- The trend backdrop is active with a 1-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
MSFT80
SET
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Microsoft Corporation · Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Latest close
8.20 THB
9.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 23.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 79.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 9.3%, after a 26.2% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
56
out of 100
Latest Close
8.20 THB
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
9.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
26.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
23.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
1.9%
1 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.7x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 38.71% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
9.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move 26.2%.
Indicator stack
5/100
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Recent
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 38.71%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
5 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 23.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 79.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 9.3%, after a 26.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.2912-week average 0.21
12-week confirmation
Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.29Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 26.2% over four weeks, 23.6% over 12 weeks, and -1.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 1 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak1 weeks
Active weeks in one year1
Trend breadth1.9%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.53Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change1832.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-2.77Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change89.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.
0 positive · 5 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalRecent
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-6.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.4%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-8.5%Week of 12 Jun.
Latest week+9.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains7
Flat weeks3
Modest losses8
Sharp losses3
Recent vol6.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.6% / -3.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorTH Technology
4-week rank6 / 94
Group average2.6%
Trend breadth53.2%
Trend53.2%active weekly trend signals
MD70.2%positive activity pressure
RS33.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryTH Software - Infrastructure
4-week rank3 / 10
Group average13.5%
Trend breadth40.0%
Trend40.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS10.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape47/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 47/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis33/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 1/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.29; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 38.71%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 38.71% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalRecentActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.
Price to earnings forward of Microsoft Corporation Thailand Depositery Receipts Repr 0.01 Sh – SET:MSFT06 Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 8.20 THB | 9.3% | 6.62 THB | 7.35 THB | 0.53 | -2.77 | 11.8M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 7.50 THB | 15.4% | 6.60 THB | 7.34 THB | 0.41 | -12.16 | 17.9M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 6.50 THB | -2.3% | 6.60 THB | 7.34 THB | 0.23 | -25.43 | 5.1M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 6.65 THB | 2.3% | 6.64 THB | 7.35 THB | 0.14 | -24.28 | 8.3M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 6.50 THB | 0.0% | 6.67 THB | 7.36 THB | -0.03 | -25.94 | 7.8M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 6.50 THB | 9.2% | 6.70 THB | 7.38 THB | -0.11 | -26.29 | 1.5M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 5.95 THB | -4.8% | 6.74 THB | 7.39 THB | 0.02 | -30.28 | 3.4M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 6.25 THB | -3.1% | 6.80 THB | 7.42 THB | 0.28 | -29.05 | 1.1M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 6.45 THB | -8.5% | 6.85 THB | 7.44 THB | 0.55 | -28.53 | 2.7M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 7.05 THB | 0.7% | 6.91 THB | 7.45 THB | 0.71 | -22.12 | 1.7M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 7.00 THB | 2.9% | 6.94 THB | 7.46 THB | 0.74 | -22.56 | 7.6M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 6.80 THB | 2.5% | 6.99 THB | 7.47 THB | 0.72 | -23.84 | 12.5M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 6.64 THB | -2.2% | 7.05 THB | 7.48 THB | 0.66 | -25.10 | 8.2M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 6.79 THB | 0.7% | 7.10 THB | 7.50 THB | 0.66 | -22.99 | 5.6M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.