- The trend backdrop is active with a 1-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
MSFT01
SET
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Microsoft Corporation · Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Latest close
4.86 THB
10.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 24.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 79.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 10.5%, after a 27.2% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
59
out of 100
Latest Close
4.86 THB
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
10.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
27.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
24.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
1.9%
1 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.6x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
10.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move 27.2%.
Indicator stack
5/100
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Recent
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
4 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 24.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 79.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 10.5%, after a 27.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3312-week average 0.27
12-week confirmation
Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.33Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 27.2% over four weeks, 24.2% over 12 weeks, and -1.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 1 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak1 weeks
Active weeks in one year1
Trend breadth1.9%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.40Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change13434.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-2.26Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change91.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 4 relevant articles.
0 positive · 4 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalRecent
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-7.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.2%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-8.7%Week of 12 Jun.
Latest week+10.5%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains7
Flat weeks4
Modest losses7
Sharp losses3
Recent vol6.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split20/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.7% / -3.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorTH Technology
4-week rank5 / 94
Group average2.6%
Trend breadth53.2%
Trend53.2%active weekly trend signals
MD70.2%positive activity pressure
RS33.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryTH Software - Infrastructure
4-week rank2 / 10
Group average13.5%
Trend breadth40.0%
Trend40.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS10.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape50/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 50/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis34/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 1/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.33; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalRecentActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 4 relevant articles.
Microsoft Stock Soars on Solid Q4 Results Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 4.86 THB | 10.5% | 3.90 THB | 4.34 THB | 0.40 | -2.26 | 8.6M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 4.40 THB | 15.2% | 3.88 THB | 4.33 THB | 0.33 | -12.61 | 8.0M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 3.82 THB | -2.1% | 3.88 THB | 4.33 THB | 0.15 | -25.69 | 2.4M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 3.90 THB | 2.1% | 3.91 THB | 4.34 THB | 0.11 | -24.68 | 4.6M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 3.82 THB | 1.1% | 3.92 THB | 4.34 THB | -0.00 | -26.18 | 27.3M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 3.78 THB | 7.4% | 3.95 THB | 4.35 THB | -0.11 | -27.32 | 223.9K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 3.52 THB | -4.9% | 3.97 THB | 4.36 THB | 0.06 | -30.08 | 2.8M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 3.70 THB | -2.1% | 4.01 THB | 4.38 THB | 0.35 | -28.81 | 315.8K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 3.78 THB | -8.7% | 4.03 THB | 4.39 THB | 0.62 | -28.99 | 1.7M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 4.14 THB | 1.0% | 4.07 THB | 4.40 THB | 0.74 | -22.49 | 1.5M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 4.10 THB | 1.5% | 4.09 THB | 4.40 THB | 0.81 | -23.12 | 4.6M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 4.04 THB | 3.2% | 4.12 THB | 4.41 THB | 0.76 | -23.31 | 4.3M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 3.91 THB | -2.0% | 4.15 THB | 4.42 THB | 0.71 | -25.14 | 2.3M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 3.99 THB | 0.0% | 4.18 THB | 4.43 THB | 0.73 | - | 4.6M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.