- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 59.47% based on similar historical setup states.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
BWY
LSE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Bellway p.l.c. · Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
Latest close
2,124 GBP
6.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 33.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.8%, after a 13.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
46
out of 100
Latest Close
2,124 GBP
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
6.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
13.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
14.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
21.2%
11 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.9x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
6.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move 13.1%.
Indicator stack
12/98
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Recent
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 59.47%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
8 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 33.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.8%, after a 13.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1712-week average 0.08
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.17Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 13.1% over four weeks, 14.9% over 12 weeks, and -14.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year11
Trend breadth21.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.64Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change451.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-16.67Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change35.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Jan 2026
Field coverage 42%
Model confidence 36%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength82/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Value71/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
Quality72/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
Momentum72/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
Growth72/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- - Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- - Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- - Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- - Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- - Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- - Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- - Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 0/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 3.4% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 3.4% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- - Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 8 relevant articles.
0 positive · 8 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalRecent
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-26.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.8%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-18.0%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week+6.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses8
Recent vol4.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.4% / -4.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorGB Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank14 / 100
Group average5.3%
Trend breadth48.0%
Trend48.0%active weekly trend signals
MD74.0%positive activity pressure
RS43.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryGB Residential Construction
4-week rank3 / 12
Group average7.2%
Trend breadth16.7%
Trend16.7%active weekly trend signals
MD91.7%positive activity pressure
RS16.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape39/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 39/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis20/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.17; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 59.47%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 59.47% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors74/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 52; Small Cap Core rank 49 Patient CapitalRecentActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 8 relevant articles.
Bellway p.l.c. Revenue Breakdown – LSE:BWY Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 2,124 GBP | 6.8% | 2,168 GBP | 2,499 GBP | 0.64 | -16.67 | 1.6M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 1,988 GBP | 0.5% | 2,188 GBP | 2,499 GBP | 0.54 | -22.27 | 2.1M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 1,979 GBP | 0.6% | 2,212 GBP | 2,501 GBP | 0.44 | -22.30 | 2.4M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 1,967 GBP | 4.7% | 2,234 GBP | 2,502 GBP | 0.37 | -22.39 | 2.9M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 1,878 GBP | -4.6% | 2,256 GBP | 2,503 GBP | 0.12 | -25.80 | 3.0M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 1,969 GBP | -2.8% | 2,283 GBP | 2,503 GBP | -0.30 | -24.25 | 199.1K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 2,026 GBP | 9.3% | 2,312 GBP | 2,503 GBP | -0.66 | -21.74 | 580.9K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 1,854 GBP | 5.8% | 2,336 GBP | 2,503 GBP | -0.96 | -28.11 | 1.2M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 1,752 GBP | -3.5% | 2,365 GBP | 2,505 GBP | -1.08 | -33.56 | 741.1K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 1,816 GBP | -5.4% | 2,395 GBP | 2,508 GBP | -1.06 | -31.13 | 487.3K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 1,919 GBP | 2.8% | 2,421 GBP | 2,511 GBP | -1.02 | -28.24 | 2.9M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 1,866 GBP | 1.0% | 2,449 GBP | 2,513 GBP | -1.02 | -31.22 | 3.3M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 1,848 GBP | -6.9% | 2,472 GBP | 2,517 GBP | -1.08 | -30.77 | 3.0M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 1,984 GBP | 3.1% | 2,492 GBP | 2,521 GBP | -1.07 | -26.69 | 2.5M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.