- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.02% based on similar historical setup states.
SAPR3
SAO
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Companhia de Saneamento do Paraná - SANEPAR · Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Water
Latest close
7.43 BRL
-7.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -20.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 13.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -7.7%, after a -12.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
35
out of 100
Latest Close
7.43 BRL
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-7.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
-12.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-11.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
73.1%
38 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.9x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-7.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move -12.5%.
Indicator stack
40/37
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 56.02%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
3 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -20.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 13.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -7.7%, after a -12.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.9x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0512-week average 0.24
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.05Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -12.5% over four weeks, -11.8% over 12 weeks, and -1.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year38
Trend breadth73.1%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.82Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change19.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-17.38Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-75.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.
0 positive · 3 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-37.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.1%Week of 20 Mar.
Worst week-15.3%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-7.7%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses8
Recent vol5.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.2% / -4.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorBR Utilities
4-week rank56 / 62
Group average-4.5%
Trend breadth17.7%
Trend17.7%active weekly trend signals
MD19.4%positive activity pressure
RS22.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryBR Utilities - Regulated Water
4-week rank5 / 6
Group average-8.0%
Trend breadth16.7%
Trend16.7%active weekly trend signals
MD33.3%positive activity pressure
RS16.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape38/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 38/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis9/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.05; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 56.02%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.02% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.
93% Analysts Say Buy, But Is Companhia de Saneamento Básico do Estado de São Paulo – SABESP (SBS) Worth It? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 7.43 BRL | -7.7% | 9.40 BRL | 6.30 BRL | -0.82 | -17.38 | 761.0K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 8.05 BRL | -0.2% | 9.48 BRL | 6.27 BRL | -0.85 | -13.65 | 379.3K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 8.07 BRL | -3.2% | 9.51 BRL | 6.24 BRL | -0.88 | -11.82 | 770.8K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 8.34 BRL | -1.8% | 9.53 BRL | 6.22 BRL | -1.01 | -9.03 | 244.3K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 8.49 BRL | 1.1% | 9.53 BRL | 6.18 BRL | -1.02 | -9.89 | 542.1K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 8.40 BRL | -1.6% | 9.51 BRL | 6.15 BRL | -1.02 | -9.32 | 35.5K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 8.54 BRL | 0.5% | 9.49 BRL | 6.12 BRL | -1.08 | -7.54 | 103.3K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 8.50 BRL | -4.6% | 9.46 BRL | 6.09 BRL | -1.14 | -5.55 | 23.3K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 8.91 BRL | 11.4% | 9.41 BRL | 6.06 BRL | -1.19 | -2.52 | 117.8K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 8.00 BRL | -5.9% | 9.36 BRL | 6.02 BRL | -1.24 | -11.32 | 190.9K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 8.50 BRL | 2.5% | 9.33 BRL | 6.00 BRL | -1.10 | -8.35 | 307.3K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 8.29 BRL | -1.5% | 9.29 BRL | 5.96 BRL | -1.02 | -11.74 | 837.8K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 8.42 BRL | -12.5% | 9.24 BRL | 5.93 BRL | -0.81 | -10.80 | 882.4K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 9.62 BRL | 3.1% | 9.22 BRL | 5.90 BRL | -0.64 | -1.65 | 834.7K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.