SAO Equity Snapshot

P1GR34 Weekly Equity Report

The Progressive Corporation

Latest Close 514.3 BRL 12 Jun 2026
1W Return 6.4% latest completed week
4W Return 1.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return -5.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.2x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

The Progressive Corporation operates as an insurance company in the United States. It writes insurance for personal autos and special lines products, including motorcycles, RVs, and watercraft; and personal residential property insurance for homeowners and renters. The company also writes auto-related liability and physical damage insurance for comprising dump trucks, log trucks, garbage trucks, tractors, trailers, straight trucks, tow trucks and wreckers, vans, pick-up trucks, and autos; business-related general liability and commercial property insurance for small businesses; and workers' compensation insurance for the transportation industry. In addition, it offers other specialty property-casualty insurance and provides …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

P1GR34 closed the latest completed week at 514.3 BRL. The 4-week return is 1.4% and the 12-week return is -5.6%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is -0.01. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 22/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Inactive
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend -4.3%
Volume 0.2x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 0 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 48 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 58 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 0 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 6 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 22 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
537.3 BRL
Vs Trend Line
-4.3%
Fair Value
554.3 BRL
Vs Fair Value
-7.2%
52W High
713.1 BRL
52W Low
474.0 BRL
Drawdown
-27.9%
Range Position
16.8%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W 6.4%
4W 1.4%
12W -5.6%
26W -15.4%
52W -27.6%

Trend read

Active Streak
0 weeks
52W Active Weeks
0
52W Active Breadth
0.0%
Sector Scope
BR Financial Services
Sector Rank
10 of 109
Sector Percentile
91.7%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
-0.01
4W MD Change
97.8%
Relative Strength
-18.08
4W RS Change
30.5%
Expectation
Negative
Probability
44.91%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
24
13W Average
156
52W Average
321
Vs 13W
0.2x
Vs 52W
0.1x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
4.2%
52W Volatility
3.3%
Upside Weeks
23
Downside Weeks
29
Downside Breadth
55.8%
Avg Gain / Loss
2.2% / -2.8%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
SAO
Country
BR
Sector
Financial Services
Industry
Insurance - Property & Casualty
Currency
BRL
Market Cap
564.7B

Opportunity signals

  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.

Risk signals

  • Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 514.3 BRL 6.4% 537.3 BRL 554.3 BRL -0.01 -18.08 24 Off
5 Jun 2026 483.4 BRL -0.2% 539.3 BRL 552.8 BRL -0.11 -22.92 5 Off
29 May 2026 484.4 BRL -2.7% 541.6 BRL 551.7 BRL -0.20 -25.88 163 Off
22 May 2026 497.9 BRL -1.8% 543.2 BRL 550.5 BRL -0.22 -25.95 222 Off
15 May 2026 507.1 BRL 7.0% 545.5 BRL 549.3 BRL -0.31 -26.02 211 Off
8 May 2026 474.0 BRL -6.9% 548.0 BRL 548.0 BRL -0.56 -34.30 47 Off
1 May 2026 509.0 BRL -1.1% 553.4 BRL 547.0 BRL -0.52 -31.71 9 Off
24 Apr 2026 514.5 BRL 0.7% 557.5 BRL 545.6 BRL -0.73 -33.16 4 Off
17 Apr 2026 510.8 BRL 5.2% 561.1 BRL 544.4 BRL -0.83 -36.14 10 Off
10 Apr 2026 485.5 BRL -1.0% 564.7 BRL 543.2 BRL -0.75 -40.66 1.1K Off
3 Apr 2026 490.5 BRL -5.8% 569.9 BRL 542.1 BRL -0.60 -38.12 3 Off
27 Mar 2026 520.8 BRL -4.4% 574.7 BRL 541.2 BRL -0.36 -32.89 186 Off
20 Mar 2026 544.9 BRL -0.4% 578.6 BRL 540.0 BRL -0.34 -28.61 50 Off
13 Mar 2026 547.4 BRL -0.9% 582.0 BRL 538.7 BRL -0.46 -29.68 155 Off