ASX Equity Snapshot

AAI Weekly Equity Report

Alcoa Corporation

Interactive chart JSON snapshot
Latest Close 96.83 AUD 12 Jun 2026
1W Return -11.4% latest completed week
4W Return 8.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 16.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 75.0% 39 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.7x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

Alcoa Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the bauxite mining, alumina refining, aluminum production, and energy generation business in Australia, Brazil, Canada, Iceland, Norway, Spain, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through two segments: Alumina and Aluminum. It operates bauxite and other aluminous ores mining and processes bauxite into alumina for sale to aluminum smelter customers and customers who process it into industrial chemical products through supply contracts to third parties, as well as aluminum smelting and casting businesses. The company also offers aluminium powder and scrap and primary aluminum in the …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

AAI closed the latest completed week at 96.83 AUD. The 4-week return is 8.4% and the 12-week return is 16.8%. Trend Signal is active, Market Dynamics is 0.14. Setup signature: Leadership continuation with a 72/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Active
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend 11.7%
Volume 1.7x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 86 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 84 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 62 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 100 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 71 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 27 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
86.73 AUD
Vs Trend Line
11.7%
Fair Value
62.40 AUD
Vs Fair Value
55.2%
52W High
117.9 AUD
52W Low
42.36 AUD
Drawdown
-17.9%
Range Position
72.1%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W -11.4%
4W 8.4%
12W 16.8%
26W 37.6%
52W 125.0%

Trend read

Active Streak
39 weeks
52W Active Weeks
39
52W Active Breadth
75.0%
Sector Scope
AU Basic Materials
Sector Rank
583 of 722
Sector Percentile
19.3%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
0.14
4W MD Change
116.0%
Relative Strength
35.42
4W RS Change
-1.2%
Expectation
Positive
Probability
60.64%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
1.7M
13W Average
1.0M
52W Average
1.1M
Vs 13W
1.7x
Vs 52W
1.5x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
8.3%
52W Volatility
6.3%
Upside Weeks
32
Downside Weeks
20
Downside Breadth
38.5%
Avg Gain / Loss
5.6% / -4.4%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
ASX
Country
AU
Sector
Basic Materials
Industry
Aluminum
Currency
AUD
Market Cap
28.0B

Opportunity signals

  • Trend Signal is active with a 39-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Market Dynamics is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.

Risk signals

  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 96.83 AUD -11.4% 86.73 AUD 62.40 AUD 0.14 35.42 1.7M On
5 Jun 2026 109.3 AUD 3.1% 85.45 AUD 62.04 AUD -0.09 58.28 1.3M On
29 May 2026 106.1 AUD 13.7% 83.68 AUD 61.56 AUD -0.58 54.53 906.8K On
22 May 2026 93.31 AUD 4.5% 82.03 AUD 61.09 AUD -0.91 39.55 511.2K On
15 May 2026 89.31 AUD 2.5% 80.89 AUD 60.75 AUD -0.86 35.87 596.7K On
8 May 2026 87.16 AUD -2.6% 79.78 AUD 60.45 AUD -0.72 32.59 543.5K On
1 May 2026 89.52 AUD -2.1% 78.73 AUD 60.16 AUD -0.44 38.23 650.0K On
24 Apr 2026 91.46 AUD -5.1% 77.50 AUD 59.84 AUD -0.19 42.38 1.1M On
17 Apr 2026 96.38 AUD -6.3% 76.06 AUD 59.50 AUD -0.20 49.52 1.2M On
10 Apr 2026 102.9 AUD 1.2% 74.49 AUD 59.09 AUD -0.26 61.94 1.1M On
3 Apr 2026 101.6 AUD 18.4% 72.69 AUD 58.60 AUD -0.15 70.05 1.2M On
27 Mar 2026 85.85 AUD 3.5% 70.89 AUD 58.11 AUD -0.13 47.29 1.0M On
20 Mar 2026 82.94 AUD -11.4% 69.65 AUD 57.79 AUD 0.10 45.32 1.3M On
13 Mar 2026 93.60 AUD 7.3% 68.40 AUD 57.49 AUD 0.31 61.78 1.9M On