260 completed weekly observations ยท 25 Sep 2026

BUE ยท Equity ยท technical research

LLY Technicals

Eli Lilly and Company

Healthcare ยท Drug Manufacturers - General

Aligned upwardPrice-technical state

Week ending25 September 2026
+4.1%
Open
32,800.00
High
34,520.00
Low
32,460.00
Close
34,300.00 ARS
Open chart Market Dynamics Report โ†—
Research for LLY
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Price structureAligned upwardcompleted-week alignment
Momentum60.5Positive
Risk pressure5.7%Contained
Trend quality24.0Range-led
Range position86%location inside observed range
Adaptive set6 viewsselected for the current tape

01 ยท Market Dynamics

Price and underlying support

Weekly close ยท published Market Dynamics
Upward price structure remains intact, but support is fading

Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure remains intact, but its underlying support has weakened.

Preparing Market Dynamics chart Checking the chart library, completed-week data and display size.
Weekly close Supportive Market Dynamics Cautious Market Dynamics Accumulation zone Distribution zone Positioning recovery Reversal warning Reversal danger
Current tape relationship
Positive support is weakening

Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive.

Price location
Between zones

Price is travelling between the two major positioning zones.

Latest positioning marker
3 Oct 2025

The green dot marks a confirmed recovery where institutional positioning is most plausible.

Market Dynamics confirmation
Weakening

Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path.

Chart contextPrice is between the outer positioning zones. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is strengthening or weakening.

InterpretationTreat the advance as conditional. Renewed Market Dynamics would restore confirmation; continued contraction would increase rollover risk.

Reading the zones and markers

The line shows completed weekly price. Market Dynamics describes the underlying support. Green marks a recovery through the accumulation zone; amber and red identify reversal warnings and danger. Price can stay in the distribution zone while advancing. Read the zones, markers and Market Dynamics together; they do not identify individual trades or prove who is participating.

02 ยท Technical indicators

The price move needs stronger confirmation.

6 selected views ยท 156 observations

Price is above both trend references. Trend strength remains modest, making the recent range worth watching. Market Dynamics is not fully confirming the price structure; compare both readings before treating the move as broadly supported.

Fast trend reference 33,043.18 ARSClose +3.8%Slow trend reference 31,106.40 ARSClose +10.3%Selection adapts to the setup and available history.

Structure

Price and trend

Price34,300.00

Aligned upward. Price anchors every interpretation against the same completed observations.

Watch Watch whether price holds its trend references or begins to cross back through them.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.

Close
34,300.00
Fast trend
33,043.18
Slow trend
31,106.40
Upper envelope
36,690.11
Lower envelope
27,603.33

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Structure

Trend strength and direction

Trend strength24.04

Range-led movement. Trend strength helps decide how much weight to put on momentum extremes.

Watch Strength measures persistence, not direction. Compare positive and negative control before interpreting it.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Directional pressure shows which side controls the tape while strength remains direction-neutral.

Trend strength
24.04
Positive direction
31.85
Negative direction
21.68

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Momentum

Momentum change

Impulse expansion-158.82

Negative impulse, easing. Acceleration can reveal a change before the broader price structure fully responds.

Watch A return through the neutral line deserves attention when trend and participation also change.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

The impulse path separates directional acceleration from a loss of momentum.

Impulse
1,727.90
Signal
1,886.72
Expansion
-158.82

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Risk

Range and volatility

Range pressure5.70%

Compressed range. Compression can precede a change in pace; direction still needs price confirmation.

Watch Watch whether a range expansion gains directional follow-through or quickly reverses.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Movement pressure and envelope width show whether risk is expanding, settling or compressed.

Range pressure
5.70
Envelope width
28.27

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Leadership

Relative strength

Relative strength20.66

Leading the benchmark. Benchmark context tests whether the move is company leadership or broader market participation.

Watch Watch whether relative strength confirms the absolute trend or continues to disagree.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Relative performance is separated from absolute price direction to reveal leadership and lagging pressure.

Relative strength
20.66

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Risk

Drawdown and recovery

Drawdown-66.72%

Recovery still incomplete. Distance below the observed high separates recovery from an established new high.

Watch A recovery can improve while price remains below its former high. Track both parts of the path.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Capital impairment and recovery are shown together so return is not separated from path difficulty.

Drawdown
-66.71
Recovery
44.97

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

More indicators3 additional views from the same history

Participation

Volume participation

Activity / norm445.74

Above normal activity. Activity tests the participation behind price; it does not identify who is buying or selling.

Watch Look for sustained participation in the direction of price, rather than a single busy observation.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Observed activity is compared with its normal backdrop while cumulative balance tracks directional participation.

Activity versus norm
445.74
Cumulative balance
135.00

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Momentum

Momentum

Momentum60.54

Positive pressure. Momentum helps test whether the latest price direction has follow-through.

Watch Watch for pressure to turn with price. A stretched reading alone does not establish a reversal.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Two independent momentum views show whether pressure is broadening, fading or stretched.

Momentum
60.54
Rotation
60.28
Rotation signal
53.16

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

Structure

Position in the recent range

Range position86.21%

Pressing the upper range. Range location is especially useful when a trend is not yet firmly established.

Watch Look for acceptance outside the range or a return toward its middle, supported by momentum.

Values and chart guide ยท 2026-09-25

Price location inside its observed range shows whether the tape is pressing an outer boundary or rotating through value.

Range position
86.21
From high
-5.14
From low
51.30

Available history begins 2023-10-06. Missing observations remain gaps.

03 ยท Scenarios

Conditions to monitor

Possible developments ยท no assigned probabilities
Upward resolution

Price gains acceptance above the range

An advance has stronger context when momentum, participation and Market Dynamics improve together and price holds the new ground.

Continued rotation

Moves return inside the range

Momentum turns without lasting price progress. Keep the range boundaries in view until a direction persists.

Downward resolution

The lower range gives way

A break has stronger context when downside momentum builds and relative strength weakens. Check whether a following completed observation holds below the range.

Sharemaestro tape intelligence

SM gauge assessment

One assessment resolves price structure and Market Dynamics. The supporting views show the control, force, direction and confidence behind it.

100/100 evidence depth
observed participation included
Joint upward confirmation The gauges support the upward market view

Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.

SM Consensus Gauge+49.4

Joint upward confirmation

SM Control Gauge+49.1

Buyer control supports the view

SM Force Gauge+77.7

Upward commitment

SM Direction Gauge+29.7

Upward follow-through

SM Confirmation Gauge93/100

Strong support

SM consensus path ยท Market Dynamics display window

SM Consensus Gauge against price

The bars show the direction and strength of the resolved assessment. Completed price is retained as context.

Latest +49.4
Joint upward confirmation
Supportive consensus Cautious consensus Weekly close Neutral

Control

SM Control Gauge

Shows whether buyer or seller control supports the current assessment and whether that support is strengthening or easing.

Current controlBuyer control supports the viewRecent pathControl support is strengtheningLatest 12 months
Buyer controlSeller controlBalanced

Commitment

SM Force Gauge

Shows the strength of market commitment behind the current assessment.

Current forceUpward commitmentRecent pathBroadly stableLatest 12 months
Positive forceNegative forceActivity intensity

Direction and follow-through

SM Direction Gauge

Shows the directional follow-through behind the current assessment and whether it is established or still developing.

Current directionUpward follow-throughFollow-throughUnsettledLatest 12 months
Advancing directionDeclining directionFollow-through

Assessment strength

SM Confirmation Gauge

Shows how firmly the current assessment is supported. Greater assessment risk reduces the weight of the conclusion.

ConfirmationStrong supportAssessment riskContainedLatest 12 months
SM Confirmation GaugeAssessment risk

05 ยท Historical record

Evidence from previous conditions

Completed cases ยท open cases excluded from outcomes

LLY ยท current evidence

Current conditions

The upward structure still has positive support, but renewed strength is needed to restore full confirmation.

1
NowEasier this week

Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive.

2
Recent directionWeakened over four weeks

Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path.

3
Price responsePrice structure is upward

Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics.

4
Previous casesRecord building
What strengthens this viewTreat the advance as conditional. Renewed Market Dynamics would restore confirmation; continued contraction would increase rollover risk.What would change itReassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.

Completed observations

Historical comparisons

Zone visits are counted once and followed through completed weekly closes. Open cases remain separate.

Price relationship Meaningful relationship
Same-week correlation
0.33
Direction agreed
59.6%
Completed comparisons
250
After accumulation6 distinct visits
4 weeks50.0% higher6 outcomes 12 weeks33.3% higher6 outcomes 26 weeks50.0% higher6 outcomes

Average time before leaving the zone: 11.7 weeks.

After distribution1 distinct visit
4 weeksRecord building0 outcomes 12 weeksRecord building0 outcomes 26 weeksRecord building0 outcomes

Average time before leaving the zone: 1.0 weeks.

When the two readings agreed or differed

Completed outcomes by condition

These cases compare price direction with Market Dynamics and show how large disagreements were resolved.

Price higher ยท Market Dynamics positive 71.4% were higher

Average 12-week move: 16.5% from 21 completed cases.

Price lower ยท Market Dynamics negative 20.0% were lower

Average 12-week move: 22.0% from 10 completed cases.

Price higher ยท Market Dynamics cautious Average pullback 5.6%

8.3% were lower after 12 weeks. The deepest pullback arrived after 2.6 weeks on average.

Price cautious ยท Market Dynamics positive Average recovery 23.5%

50.0% were higher after 12 weeks. The strongest recovery arrived after 6.6 weeks on average.

How to use the reading

Strategy observations from this ticker's own record

The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.

Zone positioning
Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation

After accumulation, 33.3% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 6 cases. Distinct visits lasted 11.7 weeks on average before leaving the zone.

ApproachBuild the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.

Review the case whenA failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure.

Disagreement playbook
Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate

Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 23.5% across 16 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.6 weeks on average.

ApproachDefine the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.

Review the case whenThe early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds.

Historical outcomes describe this ticker's completed record. They do not make the next move certain and are not trading instructions.

Readings describe completed observations. A strong reading is not a forecast, and historical outcomes are not probabilities for the next move. The full record, related research and technical pack remain available for closer review.

Technical research pack โ†—

Evidence context