- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
141A
JPX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
TRIAL Holdings, Inc. · Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores
Latest close
3,265 JPY
4.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 44.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.3%, after a 7.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
34
out of 100
Latest Close
3,265 JPY
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
4.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
7.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-8.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
61.5%
32 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.6x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
4.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move 7.4%.
Indicator stack
34/41
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
1 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 44.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.3%, after a 7.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0812-week average 0.39
12-week confirmation
Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.08Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 7.4% over four weeks, -8.0% over 12 weeks, and 30.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year32
Trend breadth61.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.67Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change44.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-11.70Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change48.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
0 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-32.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+31.0%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-16.8%Week of 22 May.
Latest week+4.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains9
Modest gains4
Flat weeks1
Modest losses8
Sharp losses4
Recent vol6.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.9% / -4.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorJP Consumer Defensive
4-week rank21 / 100
Group average3.2%
Trend breadth41.0%
Trend41.0%active weekly trend signals
MD81.0%positive activity pressure
RS15.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryJP Discount Stores
4-week rank3 / 8
Group average4.9%
Trend breadth12.5%
Trend12.5%active weekly trend signals
MD75.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape32/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 32/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis12/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 1/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.08; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
TRIAL Holdings, Inc. (141A.T) stock price, news, quote and history Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 3,265 JPY | 4.3% | 3,540 JPY | 2,791 JPY | -0.67 | -11.70 | 2.3M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 3,130 JPY | 4.7% | 3,534 JPY | 2,787 JPY | -0.90 | -14.01 | 2.2M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 2,989 JPY | 0.3% | 3,533 JPY | 2,784 JPY | -1.06 | -18.50 | 1.4M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 2,980 JPY | -2.0% | 3,538 JPY | 2,783 JPY | -1.12 | -18.53 | 2.7M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 3,040 JPY | -1.1% | 3,528 JPY | 2,781 JPY | -1.21 | -22.61 | 3.4M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 3,075 JPY | 4.7% | 3,515 JPY | 2,779 JPY | -1.29 | -23.61 | 624.8K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 2,936 JPY | 7.5% | 3,493 JPY | 2,776 JPY | -1.36 | -27.08 | 843.5K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 2,730 JPY | -1.6% | 3,472 JPY | 2,775 JPY | -1.27 | -34.27 | 644.7K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 2,774 JPY | 0.5% | 3,460 JPY | 2,775 JPY | -1.12 | -28.32 | 789.2K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 2,759 JPY | -3.2% | 3,448 JPY | 2,775 JPY | -0.96 | -29.62 | 1.2M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 2,849 JPY | -3.6% | 3,426 JPY | 2,776 JPY | -0.74 | -27.33 | 11.0M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 2,955 JPY | -16.8% | 3,399 JPY | 2,775 JPY | -0.65 | -21.44 | 16.1M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 3,551 JPY | -13.8% | 3,372 JPY | 2,773 JPY | -0.45 | -3.05 | 5.6M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 4,118 JPY | 6.6% | 3,327 JPY | 2,766 JPY | -0.08 | 9.98 | 2.0M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.