SMCI MEX Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Super Micro Computer, Inc. · Technology · Computer Hardware

Latest close 527.0 MXN
23.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 21.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 23.4%, after a -2.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 28 out of 100
Latest Close 527.0 MXN 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 23.4% latest completed week
4W Return -2.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 9.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 26.9% 14 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 21.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 23.4%, after a -2.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2812-week average 0.32

12-week confirmation

Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.28Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals2Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -2.0% over four weeks, 9.8% over 12 weeks, and -47.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W23.4%
4W-2.0%
12W9.8%
26W-3.7%
52W-47.7%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year14
Trend breadth26.9%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.02Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-97.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-20.35Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change18.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 35 relevant articles.

9 positive · 26 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalFresh

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Fresh buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-55.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility16.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+30.0%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-33.2%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week+23.4%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses2
Sharp losses9
Recent vol16.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol12.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.2% / -9.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026527.0 MXN23.4%532.4 MXN858.7 MXN0.02-20.3582.8KOff
17 Jul 2026427.0 MXN-14.1%533.2 MXN861.1 MXN0.33-36.8829.2KOff
10 Jul 2026497.3 MXN0.7%537.6 MXN864.4 MXN0.55-27.8129.1KOff
3 Jul 2026494.0 MXN-8.2%541.5 MXN867.1 MXN0.65-30.04288.0KOff
26 Jun 2026537.9 MXN0.7%546.1 MXN870.0 MXN0.74-25.10450.3KOn
19 Jun 2026534.1 MXN1.9%548.9 MXN872.5 MXN0.82-27.1663Off
12 Jun 2026524.0 MXN-28.2%551.0 MXN875.1 MXN1.02-29.7115.8KOff
5 Jun 2026730.3 MXN-8.4%555.7 MXN877.8 MXN1.12-0.4020.9KOff
29 May 2026797.4 MXN30.0%555.8 MXN879.0 MXN1.174.40259.8KOff
22 May 2026613.5 MXN13.8%561.4 MXN879.6 MXN1.00-19.6435.5KOff
15 May 2026539.0 MXN-11.0%570.6 MXN881.7 MXN0.89-29.5425.1KOff
8 May 2026605.6 MXN26.2%585.0 MXN884.5 MXN0.75-23.9583.5KOff
1 May 2026480.0 MXN-5.0%597.5 MXN886.7 MXN0.47-38.19286.1KOff
24 Apr 2026505.0 MXN2.7%613.2 MXN890.0 MXN0.10-36.7642.3KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.