- The trend backdrop is active with a 23-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
UNP
MEX
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Union Pacific Corporation · Industrials · Railroads
Latest close
5,125 MXN
-2.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 89.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.7%, after a 13.6% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
67
out of 100
Latest Close
5,125 MXN
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
-2.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
13.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
10.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
44.2%
23 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.2x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 33.38% based on similar historical setup states.
- 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-2.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move 13.6%.
Indicator stack
69/100
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 33.38%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
51/100
37 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 89.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.7%, after a 13.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.2x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.8812-week average 0.80
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership10/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.88Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 13.6% over four weeks, 10.2% over 12 weeks, and 22.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 23 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak23 weeks
Active weeks in one year23
Trend breadth44.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.21Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change1035.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership15.32Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change4831.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment51/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 37 relevant articles.
4 positive · 32 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-2.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher13 of 266 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.0%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-9.2%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week-2.7%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains9
Flat weeks7
Modest losses5
Sharp losses1
Recent vol3.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/10Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.7% / -3.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorMX Industrials
4-week rank4 / 75
Group average-2.8%
Trend breadth50.7%
Trend50.7%active weekly trend signals
MD52.0%positive activity pressure
RS61.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryMX Railroads
4-week rank1 / 3
Group average4.1%
Trend breadth66.7%
Trend66.7%active weekly trend signals
MD66.7%positive activity pressure
RS66.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape66/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 66/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis80/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 10/12.
Activity pressure 0.88; 3 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 33.38%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 33.38% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment51/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 37 relevant articles.
Union Pacific Corporation $UNP Shares Sold by The Manufacturers Life Insurance Company Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 5,125 MXN | -2.7% | 4,498 MXN | 4,338 MXN | 1.21 | 15.32 | 452 | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 5,269 MXN | 7.5% | 4,470 MXN | 4,330 MXN | 0.98 | 18.24 | 67 | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 4,904 MXN | -0.1% | 4,436 MXN | 4,320 MXN | 0.57 | 10.43 | 75 | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 4,909 MXN | 8.8% | 4,413 MXN | 4,311 MXN | 0.32 | 9.48 | 10 | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 4,513 MXN | 1.4% | 4,386 MXN | 4,301 MXN | 0.11 | 0.31 | 362 | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 4,453 MXN | -3.6% | 4,372 MXN | 4,295 MXN | 0.30 | -1.97 | 0 | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 4,617 MXN | 0.0% | 4,360 MXN | 4,288 MXN | 0.53 | 0.98 | 0 | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 4,617 MXN | -2.0% | 4,342 MXN | 4,281 MXN | 0.68 | 3.58 | 0 | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 4,713 MXN | 0.9% | 4,323 MXN | 4,274 MXN | 0.80 | 1.90 | 31.3K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 4,672 MXN | 0.5% | 4,301 MXN | 4,266 MXN | 0.84 | 1.17 | 9 | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 4,649 MXN | 0.0% | 4,288 MXN | 4,257 MXN | 0.75 | 1.00 | 0 | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 4,649 MXN | 0.0% | 4,276 MXN | 4,250 MXN | 0.68 | -1.97 | 0 | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 4,649 MXN | 6.2% | 4,264 MXN | 4,242 MXN | 0.55 | 0.70 | 221 | On |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 4,378 MXN | 0.0% | 4,252 MXN | 4,235 MXN | 0.35 | -7.22 | 0 | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.