- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
SEED
NASDAQ
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Origin Agritech Ltd · Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs
Latest close
1.04 USD
4.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 10.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.0%, after a 3.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100.
Setup score
32
out of 100
Latest Close
1.04 USD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
4.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
3.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-11.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
23.1%
12 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
11.6x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
4.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move 3.0%.
Indicator stack
13/40
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 41.14%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
53/100
16 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 10.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.0%, after a 3.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 11.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0212-week average 0.12
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.02Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 3.0% over four weeks, -11.1% over 12 weeks, and 2.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year12
Trend breadth23.1%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.71Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change33.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-25.60Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change11.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 64%
Model confidence 60%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength47/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 54; rank 1 is best.
Value48/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 53; rank 1 is best.
Quality46/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 55; rank 1 is best.
Momentum48/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 53; rank 1 is best.
Growth48/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 53; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.1x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -13.9% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 7.0% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -60.8% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -10.1% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- - Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- - Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 2/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- - Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- - Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.3x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment53/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.
1 positive · 14 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-58.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+33.0%Week of 27 Mar.
Worst week-15.9%Week of 3 Apr.
Latest week+4.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains9
Flat weeks1
Modest losses8
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol11.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew9.5% / -6.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Basic Materials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average8.7%
Trend breadth28.0%
Trend28.0%active weekly trend signals
MD25.0%positive activity pressure
RS42.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Agricultural Inputs
4-week rank4 / 12
Group average-0.2%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD25.0%positive activity pressure
RS16.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape27/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 27/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis12/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.02; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 41.14%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 41.14% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors46/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 50 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment53/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.
Origin Agritech (NASDAQ: SEED) issues $2.05M senior convertible note Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 1.04 USD | 4.0% | 1.13 USD | 2.13 USD | -0.71 | -25.60 | 8.5M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 1.00 USD | -1.0% | 1.14 USD | 2.14 USD | -1.00 | -25.07 | 35.3K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 1.01 USD | 1.0% | 1.14 USD | 2.16 USD | -1.05 | -24.19 | 13.9K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 1.00 USD | -1.0% | 1.15 USD | 2.18 USD | -1.01 | -26.48 | 29.9K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 1.01 USD | -2.9% | 1.16 USD | 2.20 USD | -1.07 | -28.89 | 47.6K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 1.04 USD | 3.0% | 1.17 USD | 2.22 USD | -0.99 | -25.63 | 53.7K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 1.01 USD | 2.4% | 1.18 USD | 2.24 USD | -0.84 | -27.37 | 126.2K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 0.99 USD | -1.3% | 1.19 USD | 2.26 USD | -0.64 | -32.54 | 43.6K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 1.00 USD | 0.0% | 1.20 USD | 2.28 USD | -0.32 | -30.33 | 279.0K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 1.00 USD | -11.5% | 1.21 USD | 2.30 USD | -0.08 | -29.25 | 179.9K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 1.13 USD | 0.9% | 1.23 USD | 2.33 USD | 0.06 | -24.20 | 71.2K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 1.12 USD | -4.3% | 1.25 USD | 2.35 USD | 0.11 | -23.20 | 50.9K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 1.17 USD | 3.5% | 1.27 USD | 2.38 USD | 0.24 | -19.31 | 110.9K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 1.13 USD | -3.4% | 1.30 USD | 2.41 USD | 0.32 | -22.74 | 149.4K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.