 34.40 TWD | 0.71 | -17.00 | 344.5M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 55.54 TWD | 5.1% | 48.25 TWD | 34.16 TWD | 0.27 | -16.88 | 309.2M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 52.84 TWD | -2.8% | 47.76 TWD | 33.92 TWD | 0.03 | -19.25 | 269.9M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.