DP4A GER Week ended 25 Sep 2026

Weekly Investor Report

A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S · Industrials · Marine Shipping

Latest close 3,036.00 EUR
3.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 35.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 97.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.8%, after a 7.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.

Setup score 87 out of 100
Latest Close 3,036.00 EUR 25 Sep 2026
1W Return 3.8% latest completed week
4W Return 7.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 38.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 3.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 85-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 35.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 97.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.8%, after a 7.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 3.4x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug 14 Aug 21 Aug 28 Aug 4 Sep 11 Sep 18 Sep 25 Sep
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9912-week average 0.88

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.99Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 7.1% over four weeks, 38.1% over 12 weeks, and 126.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 85 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.8%
4W7.1%
12W38.1%
26W42.4%
52W126.2%
Active trend streak85 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.65Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change58.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership53.94Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change17.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 25 Sep 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength81/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 20; rank 1 is best.
Value74/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Quality11/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Momentum97/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Growth6/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework23/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
19.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
12.8x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
7.8%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
6.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
5.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
7.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
3.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-2.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-53.9%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-31.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.1%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
4.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
6.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.

0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-1.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+18.8%Week of 14 Aug.
Worst week-11.9%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week+3.8%Week of 25 Sep.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses5
Recent vol5.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.0% / -3.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
25 Sep 20263,036.00 EUR3.8%2,246.05 EUR1,028.40 EUR1.6553.94201On
18 Sep 20262,926.00 EUR-1.1%2,199.32 EUR1,010.47 EUR1.6051.34131On
11 Sep 20262,958.00 EUR1.6%2,157.36 EUR993.29 EUR1.5653.6725On
4 Sep 20262,912.00 EUR2.7%2,112.19 EUR975.85 EUR1.5450.68171On
28 Aug 20262,836.00 EUR2.2%2,068.34 EUR958.67 EUR1.0445.8239On
21 Aug 20262,774.00 EUR4.8%2,028.12 EUR942.03 EUR0.6646.846On
14 Aug 20262,646.00 EUR18.8%1,986.10 EUR925.82 EUR0.2040.2128On
7 Aug 20262,228.00 EUR-1.9%1,950.18 EUR910.47 EUR-0.0919.9015On
31 Jul 20262,270.00 EUR2.7%1,928.82 EUR897.78 EUR-0.2326.300On
24 Jul 20262,210.00 EUR-0.5%1,904.75 EUR884.78 EUR-0.3726.670On
17 Jul 20262,220.00 EUR7.5%1,881.75 EUR872.27 EUR-0.4129.66119On
10 Jul 20262,066.00 EUR-6.0%1,857.75 EUR859.69 EUR-0.5520.6731On
3 Jul 20262,198.00 EUR5.5%1,839.86 EUR848.07 EUR-0.2025.851On
26 Jun 20262,084.00 EUR2.0%1,813.15 EUR835.50 EUR0.1025.893On
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context