- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
PAGS
NYSE
Week ended 11 Sep 2026
Weekly Investor Report
PagSeguro Digital Ltd · Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Latest close
10.12 USD
4.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 6.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 49.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.0%, after a 16.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bearish with 45/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 49/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 54d.
Setup score
52
out of 100
Latest Close
10.12 USD
11 Sep 2026
1W Return
4.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
16.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
14.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
59.6%
31 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.9x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
4.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move 16.1%.
Indicator stack
33/69
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Options pressure
Bearish
45/100 conviction; expected move 4.9%.
News sentiment
49/100
16 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
54d
Next report is scheduled for 11 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 6.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 49.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.0%, after a 16.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
21 Aug
28 Aug
4 Sep
11 Sep
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1212-week average 0.12
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.12Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 16.1% over four weeks, 14.7% over 12 weeks, and 11.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year31
Trend breadth59.6%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.33Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change165.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-2.86Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change84.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 11 Sep 2026
Financial statements through
Field coverage 46%
Model confidence 46%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength38/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 63; rank 1 is best.
Value44/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 57; rank 1 is best.
Quality42/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 59; rank 1 is best.
Momentum44/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 57; rank 1 is best.
Growth44/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 57; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework84/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- - Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- - Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- - Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- - Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- - Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- - Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- - Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- - Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 2.6% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 2.6% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- - Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBearish
PAGS shows bearish options pressure with a 45/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.89, expected move of 4.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction45/100
Expected move4.9%
Put/call volume1.89
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment49/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.
1 positive · 13 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings54dNext report is scheduled for 11 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move4.9%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-15.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
20 Mar
17 Apr
15 May
12 Jun
10 Jul
7 Aug
11 Sep
Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.4%Week of 4 Sep.
Worst week-12.2%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+4.0%Week of 11 Sep.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses5
Recent vol3.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.2% / -4.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Technology
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-3.2%
Trend breadth63.0%
Trend63.0%active weekly trend signals
MD42.0%positive activity pressure
RS56.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Software - Infrastructure
4-week rank4 / 100
Group average-4.9%
Trend breadth64.0%
Trend64.0%active weekly trend signals
MD63.0%positive activity pressure
RS46.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape45/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 45/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis12/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.12; No reversal markers Factors41/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 50; Small Cap Core rank 59 SVQF84/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 172.0 of 1043 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options54/100PAGS shows bearish options pressure with a 45/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.89, expected move of 4.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 4.9% Sentiment49/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.
PagSeguro Digital Ltd's Dividend Analysis Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings54dNext report is scheduled for 11 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep 2026 | 10.12 USD | 4.0% | 9.49 USD | 9.30 USD | 0.33 | -2.86 | 12.8M | Off |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 9.73 USD | 9.4% | 9.49 USD | 9.29 USD | -0.03 | -7.42 | 16.4M | Off |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 8.89 USD | 3.1% | 9.53 USD | 9.28 USD | -0.38 | -15.52 | 10.7M | Off |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 8.62 USD | -1.1% | 9.60 USD | 9.28 USD | -0.34 | -17.91 | 11.8M | Off |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 8.72 USD | -4.6% | 9.66 USD | 9.28 USD | -0.50 | -18.30 | 18.0M | Off |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 9.14 USD | -5.2% | 9.70 USD | 9.27 USD | -0.68 | -14.30 | 12.3M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 9.64 USD | 4.8% | 9.73 USD | 9.27 USD | -0.79 | -6.58 | 12.3M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 9.20 USD | 1.8% | 9.72 USD | 9.27 USD | -1.00 | -9.76 | 14.3M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 9.04 USD | -2.3% | 9.72 USD | 9.28 USD | -0.86 | -11.83 | 14.6M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 9.25 USD | 1.4% | 9.73 USD | 9.28 USD | -0.81 | -11.18 | 17.2M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 9.12 USD | 0.6% | 9.75 USD | 9.28 USD | -0.89 | -11.36 | 9.8M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 9.07 USD | 2.8% | 9.76 USD | 9.27 USD | -0.99 | -10.19 | 19.8M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 8.82 USD | -1.6% | 9.80 USD | 9.27 USD | -1.20 | -14.99 | 15.5M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 8.96 USD | 5.0% | 9.82 USD | 9.28 USD | -1.22 | -13.15 | 14.0M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.