PEP GER Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

PepsiCo, Inc. · Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic

Latest close 119.8 EUR
-1.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 20.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.4%, after a 0.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100.

Setup score 44 out of 100
Latest Close 119.8 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -1.4% latest completed week
4W Return 0.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return -5.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 61.5% 32 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 20.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.4%, after a 0.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.9x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0612-week average 0.34

12-week confirmation

Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.06Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 0.2% over four weeks, -5.6% over 12 weeks, and 1.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.4%
4W0.2%
12W-5.6%
26W-14.0%
52W1.1%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year32
Trend breadth61.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.84Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change20.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-11.71Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-53.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 85%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength36/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 65; rank 1 is best.
Value30/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Quality83/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
Momentum38/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 63; rank 1 is best.
Growth25/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework69/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
18.7x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
12.6x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
54.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
14.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
9.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
16.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
2.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-13.7%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
6.7%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
4.2%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.5%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
4.7%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 34 relevant articles.

12 positive · 15 neutral · 7 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-15.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+3.1%Week of 13 Mar.
Worst week-6.0%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week-1.4%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains0
Modest gains12
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses3
Recent vol2.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.4% / -1.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryDE Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
4-week rank2 / 2
Group average1.5%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026119.8 EUR-1.4%128.1 EUR132.4 EUR-0.84-11.7132.7KOff
31 Jul 2026121.4 EUR1.5%128.1 EUR132.6 EUR-0.83-8.1846.1KOff
24 Jul 2026119.6 EUR-1.5%128.0 EUR132.8 EUR-0.92-7.7124.1KOff
17 Jul 2026121.5 EUR1.6%128.0 EUR133.0 EUR-0.95-5.2829.6KOff
10 Jul 2026119.6 EUR-5.0%128.1 EUR133.2 EUR-1.06-7.6536.7KOff
3 Jul 2026125.9 EUR1.3%128.3 EUR133.4 EUR-1.16-5.351.2KOff
26 Jun 2026124.3 EUR0.1%128.2 EUR133.6 EUR-1.24-2.241.6KOff
19 Jun 2026124.2 EUR0.5%128.1 EUR133.7 EUR-1.14-3.33368Off
12 Jun 2026123.6 EUR-0.3%128.1 EUR133.9 EUR-1.10-2.315.6KOff
5 Jun 2026123.9 EUR1.7%128.0 EUR134.1 EUR-1.01-2.404.2KOff
29 May 2026121.8 EUR-4.2%127.9 EUR134.3 EUR-0.84-5.2119.4KOff
22 May 2026127.2 EUR0.2%127.9 EUR134.5 EUR-0.70-0.097.7KOn
15 May 2026126.9 EUR-2.8%127.9 EUR134.6 EUR-0.503.8012.1KOn
8 May 2026130.5 EUR-1.8%127.9 EUR134.8 EUR-0.235.3012.0KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context