- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
TKIM
JKT
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
PT Pabrik Kertas Tjiwi Kimia Tbk · Basic Materials · Paper & Paper Products
Latest close
7,225 IDR
11.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 38.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 11.2%, after a 33.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
54
out of 100
Latest Close
7,225 IDR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
11.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
33.8%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-9.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
76.9%
40 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.4x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
11.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move 33.8%.
Indicator stack
42/48
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
2 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 38.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 11.2%, after a 33.8% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0612-week average 0.29
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership4/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.06Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 33.8% over four weeks, -9.2% over 12 weeks, and 3.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year40
Trend breadth76.9%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.39Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change66.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership15.63Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change410.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
0 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-36.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility11.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher10 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+50.7%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-24.4%Week of 22 May.
Latest week+11.2%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains8
Modest gains2
Flat weeks1
Modest losses6
Sharp losses9
Recent vol11.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.5% / -5.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorID Basic Materials
4-week rank8 / 83
Group average17.1%
Trend breadth14.5%
Trend14.5%active weekly trend signals
MD48.2%positive activity pressure
RS63.9%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryID Paper & Paper Products
4-week rank1 / 5
Group average16.8%
Trend breadth20.0%
Trend20.0%active weekly trend signals
MD40.0%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape48/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 48/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis16/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 4/12.
Activity pressure 0.06; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
TKIM distributes cash dividend of IDR 77.83 billion Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 7,225 IDR | 11.2% | 7,394 IDR | 7,015 IDR | -0.39 | 15.63 | 23.7M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 6,500 IDR | 9.7% | 7,416 IDR | 7,011 IDR | -0.75 | 7.34 | 17.1M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 5,925 IDR | 0.0% | 7,443 IDR | 7,011 IDR | -1.02 | -1.12 | 13.6M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 5,925 IDR | 9.7% | 7,487 IDR | 7,016 IDR | -1.19 | -0.43 | 11.6M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 5,400 IDR | -1.8% | 7,529 IDR | 7,019 IDR | -1.16 | -5.04 | 13.4M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 5,500 IDR | -2.1% | 7,586 IDR | 7,024 IDR | -1.29 | -2.28 | 1.3M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 5,618 IDR | -5.4% | 7,646 IDR | 7,028 IDR | -1.38 | -0.20 | 1.9M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 5,942 IDR | 5.8% | 7,711 IDR | 7,032 IDR | -1.31 | 1.02 | 29.0M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 5,618 IDR | 19.7% | 7,747 IDR | 7,033 IDR | -1.36 | -1.50 | 2.3M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 4,694 IDR | -15.3% | 7,794 IDR | 7,033 IDR | -1.13 | -11.51 | 5.1M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 5,544 IDR | -7.9% | 7,871 IDR | 7,040 IDR | -0.80 | -4.60 | 48.3M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 6,016 IDR | -24.4% | 7,918 IDR | 7,040 IDR | -0.60 | 3.09 | 49.4M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 7,955 IDR | -4.5% | 7,950 IDR | 7,039 IDR | -0.34 | 25.28 | 10.4M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 8,328 IDR | -3.2% | 7,916 IDR | 7,025 IDR | -0.12 | 27.48 | 5.7M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.