260 completed weekly observations ยท 25 Sep 2026

JPX ยท Equity ยท technical research

9104 Technicals

Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Ltd.

Industrials ยท Marine Shipping

Aligned upwardPrice-technical state

Week ending25 September 2026
-1.9%
Open
7,290.00
High
7,320.00
Low
7,047.00
Close
7,106.00 JPY
Open chart Market Dynamics Report โ†—
Research for 9104
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Price structureAligned upwardcompleted-week alignment
Momentum67.0Positive
Risk pressure5.2%Normal
Trend quality39.3Directional
Range position83%location inside observed range
Adaptive set6 viewsselected for the current tape

01 ยท Market Dynamics

Price and underlying support

Weekly close ยท published Market Dynamics
Upward price structure retains strong Market Dynamics support

Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. The broader path remains constructive, so one softer week does not by itself establish weakening confirmation. The completed evidence supports the upward price structure.

Preparing Market Dynamics chart Checking the chart library, completed-week data and display size.
Weekly close Supportive Market Dynamics Cautious Market Dynamics Accumulation zone Distribution zone Positioning recovery Reversal warning Reversal danger
Current tape relationship
Extended but supported

Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive.

Price location
Distribution zone

Price is extended; support can persist, but rollover risk must be monitored.

Latest positioning marker
5 Jan 2024

The green dot marks a confirmed recovery where institutional positioning is most plausible.

Market Dynamics confirmation
Supported

The broader path remains constructive, so one softer week does not by itself establish weakening confirmation.

Chart contextPrice is in the distribution zone. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is keeping pace with that elevated price.

InterpretationThe advance remains supported. Reclassify it only if the broader Market Dynamics path weakens or price structure breaks.

Reading the zones and markers

The line shows completed weekly price. Market Dynamics describes the underlying support. Green marks a recovery through the accumulation zone; amber and red identify reversal warnings and danger. Price can stay in the distribution zone while advancing. Read the zones, markers and Market Dynamics together; they do not identify individual trades or prove who is participating.

02 ยท Technical indicators

Test the durability of the advance.

6 selected views ยท 156 observations

Price is above both trend references. Trend strength supports a persistent move. Use momentum and available participation or leadership to test whether the move gains support.

Fast trend reference 6,746.11 JPYClose +5.3%Slow trend reference 6,215.27 JPYClose +14.3%Selection adapts to the setup and available history.

Structure

Price and trend

Price7,106.00

Aligned upward. Price anchors every interpretation against the same completed observations.

Watch Watch whether price holds its trend references or begins to cross back through them.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.

Close
7,106.00
Fast trend
6,746.11
Slow trend
6,215.27
Upper envelope
7,569.39
Lower envelope
4,659.91

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Structure

Trend strength and direction

Trend strength39.27

Directional trend. Trend strength helps decide how much weight to put on momentum extremes.

Watch Strength measures persistence, not direction. Compare positive and negative control before interpreting it.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Directional pressure shows which side controls the tape while strength remains direction-neutral.

Trend strength
39.27
Positive direction
38.72
Negative direction
10.41

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Momentum

Momentum change

Impulse expansion118.54

Positive impulse, easing. Acceleration can reveal a change before the broader price structure fully responds.

Watch A return through the neutral line deserves attention when trend and participation also change.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

The impulse path separates directional acceleration from a loss of momentum.

Impulse
435.99
Signal
317.45
Expansion
118.54

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Risk

Drawdown and recovery

Drawdown-2.36%

Recovery still incomplete. Distance below the observed high separates recovery from an established new high.

Watch A recovery can improve while price remains below its former high. Track both parts of the path.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Capital impairment and recovery are shown together so return is not separated from path difficulty.

Drawdown
-2.36
Recovery
36.84

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Participation

Volume participation

Activity / norm79.54

Below normal activity. Activity tests the participation behind price; it does not identify who is buying or selling.

Watch Look for sustained participation in the direction of price, rather than a single busy observation.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Observed activity is compared with its normal backdrop while cumulative balance tracks directional participation.

Activity versus norm
79.54
Cumulative balance
131.80

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Leadership

Relative strength

Relative strength12.64

Leading the benchmark. Benchmark context tests whether the move is company leadership or broader market participation.

Watch Watch whether relative strength confirms the absolute trend or continues to disagree.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Relative performance is separated from absolute price direction to reveal leadership and lagging pressure.

Relative strength
12.64

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

More indicators3 additional views from the same history

Structure

Position in the recent range

Range position82.77%

Pressing the upper range. Range location is especially useful when a trend is not yet firmly established.

Watch Look for acceptance outside the range or a return toward its middle, supported by momentum.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Price location inside its observed range shows whether the tape is pressing an outer boundary or rotating through value.

Range position
82.77
From high
-5.37
From low
37.45

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Momentum

Momentum

Momentum67.00

Positive pressure. Momentum helps test whether the latest price direction has follow-through.

Watch Watch for pressure to turn with price. A stretched reading alone does not establish a reversal.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Two independent momentum views show whether pressure is broadening, fading or stretched.

Momentum
67.01
Rotation
82.77
Rotation signal
83.82

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Risk

Range and volatility

Range pressure5.24%

Ordinary variability. Recent variability puts the size of price moves and reference gaps in context.

Watch Watch whether a range expansion gains directional follow-through or quickly reverses.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Movement pressure and envelope width show whether risk is expanding, settling or compressed.

Range pressure
5.25
Envelope width
47.58

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

03 ยท Scenarios

Conditions to monitor

Possible developments ยท no assigned probabilities
Follow-through

The current direction gains support

Price keeps its trend alignment, momentum follows through and available participation or relative strength confirms. Compare this with the Market Dynamics reading.

Pause or repair

Pressure settles without structural damage

Momentum eases while price holds the relevant trend reference. Quieter activity can accompany a pause; it does not by itself confirm a reversal.

Challenge the view

Price and supporting evidence weaken together

Price loses its current alignment and momentum or leadership moves against it. Reassess the setup if the disagreement persists across completed observations.

Sharemaestro tape intelligence

SM gauge assessment

One assessment resolves price structure and Market Dynamics. The supporting views show the control, force, direction and confidence behind it.

100/100 evidence depth
observed participation included
Joint upward confirmation The gauges support the upward market view

Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.

SM Consensus Gauge+6.2

Joint upward confirmation

SM Control Gauge+4.3

Control support is limited

SM Force Gauge+37.6

Upward commitment

SM Direction Gauge+39.8

Upward follow-through

SM Confirmation Gauge17/100

Limited support

SM consensus path ยท Market Dynamics display window

SM Consensus Gauge against price

The bars show the direction and strength of the resolved assessment. Completed price is retained as context.

Latest +6.2
Joint upward confirmation
Supportive consensus Cautious consensus Weekly close Neutral

Control

SM Control Gauge

Shows whether buyer or seller control supports the current assessment and whether that support is strengthening or easing.

Current controlControl support is limitedRecent pathBroadly stableLatest 12 months
Buyer controlSeller controlBalanced

Commitment

SM Force Gauge

Shows the strength of market commitment behind the current assessment.

Current forceUpward commitmentRecent pathCommitment is easingLatest 12 months
Positive forceNegative forceActivity intensity

Direction and follow-through

SM Direction Gauge

Shows the directional follow-through behind the current assessment and whether it is established or still developing.

Current directionUpward follow-throughFollow-throughEstablishedLatest 12 months
Advancing directionDeclining directionFollow-through

Assessment strength

SM Confirmation Gauge

Shows how firmly the current assessment is supported. Greater assessment risk reduces the weight of the conclusion.

ConfirmationLimited supportAssessment riskContainedLatest 12 months
SM Confirmation GaugeAssessment risk

05 ยท Historical record

Evidence from previous conditions

Completed cases ยท open cases excluded from outcomes

9104 ยท current evidence

Current conditions

The advance retains underlying support while price structure and Market Dynamics remain intact.

1
NowEasier this week

Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive.

2
Recent directionStrengthened over four weeks

The broader path remains constructive, so one softer week does not by itself establish weakening confirmation.

3
Price responsePrice structure is upward

Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics.

4
Previous cases53.3% moved higher

After 12 weeks across 15 cases. Average move: 3.8%.

What strengthens this viewThe advance remains supported. Reclassify it only if the broader Market Dynamics path weakens or price structure breaks.What would change itReassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.

Completed observations

Historical comparisons

Zone visits are counted once and followed through completed weekly closes. Open cases remain separate.

Price relationship Meaningful relationship
Same-week correlation
0.33
Direction agreed
47.5%
Completed comparisons
255
After accumulation3 distinct visits
4 weeks66.7% higher3 outcomes 12 weeks100.0% higher3 outcomes 26 weeks100.0% higher3 outcomes

Average time before leaving the zone: 4.3 weeks.

After distribution2 distinct visits
4 weeks100.0% lower2 outcomes 12 weeks100.0% lower1 outcome 26 weeks0.0% lower1 outcome

Average time before leaving the zone: 3.0 weeks.

When the two readings agreed or differed

Completed outcomes by condition

These cases compare price direction with Market Dynamics and show how large disagreements were resolved.

Price higher ยท Market Dynamics positive 53.3% were higher

Average 12-week move: 3.8% from 15 completed cases.

Price lower ยท Market Dynamics negative 22.2% were lower

Average 12-week move: 11.5% from 18 completed cases.

Price higher ยท Market Dynamics cautious Average pullback 5.6%

35.3% were lower after 12 weeks. The deepest pullback arrived after 4.6 weeks on average.

Price cautious ยท Market Dynamics positive Average recovery 10.0%

66.7% were higher after 12 weeks. The strongest recovery arrived after 8.1 weeks on average.

How to use the reading

Strategy observations from this ticker's own record

The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.

Trend participation
Let confirmation support the position, then manage extension

In this ticker's completed record, 53.3% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of 3.8% across 15 cases.

ApproachThis is most useful for holding or selectively adding to an established upward case. Risk should still tighten as price becomes extended; confirmation is support, not immunity from reversal.

Review the case whenReassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.

Zone positioning
Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case

After distribution, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 3.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.

ApproachReview long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.

Review the case whenA sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup.

Disagreement playbook
Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline

Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 5.6% across 17 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 4.6 weeks on average.

ApproachAvoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.

Review the case whenThe warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way.

Historical outcomes describe this ticker's completed record. They do not make the next move certain and are not trading instructions.

Readings describe completed observations. A strong reading is not a forecast, and historical outcomes are not probabilities for the next move. The full record, related research and technical pack remain available for closer review.

Technical research pack โ†—

Evidence context