- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.26% based on similar historical setup states.
SBSP3
SAO
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Companhia de Saneamento Básico do Estado de São Paulo - SABESP · Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Water
Latest close
26.89 BRL
-2.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -9.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 42.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.9%, after a -13.6% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
40
out of 100
Latest Close
26.89 BRL
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-2.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
-13.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-7.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
80.8%
42 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.2x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-2.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move -13.6%.
Indicator stack
44/36
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 56.26%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
4 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -9.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 42.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.9%, after a -13.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3012-week average 0.49
12-week confirmation
Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership4/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.30Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -13.6% over four weeks, -7.4% over 12 weeks, and 27.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year42
Trend breadth80.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.80Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change3.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-5.53Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-187.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 4 relevant articles.
0 positive · 4 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-23.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.8%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-6.7%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-2.9%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses4
Recent vol4.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.5% / -2.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorBR Utilities
4-week rank57 / 62
Group average-4.5%
Trend breadth17.7%
Trend17.7%active weekly trend signals
MD19.4%positive activity pressure
RS22.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryBR Utilities - Regulated Water
4-week rank6 / 6
Group average-8.0%
Trend breadth16.7%
Trend16.7%active weekly trend signals
MD33.3%positive activity pressure
RS16.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape44/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 44/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis24/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 2/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 4/12.
Activity pressure 0.30; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 56.26%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.26% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 4 relevant articles.
93% Analysts Say Buy, But Is Companhia de Saneamento Básico do Estado de São Paulo – SABESP (SBS) Worth It? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 26.89 BRL | -2.9% | 29.54 BRL | 19.85 BRL | -0.80 | -5.53 | 55.5M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 27.70 BRL | -2.4% | 29.51 BRL | 19.75 BRL | -0.63 | -5.67 | 80.4M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 28.38 BRL | -2.9% | 29.47 BRL | 19.63 BRL | -0.64 | -1.16 | 73.6M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 29.22 BRL | -6.1% | 29.41 BRL | 19.51 BRL | -0.72 | 2.09 | 43.6M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 31.11 BRL | 2.4% | 29.30 BRL | 19.39 BRL | -0.82 | 6.29 | 49.3M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 30.37 BRL | 2.6% | 29.12 BRL | 19.25 BRL | -1.03 | 6.16 | 10.5M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 29.60 BRL | 9.8% | 28.98 BRL | 19.12 BRL | -1.15 | 4.25 | 18.3M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 26.96 BRL | -2.1% | 28.88 BRL | 19.00 BRL | -1.19 | -2.26 | 16.5M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 27.54 BRL | 0.7% | 28.85 BRL | 18.89 BRL | -1.18 | -1.64 | 11.0M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 27.34 BRL | -2.2% | 28.83 BRL | 18.78 BRL | -1.06 | -1.11 | 16.9M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 27.95 BRL | -1.8% | 28.78 BRL | 18.66 BRL | -0.73 | -1.65 | 79.0M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 28.46 BRL | -2.0% | 28.68 BRL | 18.55 BRL | -0.22 | -1.25 | 64.6M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 29.03 BRL | -6.7% | 28.57 BRL | 18.42 BRL | 0.50 | 0.13 | 91.0M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 31.13 BRL | -6.1% | 28.42 BRL | 18.30 BRL | 1.14 | 3.46 | 71.8M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.