UPAB GER Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

UNITED PARCEL SERVICE INC. R · Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics

Open interactive chart View report data
Latest close 90.12 EUR
-0.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is -0.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 15.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.9%, after a -8.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100.

Setup score 42 out of 100
Latest Close 90.12 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -0.9% latest completed week
4W Return -8.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 8.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 28.8% 15 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 10-week active streak.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
  • 9 accumulation markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -0.9% Latest completed week; four-week move -8.5%. Indicator stack 50/69 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. News sentiment 55/100 12 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is -0.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 15.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.9%, after a -8.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4812-week average 0.30

12-week confirmation

Trend active10/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.48Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

9 accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -8.5% over four weeks, 8.4% over 12 weeks, and -43.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 10 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.9%
4W-8.5%
12W8.4%
26W-5.4%
52W-43.3%
Active trend streak10 weeks
Active weeks in one year15
Trend breadth28.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.14Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-14.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-33.94Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-9.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 85%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength31/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Value62/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 39; rank 1 is best.
Quality43/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 58; rank 1 is best.
Momentum5/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
Growth17/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework55/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
14.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
8.5x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
17.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
8.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
5.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
14.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-2.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-3.1%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-23.3%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
4.7%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
4.6%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 12 relevant articles.

5 positive · 6 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-47.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.2%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-12.2%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-0.9%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.0% / -4.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape43/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 43/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis67/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 10/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.48; No reversal markers Factors35/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 91; Small Cap Core rank 42 SVQF55/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 167.5 of 375 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 12 relevant articles.

United Parcel Service, Inc. Announces Quarterly Dividend of $1.64 (NYSE:UPS) Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202690.12 EUR-0.9%90.62 EUR139.8 EUR1.14-33.947.3KOn
31 Jul 202690.98 EUR-9.7%90.59 EUR140.0 EUR1.33-33.2611.5KOn
24 Jul 2026100.8 EUR-1.5%90.33 EUR140.1 EUR1.42-26.292.6KOn
17 Jul 2026102.3 EUR3.9%89.70 EUR140.2 EUR1.43-26.045.1KOn
10 Jul 202698.52 EUR1.1%89.06 EUR140.3 EUR1.33-30.894.4KOn
3 Jul 202697.46 EUR2.1%88.54 EUR140.4 EUR1.26-34.85148On
26 Jun 202695.46 EUR3.4%87.92 EUR140.5 EUR1.19-34.682.6KOn
19 Jun 202692.36 EUR-1.1%87.41 EUR140.7 EUR1.11-38.88200On
12 Jun 202693.40 EUR-1.9%86.99 EUR140.8 EUR0.96-38.661.7KOn
5 Jun 202695.18 EUR5.0%86.49 EUR141.0 EUR0.67-39.201.2KOn
29 May 202690.68 EUR5.2%88.22 EUR141.2 EUR0.56-44.098.2KOff
22 May 202686.20 EUR3.7%90.10 EUR141.4 EUR0.49-47.587.2KOff
15 May 202683.16 EUR-0.5%92.13 EUR141.6 EUR0.42-48.564.4KOff
8 May 202683.55 EUR-7.3%94.31 EUR141.8 EUR0.43-50.2816.6KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context