- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 57.64% based on similar historical setup states.
CEVA
NASDAQ
Week ended 09 Oct 2026
Weekly Investor Report
CEVA Inc · Technology · Semiconductors
Latest close
33.49 USD
-9.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 47.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -9.7%, after a 15.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 43/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 30d.
Setup score
47
out of 100
Latest Close
33.49 USD
9 Oct 2026
1W Return
-9.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
15.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-11.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
42.3%
22 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.7x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-9.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move 15.4%.
Indicator stack
23/43
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 57.64%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Bullish
43/100 conviction; expected move 10.5%.
News sentiment
53/100
26 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
30d
Next report is scheduled for 09 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 47.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -9.7%, after a 15.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
21 Aug
28 Aug
4 Sep
11 Sep
18 Sep
25 Sep
2 Oct
9 Oct
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3512-week average 0.60
12-week confirmation
Trend active5/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership7/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.35Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 15.4% over four weeks, -11.8% over 12 weeks, and 24.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year22
Trend breadth42.3%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.58Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change37.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership3.05Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change151.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 02 Oct 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026
Field coverage 85%
Model confidence 84%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength8/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 93; rank 1 is best.
Value16/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Quality17/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Momentum33/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Growth68/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 9.0x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -0.1% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 87.4% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -8.3% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -0.9% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -2.3% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 8.8% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 0.0% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -0.3% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -0.3% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 4.4x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBullish
CEVA shows bullish options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.17, expected move of 10.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction43/100
Expected move10.5%
Put/call volume0.17
Insider activity13 / 7
13 acquisitions and 7 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment53/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 26 relevant articles.
10 positive · 16 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings30dNext report is scheduled for 09 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move10.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-35.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility11.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
17 Apr
15 May
12 Jun
10 Jul
7 Aug
4 Sep
9 Oct
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+23.3%Week of 24 Apr.
Worst week-16.6%Week of 17 Jul.
Latest week-9.7%Week of 9 Oct.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains13
Modest gains2
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses8
Recent vol11.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.7% / -7.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Technology
4-week rank- / 100
Group average7.2%
Trend breadth63.0%
Trend63.0%active weekly trend signals
MD52.0%positive activity pressure
RS58.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Semiconductors
4-week rank22 / 69
Group average9.6%
Trend breadth44.9%
Trend44.9%active weekly trend signals
MD17.4%positive activity pressure
RS56.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape44/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 44/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis38/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 5/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 7/12.
Activity pressure 0.35; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 57.64%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.64% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors17/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 81; Small Cap Core rank 93 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options43/100Call activity leads. Options balance does not yet confirm the saved weekly stock trend.
2026-10-09 · Checks passed · Priced move ±10.5% Sentiment53/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 26 relevant articles.
CEVA stock falls 1.39 percent after Q2 revenue grew 13 percent Insiders13 / 713 acquisitions and 7 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings30dNext report is scheduled for 09 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | 33.49 USD | -9.7% | 33.64 USD | 25.59 USD | -0.58 | 3.05 | 2.6M | Off |
| 2 Oct 2026 | 37.10 USD | 2.5% | 33.13 USD | 25.50 USD | -0.69 | 14.36 | 3.9M | Off |
| 25 Sep 2026 | 36.20 USD | 19.6% | 32.53 USD | 25.38 USD | -0.89 | 12.49 | 3.2M | Off |
| 18 Sep 2026 | 30.27 USD | 4.3% | 32.02 USD | 25.27 USD | -1.01 | -2.64 | 3.0M | Off |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 29.01 USD | 7.6% | 31.66 USD | 25.20 USD | -0.93 | -5.93 | 2.3M | Off |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 26.95 USD | -0.6% | 31.45 USD | 25.15 USD | -0.77 | -13.10 | 3.5M | Off |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 27.12 USD | -3.1% | 31.30 USD | 25.13 USD | -0.65 | -12.32 | 2.9M | Off |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 27.99 USD | -15.9% | 31.10 USD | 25.10 USD | -0.49 | -9.18 | 5.9M | On |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 33.28 USD | -13.9% | 30.94 USD | 25.06 USD | -0.46 | 5.18 | 6.0M | On |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 38.67 USD | 18.4% | 30.60 USD | 24.98 USD | -0.36 | 23.85 | 3.9M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 32.65 USD | -10.2% | 30.07 USD | 24.87 USD | -0.02 | 10.66 | 5.4M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 36.35 USD | -4.3% | 29.73 USD | 24.83 USD | 0.23 | 24.43 | 2.1M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 37.97 USD | -16.6% | 29.24 USD | 24.77 USD | 0.60 | 28.61 | 3.2M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 45.54 USD | 12.7% | 28.68 USD | 24.69 USD | 1.01 | 48.71 | 3.9M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.