- The trend backdrop is active with a 26-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
CP
NYSE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited · Industrials · Railroads
Latest close
91.62 USD
3.1%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 8.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 91.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.1%, after a 1.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 43/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
63
out of 100
Latest Close
91.62 USD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
3.1%
latest completed week
4W Return
1.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
7.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
50.0%
26 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.5x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 44.22% based on similar historical setup states.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
3.1%
Latest completed week; four-week move 1.7%.
Indicator stack
72/65
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 44.22%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Bullish
43/100 conviction; expected move 2.9%.
News sentiment
56/100
58 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 8.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 91.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.1%, after a 1.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.9712-week average 0.91
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership10/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.97Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 1.7% over four weeks, 7.9% over 12 weeks, and 23.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 26 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak26 weeks
Active weeks in one year26
Trend breadth50.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.87Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-7.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership2.53Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-26.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026
Field coverage 100%
Model confidence 100%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength63/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 38; rank 1 is best.
Value35/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Quality77/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Momentum76/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
Growth78/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework49/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 19.2x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 3.6x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 12.1x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 8.1% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 60.1% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 29.3% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 38.4% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 6.9% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 50.1% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 0.5% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 1.5% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 7/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.6% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 5.1% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 5.6% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 2.8x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBullish
CP shows bullish options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.53, expected move of 2.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Conviction43/100
Expected move2.9%
Put/call volume0.53
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment56/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 58 relevant articles.
24 positive · 27 neutral · 7 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move2.9%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-2.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.6%Week of 24 Apr.
Worst week-5.3%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+3.1%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains15
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses2
Recent vol2.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.2% / -2.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Industrials
4-week rank53 / 100
Group average0.9%
Trend breadth53.0%
Trend53.0%active weekly trend signals
MD55.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Railroads
4-week rank6 / 11
Group average-0.2%
Trend breadth72.7%
Trend72.7%active weekly trend signals
MD72.7%positive activity pressure
RS63.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape64/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 64/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis88/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 10/12.
Activity pressure 0.97; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 44.22%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 44.22% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors62/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 11 SVQF49/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 520.5 of 1018 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options58/100CP shows bullish options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.53, expected move of 2.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 2.9% Sentiment56/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 58 relevant articles.
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd at Bank of America Industrials, Transportation & Airlines Key Leaders Conference Transcript Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
Research flow1 items1 recent research articles and 0 Market Watch posts are available.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 91.62 USD | 3.1% | 84.36 USD | 78.18 USD | 0.87 | 2.53 | 20.5M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 88.89 USD | -3.8% | 83.68 USD | 78.10 USD | 0.93 | 2.98 | 14.8M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 92.36 USD | -1.4% | 83.19 USD | 78.04 USD | 1.12 | 8.20 | 11.0M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 93.71 USD | 4.0% | 82.58 USD | 77.96 USD | 1.21 | 9.21 | 13.3M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 90.12 USD | 2.7% | 81.92 USD | 77.87 USD | 0.94 | 3.44 | 10.6M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 87.79 USD | 0.1% | 81.40 USD | 77.80 USD | 0.96 | 1.94 | 11.1M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 87.73 USD | 2.2% | 80.92 USD | 77.73 USD | 0.92 | 3.87 | 16.3M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 85.85 USD | -4.5% | 80.40 USD | 77.67 USD | 0.79 | -0.90 | 10.5M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 89.89 USD | 0.2% | 79.86 USD | 77.62 USD | 0.74 | 4.39 | 11.1M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 89.74 USD | 0.7% | 79.20 USD | 77.53 USD | 0.51 | 4.57 | 13.4M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 89.13 USD | 3.5% | 78.56 USD | 77.44 USD | 0.51 | 1.01 | 17.1M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 86.07 USD | 1.4% | 77.97 USD | 77.36 USD | 0.52 | -1.37 | 13.6M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 84.89 USD | -1.1% | 77.60 USD | 77.29 USD | 0.63 | -2.25 | 14.1M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 85.86 USD | -0.2% | 77.30 USD | 77.26 USD | 0.62 | -1.29 | 16.6M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.