Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data ยท Independent research
NYSE ยท Equity ยท United States
BJ
BJs Wholesale Club Holdings Inc
Consumer DefensiveDiscount Stores
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc., operates warehouse clubs on the East Coast of the United States. The company is headquartered in Westborough, Massachusetts.
Last updated
4 Sep 2026
Exchange
NYSE ยท NYSE
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Industry
Discount Stores
Currency
USD
Market capitalisation
12,576,580,507
Fair value reference
90.09
Next-week expectancy
Undecided ยท 48.54%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-09-04, BJ rose 9.35%, moving from 85.22 to 93.19. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 0 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -9.64 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 0.62 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is undecided at 48.54% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
4 Sep 2026
Latest Close
93.19
12-Week Change
9.35%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Undecided 48.54%
Signal Weeks
0 of 12
Weekly Chart Terminal
Select a chart tab to switch views.
Weekly Trend
Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity Lines
Analysis panels
Choose up to 6 panels. Drag panel headers to reorder.
Adaptive Price Envelope
Price, volatility and confirmation
Adaptive Price Envelope APE
See where price sits inside boundaries that adjust to completed-week direction and volatility, then check whether the wider evidence confirms the move.
Current completed-week read ยท 2026-09-04
Price is below the adaptive centre
The completed weekly close is on the lower side of the envelope. A centre recovery and improving confirmation would be the first signs of repair.
Use the envelope for price location and Market Dynamics to see whether support beneath price is strengthening or weakening.
Supportive Market DynamicsCautious Market DynamicsNeutral line
APE and support read
Support is improving beneath lower-envelope price
Price remains on the lower side of APE, but Market Dynamics is constructive. This is an early repair condition rather than confirmation until price responds.
Current reading
+0.62
Four-week change
+0.14
Current path
Strengthening
Confirmation checks
What supports or challenges the current read
A band touch is context, not a conclusion. These independent checks show whether the completed-week move has broader support.
Envelope pathCautious40% of the envelope
Price location and the direction of the adaptive centre are read together.
Trend LineCautiousBelow and falling
Checks whether completed-week price and the primary trend are moving in the same direction.
Market DynamicsSupportive+0.62 ยท +0.14 over 4 weeks
Tests whether support beneath price is strengthening or weakening.
Relative strengthCautious-9.6 ยท -1.1 over 4 weeks
Shows whether the listing is strengthening or weakening against its stored comparison benchmark.
ParticipationMixed0.87ร recent volume
Checks whether the current move is attracting more participation than recent completed weeks.
Completed-week analysis
How to interpret this envelope now
Price position
Below the adaptive centre
The latest close sits at 40% of the current lower-to-upper envelope span and has held this state for 1 completed week.
Envelope width
Envelope width is typical
Current width ranks at the 28th percentile of the recent completed-week history. Compression can precede expansion but does not determine direction.
Evidence agreement
Broad confirmation
70% of the available trend, support, relative-strength and participation checks agree with or do not contradict the current envelope pressure.
What to watch next
Persistence, repair or rejection
Watch completed closes around the adaptive centre (94.70), upper boundary (101.33) and lower boundary (87.65).
Recent completed events
What changed around the envelope
Lower repair
Price moved back inside the envelope after a lower break.
Lower-envelope break
Price closed beneath the adaptive lower boundary.
Lower repair
Price moved back inside the envelope after a lower break.
Lower-envelope break
Price closed beneath the adaptive lower boundary.
Upper re-entry
Price moved back inside the envelope after an upper break.
Upper-envelope break
Price closed above the adaptive upper boundary.
Auction Intelligence
Sharemaestro market acceptance
Auction Intelligence
Where the market has accepted value, how that value is moving, and which price pathways remain structurally open.
Current auction stateAccepted value migrating lower
Price remains within the broader value area while the recent acceptance centre moves lower.
Price location
Within accepted value
Accepted value
Lower
Persistence
62 weeks
Auction runway
More open above
Accepted value83.63โ111.43
Principal three-year auction range
Acceptance centre92.69
0.5% latest-price distance
Value migration-3.3%
Recent centre versus prior year
Value breadth33.2%
Width of the accepted-value range
The auction map
Price path and acceptance geometry
Price shows the journey; the profile shows where that journey developed durable market memory.
Rolling market memory and the nearest established acceptance above and below the current price.
Is market memory moving?
Accepted-value migration
Each column is a rolling one-year auction. Brighter areas show stronger price acceptance.
Where is the next market memory?
Auction runway
The upside is in price discovery while established market memory remains below.
AboveOpen discoveryNo established acceptance shelf is visible in this direction inside the three-year range.
Below92.69Established market memory sits 0.5% below the latest close.
Decision map
What would confirm or challenge the current interpretation?
Sustained weekly closes above111.43
Higher-value acceptance
Holding above this boundary while the acceptance centre rises would strengthen the higher-value interpretation.
Primary market-memory magnet92.69
Rotation toward value
This is the centre of the three-year auction and the principal reference if price rotates back through value.
Sustained weekly closes below83.63
Lower-value acceptance
Holding below this boundary while the acceptance centre falls would strengthen the lower-value interpretation.
Decision context
Structural references and cross-signal agreement
The closest market-memory levels, the evidence that agrees or disagrees, and the limits of the current interpretation.
Market memory
Nearest structural nodes
These are historical acceptance references, not live resting orders.
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
92.69
-0.5%
Low-acceptance corridorHistorically limited acceptance makes this a potential fast-travel area.
102.36
9.8%
Low-acceptance corridorHistorically limited acceptance makes this a potential fast-travel area.
72.15
-22.6%
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
66.10
-29.1%
Cross-signal agreement
Does the wider Sharemaestro picture agree?
Agreement strengthens context; disagreement identifies where the thesis is vulnerable.
Auction locationShows where the latest close sits relative to established accepted value.Within accepted value
Accepted-value migrationCompares the recent acceptance centre with the preceding one-year auction.Lower
30-week trendThe latest close is 0.4% below the trend line.Price below
Fair-value positionMarket price is 3.4% above the current fair-value reference.Above
Point & Figure structureConfirms whether reversal structure agrees with the current auction direction.Supply column falling
Earnings repricingShows whether accepted market value is developing with or against the earnings relationship.Expectations ahead
Accepted value migrating lower
Price remains within the broader value area while the recent acceptance centre moves lower.
More open above
The upside is in price discovery while established market memory remains below.
Established market memory
The three-year acceptance centre at 92.69 remains the dominant rotational reference.
Security-specific analogues
How comparable auction states resolved
Fewer than four non-overlapping comparable episodes exist in the visible history.
0 comparable non-overlapping episodes are visible; at least four are required before outcomes are summarised.
Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Current weekly interpretationAdvancing structure with constructive close
Recent completed price swings are progressing higher on both sides of the range. Price is below its completed-week trend reference and that reference is falling.
Full context ยท Unstable
Current structureAdvancing structure
Recent completed price swings are progressing higher on both sides of the range.
Trend relationshipBelow a falling trend
Price is below its completed-week trend reference and that reference is falling.
Support and resistanceSupport 88.07 ยท Resistance 93.25
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
Participation qualityNormal participation
Participation was broadly consistent with the market's completed recent history.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceVolumeTypical volumePublished event
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move+2.86%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterConstructive close
Price advanced and finished in the upper part of the completed weekly range.
Where the week closedNear the weekly high
The close finished at 83% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityUnstable
Frequent recent changes in direction reduce confidence in the current price path.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
Recent completed price swings are progressing higher on both sides of the range.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is below a falling trend; participation is normal participation, and path quality is unstable.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history75% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-21.3%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+383.9%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical1.1ร typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
Trend lost
The weekly close moved below the completed trend reference.
1 week ago
Trend reclaimed
The weekly close moved back above the completed trend reference.
5 weeks ago
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
10 weeks ago
Support structure lost
The weekly close moved below the preceding completed price structure.
15 weeks ago
Upside structure cleared
The weekly close moved above the preceding completed price structure.
29 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateInside accepted value
52-week position
44.2%
Low to high
Accepted price
93.16
Latest versus accepted: 0.03%
Fitted direction
Sideways
-0.02% per week
Range pressure
52/100
Balanced pressure
Range condition
Normal
1.13ร normal range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure ยท 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Support88.13
From price
-5.4%
Evidence
71/100
Touches
6
Support92.21
From price
-1.1%
Evidence
100/100
Touches
6
Resistance95.16
From price
2.1%
Evidence
87/100
Touches
7
Resistance100.50
From price
7.8%
Evidence
67/100
Touches
5
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionInside accepted value
Price is at 44.2% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionSideways
The fitted centre line is moving -0.02% per week.
Range pressureBalanced pressure
The current pressure reading is 52/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level95.16
Resistance is 2.1% from the latest close with 87/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure ยท volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Current Smart Money readA repair is developing beneath price
The latest path is improving, but broader confirmation is not yet complete.
Momentum 0.21 ยท Improving
Trend qualityMixed
The current trend state has persisted for 20 completed weeks; visible confirmation is mixed.
Momentum pathSoft ยท Improving
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsNormal
Earlier warnings are outside the recent completed-week window.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
Momentum is improving, providing an early sign of repair beneath the current price path.
What would improve it
Broader agreement between price, trend and the completed-week support state would strengthen the case.
What could weaken it
There is no fresh positive event marker, so the current reading depends on continued confirmation rather than a new signal.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
56 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
57 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
60 weeks ago
Demand warning
Demand support weakened enough to merit attention.
61 weeks ago
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
61 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price and support relationship ยท 12 completed weeks
Underlying support is repairing beneath soft price
Price changed -3.4%, while Market Dynamics improved +0.14 over the latest 4 completed weeks. The gap is constructive but is not yet wide enough to call a decisive divergence.
Latest 4 weeks in focus
Price change from 2026-06-19Market DynamicsLatest 4 completed weeks
Zone-to-zone journey model
45% across the current zone span
The model estimates a 19% chance of confirming accumulation within 52 completed weeks and a 29% chance of returning to the source zone first.
Current journey
Distribution to accumulation ยท Progressing
Activated
2025-06-13
Model data
Through 2026-08-21
What Market Dynamics shows
Yes. Market Dynamics follows the completed-week transition between the two sides of a market cycle. Accumulation is the lower zone where selling pressure may be absorbed and support may be forming; distribution is the upper zone where earlier demand may be tiring and supply can begin to take control. The model measures both accumulation to distribution and the reverse journey, and waits for a deeper close or repeated closes before treating a new zone as confirmed. BJ is 45% across its current move from distribution back toward accumulation. The journey remains open because neither the target nor a return to the source has been confirmed. For an investor, the value is in separating an apparent price move from a completed change in market character: target confirmation can strengthen the case that a new phase is taking hold, while a confirmed source return warns that the attempted change did not persist and the risk/reward should be reassessed. The completed journeys below show how 1 transitions in this ticker's stored history reached and confirmed the opposite zone.
Current zone-span position 45%
Distribution to Accumulation ยท 64 completed weeks since exit
Complete within 26 weeks 10%
Confirm the current accumulation zone first
Complete within 52 weeks 19%
Confirm the target zone using completed weeks
Invalidate within 52 weeks 29%
Confirm a return to the source zone first
Question 1 ยท Where has price travelled?
Current journey through the zone span
Zero is the confirmed starting zone; 100% is the opposite target zone.
Observed zone-span positionStarting-zone sideTarget-zone side
Question 2 ยท What does the model estimate?
Current 52-week outcome probability
These are competing model outcomes for the active journey, not next-week forecasts.
Confirm target within 52 weeksReturn to source within 52 weeks
12 weeks3%
26 weeks10%
52 weeks19%
Accumulation zone
71.64 / deep 65.06
Current close
93.19
Distribution zone
111.16 / deep 117.74
Source-zone dwell
22 completed weeks
Market Dynamics 0.62Latest causal completed-week reading12-week change 1.36Change in underlying supportTrend position 0%Close relative to the Trend LineVolume ratio 0.93รRecent activity versus its baseline
What actually happened before?
Successful zone transitions
Target-confirmed opposite-zone transitions from the latest 156 charted weeks.
Most recent successful journeyAccumulation to Distribution ยท Confirmed distribution
2024-03-08โ2025-04-04 ยท 57 completed weeks ยท price move +52.9%. Across this chart, 1 journey confirmed an opposite zone: 1 reached distribution and 0 reached accumulation.
0% ยท confirmed source exit100% ยท confirmed opposite zone
Accumulation to DistributionConfirmed distribution
2024-03-08โ2025-04-04 ยท journey 57w ยท source dwell 23w
Source exit50%Target confirmed
Furthest point
100%
Price move
+52.9%
Time to confirm
57w
Reached and confirmed distribution after 57 completed weeks. Price moved +52.9% from the confirmed source-zone exit.
Earnings and Price Index
Earnings and Price Index
A three-year index of the relationship between earnings power and market price.
Current stateExpectations ahead
Market price is leading earnings power; the spread is stable and has persisted through 1 update.
Spread
Stable
Persistence
1 quarter
Confirmation
Awaiting refresh
Repricing pressure
Low โ price-led
Market move34.3%
Three-year change
Earnings move20.2%
Three-year change
Repricing spread-14.1 pts
stable
Current valuation20.3ร
Price relative to earnings power
Market price is leading earnings power; the spread is stable and has persisted through 1 update.
Market price
Earnings power
Repricing spread
Earnings update
Supporting evidence
Attribution, business confirmation and horizon robustness
The components behind the repricing relationship and the independent evidence that supports or challenges it.
What drove the move?
Earnings and relative valuation contributions
Shows how the earnings move and relative valuation combine into the total market move.
What supports the earnings picture?
Business confirmation
Business confirmation is not yet aligned to the latest earnings update.
EarningsRevenueCash generation
Signal robustness
Does the relationship persist across time horizons?
Shows whether the same earnings or price lead remains visible from shorter starting points.
Market acceptance
How price responded to each earnings update
Across completed four-week windows, 2 improving updates had a non-positive price response; 2 had a meaningful positive price response.
Professional contextPeer rarity, comparable outcomes and state history
Comparable historical outcomes
There are not yet enough comparable point-in-time observations for a responsible outcome summary.
State transitions
Highlights when the dominant relationship between earnings power and market price changed.
Broadly aligned
Shared contraction
Confirmed compounding
Expectations ahead
Confirmed compounding
Expectations ahead
Price Cycle
Completed-week market perception
Price Cycle
A deep view of whether price pressure is strong, weak, strengthening, fading or moving through a higher-risk transition.
Current Price Cycle readNegative pressure is historically weak and cooling
Negative pressure is elevated relative to the completed history. Positive pressure remains, but it is becoming less forceful.
+3.44% ยท Historically weak ยท Cooling
Market positionHistorically weak
Negative pressure is elevated relative to the completed history.
Pressure directionCooling
Positive pressure remains, but it is becoming less forceful.
Trend qualityUnstable
The recent path has changed direction frequently, reducing confidence in persistence.
Risks and warningsWeakness accelerating
An historically weak position is still losing ground.
Pressure, price and published transitions
Where market perception strengthened, faded or changed state
The percentage reading is primary. Weekly close is retained only as market context; selected annotations identify meaningful completed transitions.
Market PerceptionPositive pressureNegative pressureWeekly CloseBalanceCrossed upCrossed downPublished transition or Price Action signal
Current evaluation
What the Price Cycle says now
The evaluation combines the finished pressure state, its direction, persistence and historical context.
What supports it
There is limited positive pressure; the reading needs improvement before it offers dependable support.
What would improve it
A sustained recovery toward balance, followed by positive pressure, would strengthen the reading.
What could weaken it
An historically weak position is still losing ground.
What to watch next
The latest path is cooling with unstable trend quality. Comparable history is mixed follow-through.
Statistical perspective
How unusual, persistent and historically consequential is this position?
Historical observations describe completed evidence. They do not predict the next price move.
Historical positionLower 6% of history
The latest reading is weaker than 94% of completed observations.
State persistence0 completed weeks
The current historically weak state has persisted without interruption.
Comparable historyMixed follow-through
Across 161 comparable completed observations, later closes were higher 58% of the time; the typical move was +1.0%. This is context, not a forecast.
Published transition history
What changed, and when
Transitions are completed observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Deep weakness
Negative pressure entered an historically weak position.
Latest week
Deep weakness
Negative pressure entered an historically weak position.
3 weeks ago
Positive pressure established
The completed reading moved from weakness into positive pressure.
7 weeks ago
Weakness established
The completed reading moved below balance into negative pressure.
8 weeks ago
Positive pressure established
The completed reading moved from weakness into positive pressure.
10 weeks ago
Weakness established
The completed reading moved below balance into negative pressure.
11 weeks ago
VWAP Control
Completed-week volume-weighted structure
VWAP Control
Shows price against its completed-week volume-weighted references, changes in control and the levels that would confirm or weaken the current reading.
Current controlControl is contested
Price is above the core VWAP, which is falling. 50% of recent weighted activity has been accepted above it.
55/100 pressure
ControlControl is contested
Pressure 55/100 and -13.7 points over four weeks.
VWAP stack5 of 7 below price
7 references converge near 92.80: Year VWAP, Swing low, Latest earnings VWAP, 52-week VWAP, High-activity anchor, 26-week VWAP, 13-week VWAP.
Acceptance50% above
Share of recent completed weighted activity accepted on the prevailing side of the core VWAP.
Control backgroundBuyer controlContestedSeller control
Seller control50 ยท contestedBuyer control
Current VWAP signals
Control, agreement and concentration
Control transfer beginning
Control transfer beginning
Price has completed its first move back above the core VWAP; acceptance and the next retest now matter.
Price and VWAP pressure broadly agree
No material six-week disagreement is present between price direction and VWAP control.
VWAP cluster present
7 references converge near 92.80: Year VWAP, Swing low, Latest earnings VWAP, 52-week VWAP, High-activity anchor, 26-week VWAP, 13-week VWAP.
Confirmation and failure levels
Levels that change the current reading
Confirmation93.45
A completed close above Swing low with pressure holding above 60 would strengthen buyer control.
Decision area93.14
Year VWAP at 93.14, 0.1% below the latest close.
Weakening level93.14
A completed close below Year VWAP with acceptance moving under 50% would weaken the present structure.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
Year VWAP93.14
-0.06% from close
Swing low93.45
+0.28% from close
Latest earnings VWAP93.45
+0.28% from close
52-week VWAP92.92
-0.29% from close
High-activity anchor92.91
-0.31% from close
26-week VWAP92.22
-1.05% from close
13-week VWAP91.51
-1.80% from close
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 53%Above price 47%
72%near price
A notable share of recent weighted activity remains above price and may act as overhead supply.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark ยท SPYWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -28.1 points.
Buyers firmly in control ยท 83/100
Sector ยท Consumer DefensiveStronger control than reference
Stronger control than reference; control-score gap +24.7 points.
Seller control developing ยท 30/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible historyโnot a forecast.
Weekly reclaim20% favourable
Events
5
Median 4w
-3.59%
Median 13w
-3.06%
Typical best
+2.37%
Typical worst
-8.30%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss33% favourable
Events
6
Median 4w
+0.39%
Median 13w
+2.86%
Typical best
+7.88%
Typical worst
-6.00%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states14 matched weeks
Positive after 4w
29%
Median 4w
-4.11%
Positive after 13w
21%
Median 13w
-7.12%
Best / worst 13w
+31.1% / -13.7%
Outcomes after completed weeks with a similar control score and the same side of the core VWAP.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
VWAP structure turned lower
The fast VWAP crossed below the core VWAP.
Next-State Map
Next-State Map
Historical one-week transition paths from similar completed-week states.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Current SMI readUnderlying support is fragile, but repair has begun
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.35 ยท Fragile
Current stateFragile ยท 0.35
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionImproving
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceDeveloping
5 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipMixed relationship
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.35 ยท Fragile
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have carried a cautious historical bias
Across 23 comparable completed observations, 39.1% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was -4.6%.
Comparable observations
23
Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
39.1%
After 13 completed weeks
Median move
-4.6%
Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
-23.8 pts
Difference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
4 Sep 2026
Latest Close
93.19
12-Week Change
9.35%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Undecided 48.54%
Signal Weeks
0 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Below
Vs Fair Value
Above
Relative Strength
-9.64
Market Dynamics
0.62
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-09-04, BJ rose 9.35%, moving from 85.22 to 93.19. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 0 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -9.64 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 0.62 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is undecided at 48.54% based on similar historical setup states.
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