- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
MSFT19
SET
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Microsoft Corporation · Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Latest close
5.50 THB
10.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is - below the Trend Line and sits at 100.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 10.4%, after a 27.3% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
44
out of 100
Latest Close
5.50 THB
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
10.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
27.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
23.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
0.0%
0 of 29 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.7x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 31.12% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
10.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move 27.3%.
Indicator stack
0/50
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 31.12%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
51/100
21 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is - below the Trend Line and sits at 100.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 10.4%, after a 27.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3612-week average 0.26
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.36Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 27.3% over four weeks, 23.5% over 12 weeks, and - over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.00Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment51/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 21 relevant articles.
2 positive · 18 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown0.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher10 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.3%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-8.5%Week of 12 Jun.
Latest week+10.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains5
Flat weeks5
Modest losses8
Sharp losses3
Recent vol6.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split10/13Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.2% / -3.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorTH Technology
4-week rank4 / 94
Group average2.6%
Trend breadth53.2%
Trend53.2%active weekly trend signals
MD70.2%positive activity pressure
RS33.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryTH Software - Infrastructure
4-week rank1 / 10
Group average13.5%
Trend breadth40.0%
Trend40.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS10.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape34/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 34/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis7/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.36; 4 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 31.12%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 31.12% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment51/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 21 relevant articles.
Price to earnings forward of Microsoft Corporation Thailand Depositery Receipts Repr 0.01 Sh – SET:MSFT06 Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 5.50 THB | 10.4% | - | 4.40 THB | 0.00 | - | 183.6K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 4.98 THB | 15.3% | - | 4.36 THB | - | - | 768.6K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 4.32 THB | -2.7% | - | 4.34 THB | - | - | 127.8K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 4.44 THB | 2.8% | - | 4.34 THB | - | - | 279.6K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 4.32 THB | 0.0% | - | 4.33 THB | - | - | 210.3K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 4.32 THB | 8.5% | - | 4.33 THB | - | - | 5.0K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 3.98 THB | -4.3% | - | 4.34 THB | 0.00 | - | 2.0K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 4.16 THB | -2.8% | - | 4.35 THB | 0.00 | - | 74 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 4.28 THB | -8.5% | - | 4.36 THB | 0.00 | - | 16.2K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 4.68 THB | 0.0% | - | 4.36 THB | 0.00 | - | 1.1M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 4.68 THB | 2.6% | - | 4.35 THB | 0.00 | - | 260.3K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 4.56 THB | 2.4% | - | 4.33 THB | 0.00 | - | 518.7K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 4.45 THB | -1.8% | - | 4.32 THB | 0.00 | - | 118.3K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 4.53 THB | 0.0% | - | 4.31 THB | 0.00 | - | 127.8K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.