- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
U1LT34
SAO
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Ulta Beauty, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
Latest close
139.2 BRL
6.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 35.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.9%, after a 16.1% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 65/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
42
out of 100
Latest Close
139.2 BRL
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
6.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
16.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
13.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
59.6%
31 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.1x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
6.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move 16.1%.
Indicator stack
33/71
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
65/100
16 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 35.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.9%, after a 16.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.1x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0612-week average 0.04
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.06Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 16.1% over four weeks, 13.9% over 12 weeks, and 2.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year31
Trend breadth59.6%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.42Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change164.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-7.55Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change69.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment65/100
Weighted news tone is positive across 16 relevant articles.
5 positive · 11 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-23.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher9 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.5%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-16.1%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week+6.9%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains5
Flat weeks1
Modest losses10
Sharp losses6
Recent vol4.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.2% / -3.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorBR Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank6 / 100
Group average0.4%
Trend breadth23.0%
Trend23.0%active weekly trend signals
MD56.0%positive activity pressure
RS29.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryBR Specialty Retail
4-week rank1 / 14
Group average-10.2%
Trend breadth14.3%
Trend14.3%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS14.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape36/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 36/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis13/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.06; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment65/100Weighted news tone is positive across 16 relevant articles.
Sanders Capital, LLC Expands Ulta Beauty Inc (ULTA) Stake in Second Quarter Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 139.2 BRL | 6.9% | 141.6 BRL | 123.4 BRL | 0.42 | -7.55 | 11 | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 130.1 BRL | 7.5% | 142.8 BRL | 123.2 BRL | 0.13 | -16.56 | 22 | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 121.0 BRL | -1.4% | 144.0 BRL | 123.1 BRL | -0.12 | -21.20 | 1.2K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 122.8 BRL | 2.4% | 145.6 BRL | 123.0 BRL | -0.33 | -20.55 | 253 | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 119.9 BRL | 3.2% | 147.0 BRL | 123.0 BRL | -0.65 | -24.73 | 33 | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 116.2 BRL | -6.9% | 148.3 BRL | 123.0 BRL | -0.89 | -26.03 | 75 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 124.8 BRL | 7.0% | 149.9 BRL | 122.9 BRL | -1.07 | -20.54 | 0 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 116.6 BRL | -1.5% | 150.5 BRL | 122.9 BRL | -1.26 | -23.99 | 0 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 118.4 BRL | -1.5% | 151.3 BRL | 122.8 BRL | -1.29 | -24.39 | 21 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 120.2 BRL | -6.8% | 152.0 BRL | 122.7 BRL | -1.30 | -22.66 | 22 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 129.0 BRL | -0.1% | 152.5 BRL | 122.6 BRL | -1.23 | -19.68 | 10 | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 129.1 BRL | 5.7% | 152.8 BRL | 122.4 BRL | -1.20 | -21.10 | 106 | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 122.1 BRL | -4.7% | 153.2 BRL | 122.3 BRL | -1.13 | -25.98 | 3 | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 128.2 BRL | -4.7% | 154.0 BRL | 122.3 BRL | -1.11 | -25.43 | 166 | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.