- The trend backdrop is active with a 43-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
DHL
GER
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Deutsche Post AG · Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics
Latest close
55.32 EUR
-4.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 86.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.2%, after a -1.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100.
Setup score
72
out of 100
Latest Close
55.32 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-4.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
-1.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
18.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
92.3%
48 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.5x
vs 13-week average
- 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-4.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move -1.7%.
Indicator stack
96/78
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
54/100
19 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 86.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.2%, after a -1.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.9712-week average 0.88
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.97Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -1.7% over four weeks, 18.2% over 12 weeks, and 41.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 43 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak43 weeks
Active weeks in one year48
Trend breadth92.3%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.43Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change31.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership12.88Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-46.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 85%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength90/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 11; rank 1 is best.
Value70/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
Quality67/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 34; rank 1 is best.
Momentum82/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Growth30/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework44/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 17.8x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.7x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 7.3x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 7.7% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 16.4% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 6.4% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 7.7% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 9.2% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -1.6% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 8.3% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 9.3% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 7/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 3.4% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 2.2% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 5.6% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.8x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment54/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.
4 positive · 14 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-5.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.0%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-7.8%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-4.2%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses3
Recent vol2.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.7% / -2.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorDE Industrials
4-week rank78 / 100
Group average4.0%
Trend breadth49.0%
Trend49.0%active weekly trend signals
MD59.0%positive activity pressure
RS53.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryDE Integrated Freight & Logistics
4-week rank4 / 7
Group average-4.1%
Trend breadth57.1%
Trend57.1%active weekly trend signals
MD57.1%positive activity pressure
RS28.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape75/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 75/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis83/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.97; 3 reversal markers Factors77/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 19; Small Cap Core rank 31 SVQF44/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 209.0 of 375 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment54/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.
Deutsche Post (XTRA:DHL) Stock Faces A Valuation Puzzle After Profit Surge Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 55.32 EUR | -4.2% | 49.11 EUR | 38.69 EUR | 1.43 | 12.88 | 9.7M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 57.76 EUR | 1.3% | 48.80 EUR | 38.58 EUR | 1.61 | 21.64 | 7.2M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 57.04 EUR | 0.2% | 48.38 EUR | 38.46 EUR | 1.50 | 23.54 | 8.1M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 56.90 EUR | 1.1% | 47.96 EUR | 38.36 EUR | 1.32 | 25.43 | 8.7M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 56.30 EUR | 0.5% | 47.56 EUR | 38.25 EUR | 1.09 | 23.92 | 10.1M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 56.00 EUR | 7.0% | 47.18 EUR | 38.14 EUR | 0.84 | 20.74 | 1.9M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 52.36 EUR | 2.1% | 46.77 EUR | 38.03 EUR | 0.69 | 18.72 | 1.4M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 51.30 EUR | -0.8% | 46.46 EUR | 37.94 EUR | 0.67 | 15.52 | 5.0M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 51.72 EUR | -0.8% | 46.13 EUR | 37.86 EUR | 0.57 | 18.62 | 2.1M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 52.16 EUR | 1.9% | 45.81 EUR | 37.77 EUR | 0.29 | 19.60 | 1.2M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 51.20 EUR | 2.6% | 45.45 EUR | 37.67 EUR | 0.15 | 16.41 | 9.9M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 49.88 EUR | 6.6% | 45.02 EUR | 37.58 EUR | -0.01 | 14.98 | 8.3M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 46.80 EUR | -0.1% | 44.61 EUR | 37.50 EUR | -0.23 | 12.68 | 7.8M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 46.85 EUR | -3.0% | 44.31 EUR | 37.43 EUR | -0.19 | 11.49 | 15.0M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.