2412 TAI Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd. · Communication Services · Telecom Services

Latest close 137.5 TWD
-1.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 3.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 72.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.4%, after a 3.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 55 out of 100
Latest Close 137.5 TWD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -1.4% latest completed week
4W Return 3.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 3.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 73.1% 38 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 21-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • No major top-level risk cluster is currently dominant.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 3.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 72.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.4%, after a 3.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8012-week average 0.82

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.80Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 3.0% over four weeks, 3.5% over 12 weeks, and 10.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 21 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.4%
4W3.0%
12W3.5%
26W7.0%
52W10.3%
Active trend streak21 weeks
Active weeks in one year38
Trend breadth73.1%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.98Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-19.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-23.31Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change23.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.

0 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-3.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility1.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+3.4%Week of 17 Jul.
Worst week-1.7%Week of 10 Jul.
Latest week-1.4%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains0
Modest gains12
Flat weeks4
Modest losses10
Sharp losses0
Recent vol1.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol1.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.2% / -1.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryTW Telecom Services
4-week rank2 / 2
Group average5.7%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026137.5 TWD-1.4%132.5 TWD118.8 TWD0.98-23.3152.2MOn
31 Jul 2026139.5 TWD0.4%132.2 TWD118.6 TWD1.07-21.03116.7MOn
24 Jul 2026139.0 TWD0.7%131.7 TWD118.3 TWD1.01-23.0384.6MOn
17 Jul 2026138.0 TWD3.4%131.3 TWD118.1 TWD1.18-22.58117.3MOn
10 Jul 2026133.5 TWD-1.7%130.9 TWD117.9 TWD1.21-30.27116.7MOn
3 Jul 2026135.7 TWD-1.4%130.6 TWD117.7 TWD1.51-32.0897.2MOn
26 Jun 2026137.7 TWD-0.7%130.3 TWD117.5 TWD1.60-28.5760.6MOn
19 Jun 2026138.6 TWD-0.7%129.9 TWD117.3 TWD1.48-31.8040.9MOn
12 Jun 2026139.6 TWD2.8%129.5 TWD117.1 TWD1.46-28.6076.4MOn
5 Jun 2026135.7 TWD2.9%129.1 TWD116.9 TWD1.34-32.6685.5MOn
29 May 2026131.9 TWD0.0%128.8 TWD116.8 TWD1.04-34.8189.2MOn
22 May 2026131.9 TWD-0.7%128.7 TWD116.6 TWD0.89-31.81105.8MOn
15 May 2026132.9 TWD1.1%128.6 TWD116.5 TWD0.64-30.2056.6MOn
8 May 2026131.4 TWD0.4%128.4 TWD116.3 TWD0.62-32.4048.8MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context