- The trend backdrop is active with a 11-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
2916
JPX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Semba Tohka Industries Co., Ltd · Consumer Defensive · Confectioners
Latest close
733.0 JPY
1.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 1.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 59.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.2%, after a -1.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
57
out of 100
Latest Close
733.0 JPY
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
1.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
-1.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
2.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
46.2%
24 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.6x
vs 13-week average
- No major top-level risk cluster is currently dominant.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move -1.5%.
Indicator stack
63/79
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 55.63%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
2 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 1.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 59.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.2%, after a -1.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4812-week average 0.28
12-week confirmation
Trend active11/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.48Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -1.5% over four weeks, 2.9% over 12 weeks, and -2.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 11 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak11 weeks
Active weeks in one year24
Trend breadth46.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.39Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change48.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-16.17Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change25.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
0 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-4.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility1.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher14 of 268 weeks finished lower.
Best week+2.5%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-4.5%Week of 31 Jul.
Latest week+1.2%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains0
Modest gains14
Flat weeks4
Modest losses7
Sharp losses1
Recent vol1.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol1.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.0% / -1.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorJP Consumer Defensive
4-week rank- / 100
Group average3.2%
Trend breadth41.0%
Trend41.0%active weekly trend signals
MD81.0%positive activity pressure
RS15.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryJP Confectioners
4-week rank12 / 16
Group average0.3%
Trend breadth37.5%
Trend37.5%active weekly trend signals
MD81.2%positive activity pressure
RS18.8%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape58/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 58/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis51/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 11/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.48; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.63%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.63% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
Price to earnings forward of Semba Tohka Industries Co., Ltd – TSE:2916 Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 733.0 JPY | 1.2% | 719.7 JPY | 704.7 JPY | 1.39 | -16.17 | 15.9K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 724.0 JPY | -4.5% | 719.0 JPY | 704.2 JPY | 1.66 | -16.43 | 40.3K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 758.0 JPY | 0.1% | 718.1 JPY | 703.7 JPY | 1.82 | -13.72 | 8.3K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 757.0 JPY | 1.7% | 715.8 JPY | 702.9 JPY | 1.51 | -13.96 | 11.6K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 744.0 JPY | 0.8% | 713.5 JPY | 702.1 JPY | 0.94 | -21.61 | 7.9K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 738.0 JPY | 2.5% | 712.2 JPY | 701.3 JPY | 0.32 | -24.39 | 1.9K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 720.0 JPY | 1.7% | 710.9 JPY | 700.6 JPY | -0.02 | -26.61 | 2.3K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 708.0 JPY | -0.3% | 710.3 JPY | 700.0 JPY | -0.13 | -30.50 | 900 | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 710.0 JPY | -2.1% | 710.2 JPY | 699.4 JPY | -0.13 | -25.66 | 600 | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 725.0 JPY | 2.0% | 710.1 JPY | 698.8 JPY | -0.05 | -25.61 | 800 | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 711.0 JPY | 0.4% | 709.9 JPY | 698.1 JPY | -0.21 | -27.54 | 21.6K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 708.0 JPY | -0.6% | 710.1 JPY | 697.5 JPY | -0.41 | -25.25 | 9.4K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 712.0 JPY | 0.0% | 710.5 JPY | 696.9 JPY | -0.36 | -23.27 | 6.7K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 712.0 JPY | 0.4% | 710.4 JPY | 696.2 JPY | -0.29 | -25.55 | 900 | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.