- The trend backdrop is active with a 46-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
ARCO
BUE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Latest close
26,140 ARS
1.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 3.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 76.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.9%, after a -2.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
52
out of 100
Latest Close
26,140 ARS
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
1.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
-2.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
8.3%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
88.5%
46 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.7x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move -2.0%.
Indicator stack
94/16
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
3 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 3.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 76.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.9%, after a -2.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.5912-week average 0.73
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.59Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -2.0% over four weeks, 8.3% over 12 weeks, and 43.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 46 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak46 weeks
Active weeks in one year46
Trend breadth88.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.75Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-261.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-2.62Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change61.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.
5 positive · 9 neutral · 4 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-8.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.4%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-10.1%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+1.9%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses4
Recent vol4.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.7% / -3.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAR Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank24 / 34
Group average2.9%
Trend breadth44.1%
Trend44.1%active weekly trend signals
MD76.5%positive activity pressure
RS17.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAR Restaurants
4-week rank3 / 4
Group average-1.1%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS25.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape54/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 54/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis49/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 1/12.
Activity pressure 0.59; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.
Arcos Dorados (ARCO) lifts H1 profit, cuts debt and hikes 2026 dividend Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 26,140 ARS | 1.9% | 25,250 ARS | 21,929 ARS | -0.75 | -2.62 | 8.7K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 25,660 ARS | -2.7% | 25,186 ARS | 21,847 ARS | -0.58 | -10.24 | 13.7K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 26,360 ARS | 1.6% | 25,086 ARS | 21,764 ARS | -0.44 | -7.59 | 6.2K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 25,940 ARS | -2.7% | 24,964 ARS | 21,673 ARS | -0.35 | -6.76 | 9.1K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 26,660 ARS | 1.1% | 24,845 ARS | 21,580 ARS | -0.21 | -6.73 | 19.8K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 26,380 ARS | 2.7% | 24,715 ARS | 21,481 ARS | -0.22 | -5.60 | 286 | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 25,680 ARS | -0.7% | 24,590 ARS | 21,381 ARS | -0.37 | -6.18 | 2.6K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 25,871 ARS | -1.5% | 24,504 ARS | 21,283 ARS | -0.27 | -10.49 | 98 | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 26,270 ARS | 7.2% | 24,363 ARS | 21,184 ARS | -0.14 | -10.90 | 2.5K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 24,503 ARS | -5.0% | 24,205 ARS | 21,074 ARS | -0.26 | -9.80 | 10.3K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 25,800 ARS | -0.5% | 24,082 ARS | 20,975 ARS | 0.06 | -7.56 | 25.8K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 25,920 ARS | 7.4% | 23,945 ARS | 20,866 ARS | 0.16 | 3.39 | 39.8K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 24,140 ARS | -10.1% | 23,831 ARS | 20,755 ARS | 0.30 | 1.62 | 19.3K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 26,840 ARS | 0.4% | 23,747 ARS | 20,657 ARS | 0.48 | 10.82 | 17.8K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.