4452 JPX Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Kao Corporation · Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

Latest close 3,654 JPY
11.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 18.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 95.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 11.8%, after a 13.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.

Setup score 57 out of 100
Latest Close 3,654 JPY 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 11.8% latest completed week
4W Return 13.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 27.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 21.2% 11 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 3-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 18.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 95.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 11.8%, after a 13.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5212-week average 0.20

12-week confirmation

Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.52Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 13.5% over four weeks, 27.3% over 12 weeks, and 10.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 3 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W11.8%
4W13.5%
12W27.3%
26W14.7%
52W10.0%
Active trend streak3 weeks
Active weeks in one year11
Trend breadth21.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.11Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-6.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-2.90Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change86.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.

1 positive · 5 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-1.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-5.7%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+11.8%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses12
Sharp losses1
Recent vol3.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.5% / -1.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20263,654 JPY11.8%3,078 JPY2,994 JPY1.11-2.9028.3MOn
31 Jul 20263,268 JPY1.4%3,058 JPY2,987 JPY1.00-12.1817.7MOn
24 Jul 20263,223 JPY-2.6%3,051 JPY2,983 JPY1.09-14.5710.4MOn
17 Jul 20263,308 JPY2.8%3,046 JPY2,978 JPY1.28-12.4913.1MOff
10 Jul 20263,219 JPY-2.1%3,037 JPY2,972 JPY1.19-21.0916.0MOff
3 Jul 20263,289 JPY3.0%3,031 JPY2,967 JPY0.87-21.6019.1MOff
26 Jun 20263,194 JPY5.5%3,022 JPY2,961 JPY0.29-24.1618.7MOff
19 Jun 20263,027 JPY2.6%3,017 JPY2,956 JPY-0.10-30.7214.7MOff
12 Jun 20262,950 JPY2.1%3,022 JPY2,952 JPY-0.49-28.0015.8MOff
5 Jun 20262,890 JPY-3.2%3,030 JPY2,949 JPY-0.69-30.9217.3MOff
29 May 20262,985 JPY2.0%3,039 JPY2,945 JPY-0.76-29.2621.9MOff
22 May 20262,927 JPY1.9%3,044 JPY2,940 JPY-1.01-28.1915.1MOff
15 May 20262,871 JPY-1.1%3,051 JPY2,936 JPY-1.06-28.0817.5MOff
8 May 20262,903 JPY1.5%3,056 JPY2,933 JPY-1.09-29.508.0MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context