- The trend backdrop is active with a 15-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
FPR
ASX
Week ended 09 Oct 2026
Weekly Investor Report
FleetPartners Group Limited · Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services
Latest close
4.75 AUD
1.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 48.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 100.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.7%, after a 15.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
76
out of 100
Latest Close
4.75 AUD
9 Oct 2026
1W Return
1.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
15.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
63.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
40.4%
21 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.1x
vs 13-week average
- 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move 15.0%.
Indicator stack
67/81
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
5 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 48.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 100.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.7%, after a 15.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.1x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
21 Aug
28 Aug
4 Sep
11 Sep
18 Sep
25 Sep
2 Oct
9 Oct
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.9412-week average 0.84
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.94Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 15.0% over four weeks, 63.8% over 12 weeks, and 85.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 15 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak15 weeks
Active weeks in one year21
Trend breadth40.4%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.66Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change9.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership61.08Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change27.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 02 Oct 2026
Financial statements through 30 Sep 2025
Field coverage 94%
Model confidence 53%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength27/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 74; rank 1 is best.
Value14/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
Quality7/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 94; rank 1 is best.
Momentum97/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Growth13/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework17/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 13.2x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.5x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 7.5x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -3.4% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 62.9% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 14.6% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -12.7% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 3.2% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 1.8% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 3.4% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 3/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 5.5% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 5.7% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 11.2% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 4.5x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.
0 positive · 5 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown0.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
17 Apr
15 May
12 Jun
10 Jul
7 Aug
4 Sep
9 Oct
Weeks higher14 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+22.6%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-3.3%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week+1.7%Week of 9 Oct.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains9
Flat weeks1
Modest losses11
Sharp losses0
Recent vol8.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.3% / -2.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Industrials
4-week rank5 / 100
Group average-0.8%
Trend breadth43.0%
Trend43.0%active weekly trend signals
MD56.0%positive activity pressure
RS47.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Rental & Leasing Services
4-week rank1 / 3
Group average10.0%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS66.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape72/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 72/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis83/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.94; 4 reversal markers Factors33/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 2; Small Cap Core rank 13 SVQF17/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 219.5 of 264 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.
FleetPartners Group (ASX:FPR): Are Novated Leases Powering Growth? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | 4.75 AUD | 1.7% | 3.21 AUD | 2.86 AUD | 1.66 | 61.08 | 3.7M | On |
| 2 Oct 2026 | 4.67 AUD | 0.9% | 3.14 AUD | 2.84 AUD | 1.67 | 61.37 | 3.6M | On |
| 25 Sep 2026 | 4.63 AUD | -1.1% | 3.06 AUD | 2.82 AUD | 1.64 | 62.54 | 3.6M | On |
| 18 Sep 2026 | 4.68 AUD | 13.3% | 2.99 AUD | 2.81 AUD | 1.59 | 65.34 | 6.7M | On |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 4.13 AUD | -2.1% | 2.92 AUD | 2.80 AUD | 1.51 | 47.78 | 2.3M | On |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 4.22 AUD | 0.5% | 2.87 AUD | 2.79 AUD | 1.54 | 48.29 | 302.9K | On |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 4.20 AUD | 0.0% | 2.81 AUD | 2.78 AUD | 1.55 | 47.82 | 146.8K | On |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 4.20 AUD | -0.2% | 2.76 AUD | 2.77 AUD | 1.33 | 49.98 | 263.1K | On |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 4.21 AUD | 21.3% | 2.71 AUD | 2.76 AUD | 1.05 | 51.15 | 1.2M | On |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 3.47 AUD | 22.6% | 2.66 AUD | 2.75 AUD | 0.76 | 24.06 | 550.1K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 2.83 AUD | 0.7% | 2.64 AUD | 2.74 AUD | 0.61 | 5.02 | 533.8K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 2.81 AUD | -3.1% | 2.64 AUD | 2.74 AUD | 0.68 | 6.85 | 143.6K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 2.90 AUD | -2.7% | 2.64 AUD | 2.74 AUD | 0.76 | 10.09 | 114.0K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 2.98 AUD | 1.4% | 2.63 AUD | 2.73 AUD | 0.76 | 12.99 | 330.4K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.