- The trend backdrop is active with a 37-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 62.81% based on similar historical setup states.
TYIA
GER
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Johnson Controls International plc · Industrials · Building Products & Equipment
Latest close
133.6 EUR
5.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 99.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.6%, after a 6.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
70
out of 100
Latest Close
133.6 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
5.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
6.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
12.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
71.2%
37 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.2x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
5.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move 6.3%.
Indicator stack
84/20
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 62.81%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
52/100
22 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 99.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.6%, after a 6.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.7812-week average 0.80
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.78Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 6.3% over four weeks, 12.1% over 12 weeks, and 160.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 37 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak37 weeks
Active weeks in one year37
Trend breadth71.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.38Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-283.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership16.77Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-4.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 85%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength35/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Value9/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
Quality63/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 38; rank 1 is best.
Momentum97/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Growth82/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 22.9x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 3.3x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 25.5x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 1.5% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 36.6% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 13.8% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 5.6% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 11.3% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 2.8% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 109.4% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -39.8% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.8% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 6.9% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 7.6% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 2.5x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment52/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.
2 positive · 20 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-0.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher15 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.8%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-5.9%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+5.6%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains8
Modest gains7
Flat weeks2
Modest losses8
Sharp losses1
Recent vol3.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol13.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.8% / -2.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorDE Industrials
4-week rank41 / 100
Group average4.0%
Trend breadth49.0%
Trend49.0%active weekly trend signals
MD59.0%positive activity pressure
RS53.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryDE Building Products & Equipment
4-week rank2 / 6
Group average-0.1%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS33.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape69/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 69/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis66/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.78; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 62.81%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 62.81% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors49/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 4; Small Cap Core rank 85 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment52/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.
Rathbones Group PLC Lowers Stock Holdings in Johnson Controls International plc $JCI Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 133.6 EUR | 5.6% | 117.1 EUR | 62.48 EUR | -0.38 | 16.77 | 175 | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 126.5 EUR | 0.2% | 116.0 EUR | 61.79 EUR | -0.43 | 14.21 | 460 | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 126.3 EUR | 2.4% | 115.2 EUR | 61.14 EUR | -0.20 | 16.91 | 114 | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 123.3 EUR | -1.9% | 114.2 EUR | 60.49 EUR | -0.01 | 15.88 | 123 | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 125.7 EUR | -3.7% | 113.3 EUR | 59.87 EUR | 0.21 | 17.48 | 159 | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 130.5 EUR | 2.2% | 112.4 EUR | 59.22 EUR | 0.05 | 19.07 | 0 | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 127.8 EUR | 0.4% | 111.3 EUR | 58.55 EUR | -0.15 | 22.34 | 0 | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 127.2 EUR | 4.5% | 110.4 EUR | 57.89 EUR | -0.46 | 20.87 | 400 | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 121.7 EUR | -3.4% | 109.6 EUR | 57.24 EUR | -0.57 | 17.88 | 0 | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 126.0 EUR | 8.8% | 107.3 EUR | 56.62 EUR | -0.42 | 21.97 | 0 | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 115.9 EUR | 0.0% | 104.9 EUR | 55.98 EUR | -0.36 | 11.00 | 5 | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 115.8 EUR | -2.8% | 102.8 EUR | 55.40 EUR | -0.08 | 12.30 | 440 | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 119.2 EUR | 0.0% | 100.5 EUR | 54.82 EUR | 0.00 | 20.56 | 0 | On |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 119.2 EUR | 0.0% | 98.11 EUR | 54.22 EUR | -0.04 | 20.35 | 0 | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.