MXL NASDAQ Week ended 02 Oct 2026

Weekly Investor Report

MaxLinear Inc · Technology · Semiconductors

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Latest close 105.93 USD
12.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 52.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 80.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 12.9%, after a 68.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 59/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 12d.

Setup score 63 out of 100
Latest Close 105.93 USD 2 Oct 2026
1W Return 12.9% latest completed week
4W Return 68.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return 16.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 92.3% 48 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 27-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 12.9% Latest completed week; four-week move 68.8%. Indicator stack 96/54 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 59/100 conviction; expected move 9.8%. News sentiment 57/100 39 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 12d Next report is scheduled for 22 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 52.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 80.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 12.9%, after a 68.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug 14 Aug 21 Aug 28 Aug 4 Sep 11 Sep 18 Sep 25 Sep 2 Oct
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5212-week average 0.69

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.52Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 68.8% over four weeks, 16.0% over 12 weeks, and 544.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 27 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W12.9%
4W68.8%
12W16.0%
26W489.2%
52W544.0%
Active trend streak27 weeks
Active weeks in one year48
Trend breadth92.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.17Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change83.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership106.09Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change150.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 02 Oct 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 85% Model confidence 84%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength16/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Value8/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 93; rank 1 is best.
Quality18/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Momentum94/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Growth86/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
16.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
0.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
57.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-11.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
0.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-8.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
50.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-2.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

MXL shows volatility options pressure with a 59/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.43, expected move of 9.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction59/100
Expected move9.8%
Put/call volume0.43
Pressure43
Speculation41
Volatility95
Trend agreement88
Open options detail
Insider activity1 / 19

1 acquisitions and 19 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 39 relevant articles.

19 positive · 16 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings12dNext report is scheduled for 22 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move9.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-17.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility12.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+129.6%Week of 24 Apr.
Worst week-21.5%Week of 21 Aug.
Latest week+12.9%Week of 2 Oct.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains15
Modest gains1
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses7
Recent vol12.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol20.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew14.8% / -7.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape62/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 62/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis60/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.52; 2 reversal markers Factors31/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 59; Small Cap Core rank 96 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options63/100

Movement matters more than direction. Options do not give a clear directional confirmation of the stock trend.

2026-10-09 · Checks passed · Priced move ±9.8% Sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 39 relevant articles.

MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL) Stock Price, News, Quote & History Insiders1 / 19

1 acquisitions and 19 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings12d

Next report is scheduled for 22 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
2 Oct 2026105.93 USD12.9%69.63 USD26.98 USD-0.17106.0915.4MOn
25 Sep 202693.84 USD15.7%66.62 USD26.44 USD-0.5489.8818.4MOn
18 Sep 202681.12 USD8.8%64.08 USD25.98 USD-0.8574.5715.4MOn
11 Sep 202674.57 USD18.9%61.99 USD25.60 USD-1.0266.1810.4MOn
4 Sep 202662.74 USD1.6%60.15 USD25.26 USD-1.0442.4011.4MOn
28 Aug 202661.73 USD-7.3%58.69 USD25.01 USD-0.9943.308.7MOn
21 Aug 202666.61 USD-21.5%57.21 USD24.77 USD-0.9058.2412.5MOn
14 Aug 202684.84 USD13.2%55.60 USD24.48 USD-0.73100.7311.0MOn
7 Aug 202674.98 USD12.2%53.42 USD24.08 USD-0.6284.8712.2MOn
31 Jul 202666.82 USD-6.7%51.55 USD23.74 USD-0.3377.8621.9MOn
24 Jul 202671.59 USD-0.3%49.94 USD23.47 USD-0.0196.4130.9MOn
17 Jul 202671.84 USD-21.3%48.14 USD23.17 USD0.2799.3915.8MOn
10 Jul 202691.30 USD-2.0%46.34 USD22.93 USD0.53149.7613.9MOn
3 Jul 202693.12 USD-3.6%43.87 USD22.55 USD0.67169.5121.1MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context