BUE Equity Snapshot

ARCO Weekly Equity Report

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.

Latest Close 26,480 ARS 12 Jun 2026
1W Return 7.2% latest completed week
4W Return 9.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 18.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 73.1% 38 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. operates as a franchisee of McDonald's restaurants. It has the exclusive right to own, operate, and grant franchises of McDonald's restaurants in 21 countries and territories in Latin America and the Caribbean, including Argentina, Aruba, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Curacao, Ecuador, French Guiana, Guadeloupe, Martinique, Mexico, Panama, Peru, Puerto Rico, Trinidad and Tobago, Uruguay, the U.S. Virgin Islands of St. Croix and St. Thomas, and Venezuela. Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. was founded in 2007 and is based in Montevideo, Uruguay.

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

ARCO closed the latest completed week at 26,480 ARS. The 4-week return is 9.7% and the 12-week return is 18.1%. Trend Signal is active, Market Dynamics is -0.01. Setup signature: Balanced read with a 52/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Active
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend 8.6%
Volume 0.7x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 85 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 89 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 42 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 0 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 31 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 63 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
24,377 ARS
Vs Trend Line
8.6%
Fair Value
21,186 ARS
Vs Fair Value
25.0%
52W High
28,680 ARS
52W Low
17,000 ARS
Drawdown
-7.7%
Range Position
81.2%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W 7.2%
4W 9.7%
12W 18.1%
26W 16.4%
52W 45.9%

Trend read

Active Streak
38 weeks
52W Active Weeks
38
52W Active Breadth
73.1%
Sector Scope
AR Consumer Cyclical
Sector Rank
3 of 34
Sector Percentile
93.9%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
-0.01
4W MD Change
-102.2%
Relative Strength
-10.21
4W RS Change
-730.1%
Expectation
Positive
Probability
58.48%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
14.3K
13W Average
19.6K
52W Average
21.5K
Vs 13W
0.7x
Vs 52W
0.7x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
4.9%
52W Volatility
4.2%
Upside Weeks
28
Downside Weeks
23
Downside Breadth
44.2%
Avg Gain / Loss
4.1% / -3.1%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
BUE
Country
AR
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Restaurants
Currency
ARS
Market Cap
5481.5B

Opportunity signals

  • Trend Signal is active with a 38-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.

Risk signals

  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 26,480 ARS 7.2% 24,377 ARS 21,186 ARS -0.01 -10.21 14.3K On
5 Jun 2026 24,700 ARS -4.3% 24,212 ARS 21,076 ARS -0.19 -9.09 18.5K On
29 May 2026 25,800 ARS -0.5% 24,082 ARS 20,975 ARS 0.06 -7.56 25.8K On
22 May 2026 25,920 ARS 7.4% 23,945 ARS 20,866 ARS 0.16 3.40 39.8K On
15 May 2026 24,140 ARS -10.1% 23,831 ARS 20,755 ARS 0.30 1.62 19.3K On
8 May 2026 26,840 ARS 0.4% 23,747 ARS 20,657 ARS 0.48 10.82 17.8K On
1 May 2026 26,740 ARS -3.0% 23,524 ARS 20,536 ARS 0.30 8.13 12.8K On
24 Apr 2026 27,580 ARS 5.6% 23,305 ARS 20,413 ARS 0.10 11.41 28.7K On
17 Apr 2026 26,120 ARS 4.0% 23,064 ARS 20,282 ARS -0.30 4.11 24.6K On
10 Apr 2026 25,120 ARS 1.3% 22,889 ARS 20,160 ARS -0.59 -3.23 4.8K On
3 Apr 2026 24,800 ARS 4.3% 22,721 ARS 20,039 ARS -0.74 -4.54 8.4K On
27 Mar 2026 23,780 ARS 6.0% 22,542 ARS 19,918 ARS -0.63 -1.94 20.1K On
20 Mar 2026 22,430 ARS -0.5% 22,381 ARS 19,805 ARS -0.02 -5.28 19.9K On
13 Mar 2026 22,550 ARS -4.4% 22,265 ARS 19,699 ARS 0.68 -1.87 7.9K On