Composite setup radar
57
Balanced read
Latest Close
6,177 JPY
12 Jun 2026
1W Return
3.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
-2.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
5.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
100.0%
52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.3x
vs 13-week average
Company Brief
What the company does
Japan Tobacco Inc., a tobacco company, engages in the manufacture and sale of tobacco products in Japan and internationally. It operates through two segments: Tobacco Business and Processed Food Business. It offers tobacco products, such as cigarettes, fine cut tobacco products, cigars, pipes, and hookah products. The company provides reduced-risk products, including heated tobacco, infused tobacco, e-vapor, traditional oral, and modern oral. Further, the company provides frozen and room-temperature products comprising frozen udon noodles, packed rice, and frozen okonomiyaki; and seasonings, including yeast extracts, assembled, kelp and seaweed, and oyster sauces. It offers its products …
Snapshot
What the weekly tape is saying
2914 closed the latest completed week at 6,177 JPY. The 4-week return is -2.0% and the 12-week return is 5.6%. Trend Signal is active, Market Dynamics is -0.07. Setup signature: Balanced read with a 57/100 composite read.
Trend Signal
Active
Market Dynamics
No fresh buy
Price vs Trend
5.5%
Volume
1.3x
Setup Cockpit
A compressed read of the whole setup
The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.
Scoreboard
Trend
100
Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum
51
Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics
56
Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength
1
Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume
55
Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control
77
Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.
16-week signal tape
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
Weekly return bar
Trend Signal dot
Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action
Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value
Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.
52-week price path
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
Price map
- Trend Line
- 5,857 JPY
- Vs Trend Line
- 5.5%
- Fair Value
- 4,204 JPY
- Vs Fair Value
- 46.9%
- 52W High
- 6,474 JPY
- 52W Low
- 4,046 JPY
- Drawdown
- -4.6%
- Range Position
- 87.8%
Momentum
Returns and trend persistence
Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.
Return windows
Trend read
- Active Streak
- 59 weeks
- 52W Active Weeks
- 52
- 52W Active Breadth
- 100.0%
- Sector Scope
- JP Consumer Defensive
- Sector Rank
- 56 of 279
- Sector Percentile
- 80.2%
Peer Context
Sector and industry pulse
Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.
JP Consumer Defensive
- Tracked Peers
- 100
- 4W Rank
- 67 of 100
- Avg 1W
- 2.3%
- Avg 4W
- 0.8%
- Trend Breadth
- 33.0%
- Positive MD
- 20.0%
JP Tobacco
- Tracked Peers
- 1
- 4W Rank
- 1 of 1
- Avg 1W
- 3.4%
- Avg 4W
- -2.0%
- Trend Breadth
- 100.0%
- Positive RS
- 0.0%
Market Dynamics
Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation
Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.
Dynamics path
Market Dynamics
Relative Strength
Signal state
- Market Dynamics
- -0.07
- 4W MD Change
- 87.4%
- Relative Strength
- -11.07
- 4W RS Change
- -197.0%
- Expectation
- Positive
- Probability
- 61.81%
Volume
Participation and confirmation
Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.
52-week volume profile
Volume map
- Latest Volume
- 25.9M
- 13W Average
- 19.6M
- 52W Average
- 18.9M
- Vs 13W
- 1.3x
- Vs 52W
- 1.4x
Risk Anatomy
Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape
A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.
26-week return distribution
Risk map
- 13W Volatility
- 3.3%
- 52W Volatility
- 2.9%
- Upside Weeks
- 34
- Downside Weeks
- 18
- Downside Breadth
- 34.6%
- Avg Gain / Loss
- 2.3% / -1.9%
Context
Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points
Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.
Classification
- Exchange
- JPX
- Country
- JP
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- Industry
- Tobacco
- Currency
- JPY
- Market Cap
- 10947.9B
Opportunity signals
- Trend Signal is active with a 59-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
Risk signals
- Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.
Watch next
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape
Recent completed weeks
The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend | Fair Value | MD | RS | Volume | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2026 | 6,177 JPY | 3.4% | 5,857 JPY | 4,204 JPY | -0.07 | -11.07 | 25.9M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 5,973 JPY | -3.1% | 5,836 JPY | 4,182 JPY | -0.08 | -14.99 | 19.0M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 6,167 JPY | 0.5% | 5,818 JPY | 4,161 JPY | -0.16 | -12.20 | 23.3M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 6,134 JPY | -2.7% | 5,787 JPY | 4,139 JPY | -0.43 | -8.85 | 18.2M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 6,301 JPY | 9.2% | 5,745 JPY | 4,117 JPY | -0.59 | -3.73 | 27.6M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 5,769 JPY | -2.0% | 5,698 JPY | 4,093 JPY | -0.95 | -13.84 | 10.2M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 5,886 JPY | 1.0% | 5,665 JPY | 4,073 JPY | -0.85 | -7.76 | 15.0M | On |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 5,829 JPY | 0.5% | 5,630 JPY | 4,051 JPY | -0.58 | -9.25 | 18.4M | On |
| 17 Apr 2026 | 5,800 JPY | -2.9% | 5,596 JPY | 4,030 JPY | -0.37 | -8.09 | 17.7M | On |
| 10 Apr 2026 | 5,973 JPY | -2.2% | 5,558 JPY | 4,009 JPY | -0.31 | -3.07 | 18.0M | On |
| 3 Apr 2026 | 6,105 JPY | 2.1% | 5,513 JPY | 3,986 JPY | -0.34 | 5.95 | 23.2M | On |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 5,978 JPY | 2.2% | 5,464 JPY | 3,962 JPY | -0.51 | 3.26 | 23.1M | On |
| 20 Mar 2026 | 5,847 JPY | 2.4% | 5,418 JPY | 3,939 JPY | -0.58 | 1.07 | 15.9M | On |
| 13 Mar 2026 | 5,711 JPY | -0.1% | 5,380 JPY | 3,917 JPY | -0.49 | -1.98 | 19.7M | On |