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TAI · Equity · completed-week research

2801 Technicals

Chang Hwa Commercial Bank, Ltd.

Financial Services Banks - Regional

Week ending14 August 2026
+1.7%
Open
23.20
High
23.80
Low
23.00
Close
23.55 TWD
Price-technical state Aligned upward Price structure only · 260 completed observations · through 2026-08-14
Price structureAligned upwardcompleted-week alignment
Momentum71.9Stretched positive
Risk pressure3.7%Elevated
Trend quality43.5Directional

Market Dynamics

What is happening beneath the price?

Price shows the result. Market Dynamics shows whether the underlying support is strengthening or weakening.

Market Dynamics Report
Evidence aligned

Upward price structure is supported by Market Dynamics

Price structure and the underlying tape currently point in the same direction.

What it means

The advance is confirmed on the completed evidence, while extension and reversal risk still require monitoring.

Current tape relationshipExtended but supported

Market Dynamics paused slightly this week and remains positive.

Price locationDistribution zone

Price is extended; support can persist, but rollover risk must be monitored.

Latest positioning marker16 May 2025

The green dot marks a confirmed recovery where institutional positioning is most plausible.

Market Dynamics confirmationSupported

The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction.

Chart readingPrice is in the distribution zone. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is keeping pace with that elevated price.

Weekly close Supportive Market Dynamics Cautious Market Dynamics Accumulation zone Distribution zone Positioning recovery Distribution rollover Price / pressure gap

What it means for 2801

The current reading in four steps

The advance retains underlying support while price structure and Market Dynamics remain intact.

1
NowSlightly easier this week

Market Dynamics paused slightly this week and remains positive.

2
Recent directionBroadly steady over four weeks

The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction.

3
Price responsePrice structure is upward

Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics.

4
Previous cases60.0% moved higher

After 12 weeks across 25 cases. Average move: 3.2%.

What strengthens this viewThe advance is confirmed on the completed evidence, while extension and reversal risk still require monitoring.What would change itReassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.

What happened before

How this ticker behaved in similar conditions

Zone visits are counted once and followed through completed weekly closes. Open cases remain separate.

Price relationship Meaningful relationship
Same-week correlation
0.32
Direction agreed
39.4%
Completed comparisons
241
After accumulation5 distinct visits
4 weeks60.0% higher5 outcomes 12 weeks80.0% higher5 outcomes 26 weeks80.0% higher5 outcomes

Average time before leaving the zone: 9.8 weeks.

After distribution2 distinct visits
4 weeks0.0% lower1 outcome 12 weeksRecord building0 outcomes 26 weeksRecord building0 outcomes

Average time before leaving the zone: 1.0 weeks.

When the two readings agreed or differed

What usually happened next

These cases compare price direction with Market Dynamics and show how large disagreements were resolved.

Price higher · Market Dynamics positive 60.0% were higher

Average 12-week move: 3.2% from 25 completed cases.

Price lower · Market Dynamics negative 0.0% were lower

Average 12-week move: 4.8% from 19 completed cases.

Price higher · Market Dynamics cautious Average pullback 1.8%

15.8% were lower after 12 weeks. The deepest pullback arrived after 3.7 weeks on average.

Price cautious · Market Dynamics positive Average recovery 5.8%

78.3% were higher after 12 weeks. The strongest recovery arrived after 7.5 weeks on average.

How to use the reading

Strategy observations from this ticker's own record

The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.

Trend participation
Let confirmation support the position, then manage extension

In this ticker's completed record, 60.0% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of 3.2% across 25 cases.

ApproachThis is most useful for holding or selectively adding to an established upward case. Risk should still tighten as price becomes extended; confirmation is support, not immunity from reversal.

Review the case whenReassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.

Disagreement playbook
Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate

Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 5.8% across 23 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 7.5 weeks on average.

ApproachDefine the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.

Review the case whenThe early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds.

Historical outcomes describe this ticker's completed record. They do not make the next move certain and are not trading instructions.

Adaptive evidence set

The charts that matter to this tape now

This is not a fixed indicator wall. The price anchor is retained for context; the remaining panels are selected dynamically according to the conditions visible in this ticker.

104 observations displayed
6 views selected
Price structureAligned upwardcompleted-week alignment
Momentum71.9Stretched positive
Risk pressure3.7%Elevated
Trend quality43.5Directional
Range position86%location inside observed range
Adaptive set6 viewsselected for the current tape

Price architecture

Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope

Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.

Why this view is active

Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned upward.

Relative leadership

Strength versus the research benchmark

Relative performance is separated from absolute price direction to reveal leadership and lagging pressure.

Why this view is active

Selected because benchmark-relative leadership is strengthening, fading or diverging from price.

Price impulse

Acceleration, deceleration and rollover

The impulse path separates directional acceleration from a loss of momentum.

Why this view is active

Selected because the latest impulse is unusually active or is approaching a change of direction.

Trend quality

Directional strength and control

Directional pressure shows which side controls the tape while strength remains direction-neutral.

Why this view is active

Selected because directional control or trend strength is materially changing.

Risk geometry

Range pressure and compression

Movement pressure and envelope width show whether risk is expanding, settling or compressed.

Why this view is active

Selected because current variability is unusually compressed or expanded versus this ticker's own tape.

Participation

Activity pressure and cumulative balance

Observed activity is compared with its normal backdrop while cumulative balance tracks directional participation.

Why this view is active

Selected because participation is confirming or diverging from the latest price path.

Sharemaestro tape intelligence

What the gauges support now

One assessment resolves price structure and Market Dynamics. The supporting views show the control, force, direction and confidence behind it.

100/100 evidence depth
observed participation included
Joint upward confirmation The gauges support the upward market view

Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.

SM Consensus Gauge+50.6

Joint upward confirmation

SM Control Gauge+51.5

Buyer control supports the view

SM Force Gauge+39.3

Upward commitment

SM Direction Gauge+57.7

Upward follow-through

SM Confirmation Gauge92/100

Strong support

SM consensus path · Market Dynamics display window

SM Consensus Gauge against price

The bars show the direction and strength of the resolved assessment. Completed price is retained as context.

Latest +50.6
Joint upward confirmation
Supportive consensus Cautious consensus Weekly close Neutral

Control

SM Control Gauge

Shows whether buyer or seller control supports the current assessment and whether that support is strengthening or easing.

Current controlBuyer control supports the viewRecent pathControl support is strengtheningLatest 12 months
Buyer controlSeller controlBalanced

Commitment

SM Force Gauge

Shows the strength of market commitment behind the current assessment.

Current forceUpward commitmentRecent pathCommitment is strengtheningLatest 12 months
Positive forceNegative forceActivity intensity

Direction and follow-through

SM Direction Gauge

Shows the directional follow-through behind the current assessment and whether it is established or still developing.

Current directionUpward follow-throughFollow-throughEstablishedLatest 12 months
Advancing directionDeclining directionFollow-through

Assessment strength

SM Confirmation Gauge

Shows how firmly the current assessment is supported. Greater assessment risk reduces the weight of the conclusion.

ConfirmationStrong supportAssessment riskContainedLatest 12 months
SM Confirmation GaugeAssessment risk
Interpretation boundary

These charts describe completed market observations and can lag or reverse. The SM gauges provide one confirmation layer; differences in the underlying evidence reduce confirmation rather than create another competing view. Market Dynamics is proprietary Sharemaestro output: this page presents only its published values and plain-language context. Its construction and inputs remain private.

Evidence context