- The trend backdrop is active with a 32-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
UNP
MEX
Week ended 25 Sep 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Union Pacific Corporation · Industrials · Railroads
Latest close
5,112.49 MXN
0.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 88.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a 0.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100.
Setup score
58
out of 100
Latest Close
5,112.49 MXN
25 Sep 2026
1W Return
0.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
0.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
4.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
61.5%
32 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
-
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 32.13% based on similar historical setup states.
- 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
Price follow-through
0.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move 0.5%.
Indicator stack
79/58
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 32.13%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
52/100
28 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 88.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a 0.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is - the 13-week average. Participation data is incomplete.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
21 Aug
28 Aug
4 Sep
11 Sep
18 Sep
25 Sep
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.9712-week average 0.90
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.97Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 0.5% over four weeks, 4.1% over 12 weeks, and 19.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 32 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak32 weeks
Active weeks in one year32
Trend breadth61.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.57Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-31.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership15.01Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-0.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment52/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 28 relevant articles.
11 positive · 16 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-3.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
24 Jul
21 Aug
25 Sep
Weeks higher10 of 267 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.8%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-3.6%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week+0.0%Week of 25 Sep.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains7
Flat weeks9
Modest losses7
Sharp losses0
Recent vol3.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split19/12Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.8% / -2.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorMX Industrials
4-week rank27 / 78
Group average-0.8%
Trend breadth32.1%
Trend32.1%active weekly trend signals
MD33.3%positive activity pressure
RS52.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryMX Railroads
4-week rank2 / 3
Group average3.4%
Trend breadth66.7%
Trend66.7%active weekly trend signals
MD66.7%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape61/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 61/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis85/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.97; 3 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 32.13%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 32.13% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment52/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 28 relevant articles.
Can Union Pacific (UNP) and Norfolk Southern (NSC) Redraw America’s Railroad Map? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep 2026 | 5,112.49 MXN | 0.0% | 4,765.05 MXN | 4,415.36 MXN | 0.57 | 15.01 | 0 | On |
| 18 Sep 2026 | 5,112.49 MXN | 0.0% | 4,744.97 MXN | 4,405.81 MXN | 0.61 | 18.27 | 0 | On |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 5,112.49 MXN | 0.0% | 4,724.84 MXN | 4,396.33 MXN | 0.72 | 17.68 | 0 | On |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 5,112.49 MXN | 0.5% | 4,705.07 MXN | 4,387.12 MXN | 0.78 | 16.39 | 0 | On |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 5,087.39 MXN | 0.0% | 4,667.90 MXN | 4,378.39 MXN | 0.84 | 15.06 | 0 | On |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 5,087.39 MXN | 0.2% | 4,631.58 MXN | 4,369.83 MXN | 0.94 | 14.86 | 0 | On |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 5,079.09 MXN | -0.0% | 4,592.33 MXN | 4,361.22 MXN | 1.01 | 17.31 | 0 | On |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 5,079.45 MXN | -0.4% | 4,559.18 MXN | 4,353.25 MXN | 1.11 | 13.14 | 0 | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 5,100.97 MXN | -0.5% | 4,526.01 MXN | 4,345.67 MXN | 1.19 | 13.73 | 0 | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 5,125.00 MXN | -2.7% | 4,498.23 MXN | 4,338.03 MXN | 1.22 | 15.30 | 0 | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 5,269.00 MXN | 7.5% | 4,469.64 MXN | 4,330.14 MXN | 0.99 | 18.24 | 67 | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 4,903.56 MXN | -0.1% | 4,436.26 MXN | 4,319.58 MXN | 0.58 | 10.43 | 0 | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 4,909.00 MXN | 8.8% | 4,413.06 MXN | 4,310.68 MXN | 0.32 | 9.48 | 0 | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 4,513.31 MXN | 1.4% | 4,386.01 MXN | 4,301.28 MXN | 0.10 | 0.31 | 0 | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.