- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
PEP
GER
Week ended 02 Oct 2026
Weekly Investor Report
PepsiCo, Inc. · Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
Latest close
111.34 EUR
-0.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -10.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 0.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.8%, after a -6.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 49/100.
Setup score
39
out of 100
Latest Close
111.34 EUR
2 Oct 2026
1W Return
-0.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
-6.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-6.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
61.5%
32 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.0x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-0.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move -6.5%.
Indicator stack
34/37
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
49/100
43 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -10.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 0.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.8%, after a -6.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.0x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
21 Aug
28 Aug
4 Sep
11 Sep
18 Sep
25 Sep
2 Oct
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0112-week average 0.05
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.01Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -6.5% over four weeks, -6.9% over 12 weeks, and -5.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year32
Trend breadth61.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.71Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change0.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-13.15Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-24.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 02 Oct 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026
Field coverage 97%
Model confidence 96%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength41/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 60; rank 1 is best.
Value37/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
Quality80/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 21; rank 1 is best.
Momentum32/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 69; rank 1 is best.
Growth23/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework68/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 14.5x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.6x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 10.4x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 4.8% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 54.0% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 14.8% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 9.6% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 17.6% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 2.3% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -13.7% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 6.7% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 4.6% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.6% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 5.2% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 2.3x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment49/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 43 relevant articles.
3 positive · 34 neutral · 6 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-21.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility1.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
31 Jul
28 Aug
2 Oct
Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+1.7%Week of 5 Jun.
Worst week-5.0%Week of 10 Jul.
Latest week-0.8%Week of 2 Oct.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains0
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses14
Sharp losses2
Recent vol1.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.3% / -1.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorDE Consumer Defensive
4-week rank27 / 36
Group average-1.6%
Trend breadth47.2%
Trend47.2%active weekly trend signals
MD33.3%positive activity pressure
RS22.2%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryDE Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
4-week rank2 / 2
Group average-3.1%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape38/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 38/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis9/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.01; No reversal markers Factors47/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 27 SVQF68/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 108.0 of 336 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment49/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 43 relevant articles.
PepsiCo Sharpens Price-Pack Strategy: Can Affordability Pay Off? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 111.34 EUR | -0.8% | 124.07 EUR | 130.95 EUR | -0.71 | -13.15 | 26.9K | Off |
| 25 Sep 2026 | 112.24 EUR | -1.2% | 124.83 EUR | 131.10 EUR | -0.47 | -13.19 | 34.1K | Off |
| 18 Sep 2026 | 113.62 EUR | -3.6% | 125.74 EUR | 131.30 EUR | -0.47 | -11.92 | 33.9K | Off |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 117.88 EUR | -1.0% | 126.49 EUR | 131.52 EUR | -0.53 | -9.70 | 20.2K | Off |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 119.10 EUR | -0.4% | 127.16 EUR | 131.73 EUR | -0.72 | -10.56 | 23.4K | Off |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 119.54 EUR | -0.8% | 127.83 EUR | 131.91 EUR | -1.06 | -12.19 | 993 | Off |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 120.52 EUR | 0.2% | 127.96 EUR | 132.08 EUR | -1.13 | -10.19 | 2.3K | Off |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 120.29 EUR | 1.7% | 127.92 EUR | 132.26 EUR | -1.28 | -11.53 | 2.7K | Off |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 118.29 EUR | -1.4% | 128.02 EUR | 132.42 EUR | -1.27 | -12.75 | 4.2K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 119.95 EUR | 0.3% | 128.00 EUR | 132.62 EUR | -1.24 | -9.28 | 6.5K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 119.62 EUR | -1.5% | 127.97 EUR | 132.82 EUR | -1.18 | -7.71 | 844 | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 121.48 EUR | 1.6% | 127.99 EUR | 133.04 EUR | -1.10 | -5.28 | 11.2K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 119.56 EUR | -5.0% | 128.09 EUR | 133.24 EUR | -1.16 | -7.65 | 8.1K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 125.90 EUR | 1.3% | 128.28 EUR | 133.42 EUR | -1.16 | -5.35 | 1.2K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.