EGR PAR Week ended 09 Oct 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Transition Evergreen SA ยท Financial Services ยท Asset Management

Latest close 0.078 EUR
1.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 14.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.3%, after a 35.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 36 out of 100
Latest Close 0.078 EUR 9 Oct 2026
1W Return 1.3% latest completed week
4W Return 35.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 30.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 22.15% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 ยท Price action

Where price isโ€”and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 14.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.3%, after a 35.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 ยท Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug 14 Aug 21 Aug 28 Aug 4 Sep 11 Sep 18 Sep 25 Sep 2 Oct 9 Oct
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1012-week average 0.11

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.10Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 ยท Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistentโ€”and is the stock leading?

Performance is 35.7% over four weeks, 30.0% over 12 weeks, and -76.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.3%
4W35.7%
12W30.0%
26W-61.0%
52W-76.4%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.07Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change202.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-55.63Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change22.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 ยท Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying forโ€”and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 ยท Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.

0 positive ยท 0 neutral ยท 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 ยท Catalysts and risk

What can move the sharesโ€”and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-76.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility12.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+63.0%Week of 15 May.
Worst week-33.3%Week of 1 May.
Latest week+1.3%Week of 9 Oct.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains4
Flat weeks2
Modest losses2
Sharp losses12
Recent vol12.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol21.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split12/17Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew21.6% / -16.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 ยท Sector and peer context

Is this stock leadingโ€”or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 ยท Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
9 Oct 20260.078 EUR1.3%0.0849 EUR0.9419 EUR1.07-55.63133.3KOff
2 Oct 20260.077 EUR-3.1%0.086 EUR0.9568 EUR0.91-57.86239.6KOff
25 Sep 20260.0795 EUR37.1%0.0944 EUR0.9728 EUR0.68-58.54596.9KOff
18 Sep 20260.058 EUR0.9%0.1028 EUR0.9883 EUR0.40-70.47141.1KOff
11 Sep 20260.0575 EUR-7.3%0.1118 EUR1.00 EUR0.35-71.91425.3KOff
4 Sep 20260.062 EUR-15.6%0.1209 EUR1.02 EUR0.36-70.864.9KOff
28 Aug 20260.0735 EUR0.0%0.1298 EUR1.04 EUR0.36-66.848.8KOff
21 Aug 20260.0735 EUR6.5%0.1384 EUR1.06 EUR0.26-67.9630.1KOff
14 Aug 20260.069 EUR10.4%0.1469 EUR1.07 EUR0.15-71.13314.0KOff
7 Aug 20260.0625 EUR8.7%0.1556 EUR1.09 EUR-0.10-74.67107.1KOff
31 Jul 20260.0575 EUR-4.2%0.1646 EUR1.11 EUR-0.26-76.708.6KOff
24 Jul 20260.06 EUR0.0%0.1736 EUR1.12 EUR-0.23-75.885.6KOff
17 Jul 20260.06 EUR-5.5%0.1826 EUR1.14 EUR-0.22-76.3227.9KOff
10 Jul 20260.0635 EUR-13.0%0.1916 EUR1.16 EUR-0.15-75.4853.0KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context