- The trend backdrop is active with a 11-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
2801
TAI
Week ended 14 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Chang Hwa Commercial Bank, Ltd. · Financial Services · Banks - Regional
Latest close
23.55 TWD
1.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 87.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.7%, after a 4.4% four-week move. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
57
out of 100
Latest Close
23.55 TWD
14 Aug 2026
1W Return
1.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
4.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
22.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
96.2%
50 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.5x
vs 13-week average
- 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move 4.4%.
Indicator stack
91/74
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 87.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.7%, after a 4.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.9412-week average 0.75
12-week confirmation
Trend active11/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.94Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 4.4% over four weeks, 22.9% over 12 weeks, and 27.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 11 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak11 weeks
Active weeks in one year50
Trend breadth96.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.36Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-4.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-15.20Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change1.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment-
No current sentiment snapshot is stored.
Patient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-3.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
20 Mar
17 Apr
15 May
12 Jun
10 Jul
14 Aug
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.9%Week of 5 Jun.
Worst week-3.9%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+1.7%Week of 14 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains12
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses0
Recent vol2.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.0% / -1.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorTW Financial Services
4-week rank17 / 54
Group average2.2%
Trend breadth85.2%
Trend85.2%active weekly trend signals
MD75.9%positive activity pressure
RS14.8%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryTW Banks - Regional
4-week rank5 / 19
Group average0.6%
Trend breadth89.5%
Trend89.5%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS15.8%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape56/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 56/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis58/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 11/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.94; 4 reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100No sentiment snapshot is stored yet.
Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026 | 23.55 TWD | 1.7% | 20.58 TWD | 16.85 TWD | 1.36 | -15.20 | 86.9M | On |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 23.15 TWD | -2.7% | 20.44 TWD | 16.79 TWD | 1.41 | -14.35 | 242.5M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 23.79 TWD | 3.5% | 20.31 TWD | 16.73 TWD | 1.39 | -10.45 | 225.6M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 22.98 TWD | 1.9% | 20.17 TWD | 16.67 TWD | 1.39 | -15.07 | 177.6M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 22.56 TWD | -0.6% | 20.06 TWD | 16.62 TWD | 1.42 | -15.36 | 94.9M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 22.70 TWD | 3.2% | 19.96 TWD | 16.57 TWD | 1.49 | -20.48 | 72.8M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 21.99 TWD | -0.4% | 19.86 TWD | 16.51 TWD | 1.55 | -25.89 | 285.1M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 22.09 TWD | 2.4% | 19.76 TWD | 16.47 TWD | 1.16 | -22.51 | 121.3M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 21.57 TWD | 1.1% | 19.65 TWD | 16.42 TWD | 0.60 | -27.93 | 117.2M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 21.33 TWD | 5.4% | 19.57 TWD | 16.37 TWD | 0.01 | -25.61 | 274.8M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 20.25 TWD | 5.9% | 19.50 TWD | 16.33 TWD | -0.54 | -31.35 | 204.4M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 19.11 TWD | -0.2% | 19.45 TWD | 16.29 TWD | -0.59 | -35.27 | 158.8M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 19.16 TWD | 0.2% | 19.45 TWD | 16.25 TWD | -0.42 | -31.96 | 97.4M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 19.11 TWD | -3.3% | 19.45 TWD | 16.22 TWD | -0.20 | -30.90 | 130.8M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.