SQU GER Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Vinci SA · Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Open interactive chart View report data
Latest close 125.3 EUR
2.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 55.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.1%, after a 5.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 47/100.

Setup score 53 out of 100
Latest Close 125.3 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 2.1% latest completed week
4W Return 5.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return 0.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 51.9% 27 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 59.98% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 2.1% Latest completed week; four-week move 5.3%. Indicator stack 29/30 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 59.98% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 47/100 8 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 55.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.1%, after a 5.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.8x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3012-week average 0.52

12-week confirmation

Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership4/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.30Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 5.3% over four weeks, 0.4% over 12 weeks, and 5.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.1%
4W5.3%
12W0.4%
26W-3.8%
52W5.4%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year27
Trend breadth51.9%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.71Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-95.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-4.57Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change10.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 72%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength84/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
Value80/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 21; rank 1 is best.
Quality72/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
Momentum40/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 61; rank 1 is best.
Growth40/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 61; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
14.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
6.8x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
8.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
60.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
11.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
10.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
13.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
4.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
2.0%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
4.6%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
4.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.8%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
5.8%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment47/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 8 relevant articles.

1 positive · 6 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+4.3%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-8.4%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+2.1%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains1
Modest gains16
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses4
Recent vol2.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.3% / -2.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape49/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 49/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis33/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 4/12.

Activity pressure 0.30; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 59.98%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 59.98% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors69/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 22; Small Cap Core rank 23 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment47/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 8 relevant articles.

Vinci: Today's Drop Below €120/Share Marks A More Clear Undervaluation (OTCMKTS:VCISY) Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026125.3 EUR2.1%125.5 EUR108.8 EUR-0.71-4.5716.3KOff
31 Jul 2026122.8 EUR3.8%125.2 EUR108.6 EUR-0.82-4.0917.3KOff
24 Jul 2026118.2 EUR0.1%125.1 EUR108.4 EUR-0.79-5.698.0KOff
17 Jul 2026118.1 EUR-0.8%125.0 EUR108.2 EUR-0.51-4.8722.4KOff
10 Jul 2026119.1 EUR-7.0%124.9 EUR108.1 EUR-0.36-5.0819.2KOn
3 Jul 2026128.1 EUR-1.5%124.8 EUR107.9 EUR-0.37-0.81804On
26 Jun 2026130.0 EUR0.3%124.5 EUR107.7 EUR-0.545.201.2KOn
19 Jun 2026129.6 EUR2.9%124.1 EUR107.4 EUR-0.633.61666On
12 Jun 2026125.9 EUR1.4%123.6 EUR107.2 EUR-0.772.232.6KOn
5 Jun 2026124.2 EUR-0.7%123.3 EUR107.0 EUR-0.800.351.4KOn
29 May 2026125.2 EUR2.8%122.9 EUR106.8 EUR-0.59-0.3111.7KOn
22 May 2026121.8 EUR-2.4%122.5 EUR106.6 EUR-0.49-2.169.7KOn
15 May 2026124.8 EUR-3.1%122.3 EUR106.5 EUR-0.284.045.9KOn
8 May 2026128.8 EUR0.3%122.1 EUR106.3 EUR0.005.699.7KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context