AU NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

AngloGold Ashanti plc · Basic Materials · Gold

Latest close 79.32 USD
-0.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -15.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 40.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.4%, after a -6.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 38/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 3d.

Setup score 27 out of 100
Latest Close 79.32 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -0.4% latest completed week
4W Return -6.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return -25.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 82.7% 43 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -15.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 40.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.4%, after a -6.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2812-week average 0.41

12-week confirmation

Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.28Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -6.3% over four weeks, -25.0% over 12 weeks, and 71.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.4%
4W-6.3%
12W-25.0%
26W-12.0%
52W71.9%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year43
Trend breadth82.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.37Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-68.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-12.48Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-188.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 02 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 95%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength98/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Value85/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Quality100/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
Momentum84/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
Growth100/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework95/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
11.5x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
5.8x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
18.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
52.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
49.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
67.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
54.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
75.2%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
191.0%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
118.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
8/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
5.8%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
5.8%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

AU shows bullish options pressure with a 38/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.39, expected move of 9.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction38/100
Expected move9.5%
Put/call volume0.39
Pressure38
Speculation40
Volatility74
Trend agreement21
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 59 relevant articles.

21 positive · 32 neutral · 6 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 07 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move9.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-36.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.4%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-16.6%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-0.4%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses9
Recent vol8.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.8% / -7.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202679.32 USD-0.4%94.00 USD44.75 USD-1.37-12.4816.1MOff
24 Jul 202679.67 USD3.8%94.12 USD44.35 USD-1.35-10.6910.7MOff
17 Jul 202676.76 USD-6.5%94.42 USD43.97 USD-1.13-14.0111.2MOff
10 Jul 202682.10 USD-3.0%94.65 USD43.61 USD-0.91-9.0011.4MOff
3 Jul 202684.65 USD3.7%94.59 USD43.21 USD-0.81-4.3312.6MOff
26 Jun 202681.62 USD-10.2%94.44 USD42.79 USD-0.91-5.1132.6MOff
19 Jun 202690.87 USD5.3%94.49 USD42.39 USD-1.013.8717.0MOff
12 Jun 202686.30 USD2.6%94.01 USD41.93 USD-1.190.3018.2MOff
5 Jun 202684.12 USD-13.1%93.68 USD41.52 USD-1.22-1.1112.2MOff
29 May 202696.84 USD8.1%93.10 USD41.12 USD-0.9611.7510.3MOn
22 May 202689.57 USD-1.7%92.05 USD40.64 USD-0.995.8710.0MOn
15 May 202691.15 USD-13.8%91.26 USD40.21 USD-0.919.5711.2MOn
8 May 2026105.8 USD15.4%90.58 USD39.76 USD-0.7828.6713.9MOn
1 May 202691.66 USD-6.6%89.36 USD39.23 USD-0.8315.4911.8MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.