- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
CEPU
NYSE
Week ended 11 Sep 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Central Puerto S.A. · Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric
Latest close
14.13 USD
0.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 60.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.6%, after a 7.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 63/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 53d.
Setup score
32
out of 100
Latest Close
14.13 USD
11 Sep 2026
1W Return
0.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
7.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-9.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
40.4%
21 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.7x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move 7.7%.
Indicator stack
22/11
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Options pressure
Volatility
63/100 conviction; expected move 19.5%.
News sentiment
52/100
12 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
53d
Next report is scheduled for 11 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 60.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.6%, after a 7.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
21 Aug
28 Aug
4 Sep
11 Sep
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1612-week average 0.25
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.16Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 7.7% over four weeks, -9.8% over 12 weeks, and 65.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year21
Trend breadth40.4%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.01Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-256.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-10.37Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change40.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 11 Sep 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026
Field coverage 94%
Model confidence 94%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength43/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 58; rank 1 is best.
Value46/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 55; rank 1 is best.
Quality44/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 57; rank 1 is best.
Momentum47/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 54; rank 1 is best.
Growth47/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 54; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- - Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- - Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 34.1% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 21.3% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 3.7% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 6.7% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 13.0% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 431.8% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -23.9% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 7/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 6.0% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- - Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- - Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.8x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningVolatility
CEPU shows volatility options pressure with a 63/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 400.00, expected move of 19.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction63/100
Expected move19.5%
Put/call volume400.00
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment52/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 12 relevant articles.
4 positive · 8 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings53dNext report is scheduled for 11 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move19.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-23.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
20 Mar
17 Apr
15 May
12 Jun
10 Jul
7 Aug
11 Sep
Weeks higher11 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.3%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-8.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Latest week+0.6%Week of 11 Sep.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains6
Flat weeks1
Modest losses7
Sharp losses7
Recent vol4.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol11.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew9.1% / -4.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Utilities
4-week rank7 / 100
Group average-4.0%
Trend breadth21.0%
Trend21.0%active weekly trend signals
MD21.0%positive activity pressure
RS7.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Utilities - Regulated Electric
4-week rank5 / 43
Group average-3.2%
Trend breadth11.6%
Trend11.6%active weekly trend signals
MD7.0%positive activity pressure
RS7.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape28/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 28/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis11/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.16; No reversal markers Factors44/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 50; Small Cap Core rank 57 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options50/100CEPU shows volatility options pressure with a 63/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 400.00, expected move of 19.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 19.5% Sentiment52/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 12 relevant articles.
Is It Too Late to Buy Central Puerto SA (CEPU) After 6.1% Rally? GF Value Says Undervalued Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings53dNext report is scheduled for 11 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep 2026 | 14.13 USD | 0.6% | 14.79 USD | 11.68 USD | -1.01 | -10.37 | 781.2K | Off |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 14.04 USD | 4.9% | 14.84 USD | 11.62 USD | -0.89 | -11.18 | 1.3M | Off |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 13.38 USD | 3.1% | 14.89 USD | 11.57 USD | -0.80 | -15.07 | 984.6K | Off |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 12.98 USD | -1.1% | 14.99 USD | 11.52 USD | -0.48 | -17.17 | 819.5K | Off |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 13.12 USD | -6.2% | 15.11 USD | 11.48 USD | -0.28 | -17.45 | 1.6M | Off |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 13.98 USD | -8.4% | 15.18 USD | 11.43 USD | -0.40 | -11.81 | 1.1M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 15.26 USD | 3.2% | 15.28 USD | 11.38 USD | -0.41 | -0.54 | 1.2M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 14.78 USD | 3.6% | 15.35 USD | 11.32 USD | -0.61 | -2.54 | 869.4K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 14.27 USD | -6.5% | 15.44 USD | 11.26 USD | -0.63 | -6.38 | 827.2K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 15.26 USD | 4.1% | 15.55 USD | 11.21 USD | -0.47 | -1.36 | 1.1M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 14.66 USD | -0.8% | 15.58 USD | 11.15 USD | -0.32 | -3.74 | 1.2M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 14.78 USD | -5.7% | 15.66 USD | 11.10 USD | -0.38 | -0.79 | 1.4M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 15.67 USD | -1.8% | 15.70 USD | 11.04 USD | -0.37 | 2.76 | 1.1M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 15.95 USD | 8.9% | 15.64 USD | 10.98 USD | -0.54 | 5.68 | 1.8M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.