- The trend backdrop is active with a 6-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
SEJ1
GER
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Safran SA · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Latest close
356.6 EUR
4.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 95.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.9%, after a 6.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
67
out of 100
Latest Close
356.6 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
4.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
6.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
31.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
73.1%
38 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.3x
vs 13-week average
- 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
4.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move 6.1%.
Indicator stack
61/64
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 58.56%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
56/100
5 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 95.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.9%, after a 6.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.6412-week average 0.38
12-week confirmation
Trend active6/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership10/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.64Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 6.1% over four weeks, 31.7% over 12 weeks, and 23.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 6 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak6 weeks
Active weeks in one year38
Trend breadth73.1%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.83Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-8.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership8.76Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change1.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 88%
Model confidence 70%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength19/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 82; rank 1 is best.
Value10/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
Quality58/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 43; rank 1 is best.
Momentum68/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
Growth78/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 20.6x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 4.7x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 12.4x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 2.7% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 46.9% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 14.7% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 12.6% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 25.7% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 12.5% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 23.0% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.9% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.9% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 1.9% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.1x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment56/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.
1 positive · 4 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-1.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.9%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-14.5%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week+4.9%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains8
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses6
Recent vol4.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.1% / -3.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorDE Industrials
4-week rank44 / 100
Group average4.0%
Trend breadth49.0%
Trend49.0%active weekly trend signals
MD59.0%positive activity pressure
RS53.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryDE Aerospace & Defense
4-week rank11 / 15
Group average8.2%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD66.7%positive activity pressure
RS60.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape63/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 63/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis53/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 6/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 10/12.
Activity pressure 0.64; 4 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 58.56%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 58.56% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors37/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 28 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment56/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.
Harbor International Core Fund's Safran SA(XPAR:SAF) Holding History Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 356.6 EUR | 4.9% | 310.7 EUR | 235.9 EUR | 0.83 | 8.76 | 2.8K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 340.1 EUR | 2.9% | 309.3 EUR | 234.5 EUR | 0.74 | 6.79 | 3.0K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 330.6 EUR | 0.3% | 308.1 EUR | 233.3 EUR | 0.75 | 6.23 | 2.4K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 329.5 EUR | -1.9% | 307.0 EUR | 232.1 EUR | 0.83 | 7.32 | 1.7K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 336.0 EUR | -5.9% | 306.0 EUR | 230.8 EUR | 0.90 | 8.64 | 2.6K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 356.9 EUR | 7.0% | 304.6 EUR | 229.5 EUR | 0.70 | 12.57 | 678 | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 333.7 EUR | 0.9% | 302.3 EUR | 228.1 EUR | 0.29 | 10.44 | 928 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 330.8 EUR | 8.2% | 300.8 EUR | 226.8 EUR | -0.05 | 8.50 | 459 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 305.8 EUR | 1.9% | 299.2 EUR | 225.6 EUR | -0.46 | 2.08 | 590 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 300.1 EUR | -2.2% | 299.1 EUR | 224.5 EUR | -0.59 | -0.04 | 298 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 306.7 EUR | 8.8% | 299.0 EUR | 223.4 EUR | -0.56 | 0.95 | 2.8K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 281.9 EUR | 4.1% | 299.0 EUR | 222.3 EUR | -0.68 | -6.19 | 3.7K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 270.8 EUR | -4.6% | 299.6 EUR | 221.3 EUR | -0.63 | -6.26 | 6.1K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 283.8 EUR | 4.6% | 300.3 EUR | 220.5 EUR | -0.54 | -3.18 | 4.7K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.