SAPR4 SAO Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Companhia de Saneamento do Paraná - SANEPAR · Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Water

Latest close 6.74 BRL
-5.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -14.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 21.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.2%, after a -7.3% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 38 out of 100
Latest Close 6.74 BRL 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -5.2% latest completed week
4W Return -7.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return -8.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 75.0% 39 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -14.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 21.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.2%, after a -7.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.1x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0412-week average 0.23

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.04Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -7.3% over four weeks, -8.0% over 12 weeks, and 7.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-5.2%
4W-7.3%
12W-8.0%
26W-22.0%
52W7.4%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year39
Trend breadth75.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.90Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change20.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-13.54Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-24.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 4 relevant articles.

0 positive · 4 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-27.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.0%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-10.6%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-5.2%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses5
Recent vol3.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.1% / -3.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20266.74 BRL-5.2%7.88 BRL5.93 BRL-0.90-13.547.4MOff
31 Jul 20267.11 BRL0.3%7.93 BRL5.91 BRL-0.94-11.875.8MOff
24 Jul 20267.09 BRL-1.0%7.96 BRL5.89 BRL-1.04-10.463.5MOff
17 Jul 20267.16 BRL-1.5%7.97 BRL5.87 BRL-1.13-9.743.4MOff
10 Jul 20267.27 BRL1.1%7.98 BRL5.85 BRL-1.13-10.884.8MOff
3 Jul 20267.19 BRL-0.8%7.98 BRL5.82 BRL-1.16-10.47537.4KOff
26 Jun 20267.25 BRL-0.3%7.99 BRL5.80 BRL-1.20-9.611.2MOff
19 Jun 20267.27 BRL-2.3%7.99 BRL5.78 BRL-1.23-7.21594.3KOff
12 Jun 20267.44 BRL3.9%7.97 BRL5.76 BRL-1.26-6.741.2MOff
5 Jun 20267.16 BRL-3.4%7.95 BRL5.73 BRL-1.27-9.331.4MOff
29 May 20267.41 BRL2.1%7.94 BRL5.71 BRL-1.10-8.864.4MOff
22 May 20267.26 BRL-1.0%7.92 BRL5.68 BRL-1.03-12.025.5MOff
15 May 20267.33 BRL-10.6%7.90 BRL5.66 BRL-0.85-11.826.6MOff
8 May 20268.20 BRL4.1%7.89 BRL5.64 BRL-0.69-5.026.6MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context