NDA GER Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Aurubis AG · Industrials · Metal Fabrication

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Latest close 173.7 EUR
-4.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 63.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.4%, after a 1.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100.

Setup score 54 out of 100
Latest Close 173.7 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -4.4% latest completed week
4W Return 1.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return -15.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 98.1% 51 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 57.65% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 8 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -4.4% Latest completed week; four-week move 1.9%. Indicator stack 54/29 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 57.65% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 54/100 11 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 63.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.4%, after a 1.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6912-week average 0.83

12-week confirmation

Trend active11/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.69Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers88 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 8 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 1.9% over four weeks, -15.4% over 12 weeks, and 83.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-4.4%
4W1.9%
12W-15.4%
26W6.6%
52W83.3%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year51
Trend breadth98.1%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.02Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-35.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership8.89Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-47.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 85%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength92/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Value86/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Quality31/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Momentum92/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Growth81/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 20; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework84/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
8.2x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
5.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-0.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
11.7%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
5.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-0.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
14.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
6.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
29.6%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.9%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 11 relevant articles.

1 positive · 9 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-20.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+16.8%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-7.3%Week of 12 Jun.
Latest week-4.4%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses7
Recent vol5.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.8% / -3.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryDE Metal Fabrication
4-week rank2 / 2
Group average3.7%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

NOEJ · GER5.5%NDA · GER1.9%
08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape56/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 56/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis63/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 11/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.69; 8 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 57.65%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.65% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors74/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 56; Small Cap Core rank 25 SVQF84/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 59.0 of 375 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 11 relevant articles.

Aurubis AG Just Recorded A 61% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026173.7 EUR-4.4%176.5 EUR97.71 EUR-1.028.89866.6KOff
31 Jul 2026181.6 EUR1.5%175.1 EUR97.06 EUR-1.0817.91482.0KOn
24 Jul 2026178.9 EUR4.6%173.2 EUR96.41 EUR-1.0919.93540.7KOn
17 Jul 2026171.1 EUR0.4%171.2 EUR95.77 EUR-1.0317.19760.7KOn
10 Jul 2026170.4 EUR-5.6%169.4 EUR95.16 EUR-0.7516.82699.6KOn
3 Jul 2026180.5 EUR-2.2%167.6 EUR94.57 EUR-0.4921.4994.1KOn
26 Jun 2026184.6 EUR-5.3%165.5 EUR93.90 EUR-0.0831.32150.2KOn
19 Jun 2026195.0 EUR-0.9%163.3 EUR93.19 EUR0.3238.77426.0KOn
12 Jun 2026196.7 EUR-7.3%160.3 EUR92.42 EUR0.3644.13140.0KOn
5 Jun 2026212.2 EUR-1.9%157.4 EUR91.67 EUR0.5557.23126.8KOn
29 May 2026216.2 EUR8.7%153.9 EUR90.79 EUR0.4660.97562.4KOn
22 May 2026198.9 EUR-3.1%150.5 EUR89.87 EUR0.2552.35739.2KOn
15 May 2026205.2 EUR10.0%147.5 EUR89.05 EUR0.1966.211.1MOn
8 May 2026186.6 EUR1.8%144.1 EUR88.19 EUR0.1351.761.2MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context