- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
MOLI
JKT
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
PT Madusari Murni Indah Tbk · Basic Materials · Chemicals
Latest close
274.0 IDR
3.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 8.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 38.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.8%, after a 15.1% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
53
out of 100
Latest Close
274.0 IDR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
3.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
15.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
3.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
50.0%
26 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.6x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 29.71% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
3.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move 15.1%.
Indicator stack
28/78
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Recent
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 29.71%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
1 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 8.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 38.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.8%, after a 15.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1212-week average 0.15
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.12Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 15.1% over four weeks, 3.2% over 12 weeks, and 33.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year26
Trend breadth50.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.48Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change248.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership21.55Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change20.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
0 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalRecent
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-33.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.6%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-16.1%Week of 22 May.
Latest week+3.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains5
Flat weeks2
Modest losses6
Sharp losses6
Recent vol8.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol11.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split20/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew9.6% / -5.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorID Basic Materials
4-week rank29 / 83
Group average17.1%
Trend breadth14.5%
Trend14.5%active weekly trend signals
MD48.2%positive activity pressure
RS63.9%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryID Chemicals
4-week rank4 / 10
Group average11.0%
Trend breadth30.0%
Trend30.0%active weekly trend signals
MD60.0%positive activity pressure
RS80.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape48/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 48/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis43/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.12; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 29.71%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 29.71% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalRecentActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
Technical Analysis of PT Madusari Murni Indah Tbk (IDX:MOLI) Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 274.0 IDR | 3.8% | 251.5 IDR | 266.8 IDR | 0.48 | 21.55 | 23.1M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 264.0 IDR | 4.8% | 253.7 IDR | 266.3 IDR | 0.22 | 21.40 | 18.2M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 252.0 IDR | 2.4% | 255.1 IDR | 265.8 IDR | 0.04 | 17.58 | 22.3M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 246.0 IDR | 3.4% | 256.8 IDR | 265.4 IDR | 0.03 | 16.09 | 9.6M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 238.0 IDR | 0.0% | 258.9 IDR | 265.2 IDR | 0.14 | 17.92 | 12.4M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 238.0 IDR | -5.6% | 261.0 IDR | 265.0 IDR | 0.12 | 19.61 | 2.2M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 252.0 IDR | -3.8% | 263.8 IDR | 264.7 IDR | -0.04 | 27.12 | 2.9M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 262.0 IDR | 15.6% | 265.9 IDR | 264.2 IDR | -0.20 | 27.22 | 12.2M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 226.7 IDR | 13.6% | 267.7 IDR | 263.5 IDR | -0.34 | 14.06 | 5.6M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 199.6 IDR | -8.0% | 271.6 IDR | 263.0 IDR | -0.15 | 8.39 | 4.6M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 217.0 IDR | -2.6% | 275.0 IDR | 262.6 IDR | 0.21 | 8.04 | 17.2M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 222.8 IDR | -16.1% | 277.8 IDR | 262.1 IDR | 0.51 | 10.73 | 32.9M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 265.5 IDR | 0.7% | 280.6 IDR | 261.6 IDR | 0.45 | 21.40 | 29.4M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 263.5 IDR | -7.5% | 283.1 IDR | 260.7 IDR | 0.21 | 16.97 | 78.5M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.