- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 71.82% based on similar historical setup states.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
LALITHAA
NSI
Week ended 02 Oct 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Lalithaa Jewellery Mart Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Luxury Goods
Latest close
387.85 INR
5.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is - below the Trend Line and sits at 95.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.9%, after a 26.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 48/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
48
out of 100
Latest Close
387.85 INR
2 Oct 2026
1W Return
5.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
26.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
0.0%
0 of 6 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.6x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
5.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move 26.5%.
Indicator stack
0/50
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 71.82%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
48/100
14 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is - below the Trend Line and sits at 95.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.9%, after a 26.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
28 Aug
4 Sep
11 Sep
18 Sep
25 Sep
2 Oct
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.2112-week average 0.20
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/6Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/6Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/6Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.21Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 26.5% over four weeks, - over 12 weeks, and - over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.00Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 02 Oct 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 76%
Model confidence 65%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength68/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
Value63/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 38; rank 1 is best.
Quality64/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 37; rank 1 is best.
Momentum39/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 62; rank 1 is best.
Growth98/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework78/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 21.5x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.9x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 13.8x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -2.0% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 8.8% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 6.3% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -1.9% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 23.7% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 48.1% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 176.9% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -377.2% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.2x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment48/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 14 relevant articles.
1 positive · 11 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-1.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility10.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
28 Aug
2 Oct
Weeks higher4 of 51 weeks finished lower.
Best week+20.2%Week of 25 Sep.
Worst week-10.0%Week of 18 Sep.
Latest week+5.9%Week of 2 Oct.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains0
Flat weeks0
Modest losses0
Sharp losses1
Recent vol10.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol10.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split4/1Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew13.0% / -10.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIN Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank1 / 100
Group average-4.1%
Trend breadth56.0%
Trend56.0%active weekly trend signals
MD49.0%positive activity pressure
RS64.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIN Luxury Goods
4-week rank3 / 34
Group average1.3%
Trend breadth55.9%
Trend55.9%active weekly trend signals
MD55.9%positive activity pressure
RS61.8%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape38/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 38/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis4/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/6, activity pressure 0/6, relative leadership 0/6.
Activity pressure 0.21; 4 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 71.82%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 71.82% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors58/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 58 SVQF78/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 351.5 of 1628 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment48/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 14 relevant articles.
Small-Cap Jewellery Stocks: Lalithaa Jewellery, Goldiam, Augmont Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 387.85 INR | 5.9% | - | 328.27 INR | 0.00 | - | 27.4M | Off |
| 25 Sep 2026 | 366.35 INR | 20.2% | - | 316.36 INR | 0.00 | - | 48.1M | Off |
| 18 Sep 2026 | 304.90 INR | -10.0% | - | 303.86 INR | 0.00 | - | 14.8M | Off |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 338.60 INR | 10.4% | - | 303.51 INR | - | - | 61.7M | Off |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 306.70 INR | 15.6% | - | 285.97 INR | - | - | 88.3M | Off |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 265.24 INR | - | - | 265.24 INR | - | - | 24.4M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.