- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.35% based on similar historical setup states.
HASI
NYSE
Week ended 09 Oct 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Infrastructure Capital Inc · Financial Services · Asset Management
Latest close
36.49 USD
0.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 58.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.6%, after a -1.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 49/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 23d.
Setup score
45
out of 100
Latest Close
36.49 USD
9 Oct 2026
1W Return
0.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
-1.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-5.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
90.4%
47 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.1x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move -1.2%.
Indicator stack
50/31
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 55.35%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Bullish
49/100 conviction; expected move 0.0%.
News sentiment
51/100
16 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
23d
Next report is scheduled for 05 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 58.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.6%, after a -1.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
21 Aug
28 Aug
4 Sep
11 Sep
18 Sep
25 Sep
2 Oct
9 Oct
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4412-week average 0.55
12-week confirmation
Trend active7/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership6/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.44Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -1.2% over four weeks, -5.0% over 12 weeks, and 26.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year47
Trend breadth90.4%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.91Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-34.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-8.09Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-77.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Oct 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026
Field coverage 94%
Model confidence 92%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength19/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 82; rank 1 is best.
Value21/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 80; rank 1 is best.
Quality17/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Momentum77/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Growth6/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 54.4x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 10.1x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 1.1% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 27.7% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -3.7% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 25.8% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -0.1% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 2.5% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -58.1% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 86.4% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 4.6% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -2.5% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 2.2% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -348.1x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBullish
HASI shows bullish options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.11, expected move of n/a, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction49/100
Expected move%
Put/call volume0.11
Insider activity10 / 2
10 acquisitions and 2 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment51/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.
5 positive · 9 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings23dNext report is scheduled for 05 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-16.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
17 Apr
15 May
12 Jun
10 Jul
7 Aug
4 Sep
9 Oct
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-6.3%Week of 21 Aug.
Latest week+0.6%Week of 9 Oct.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.3% / -2.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Financial Services
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-4.4%
Trend breadth54.0%
Trend54.0%active weekly trend signals
MD25.0%positive activity pressure
RS24.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Asset Management
4-week rank27 / 100
Group average-3.2%
Trend breadth42.0%
Trend42.0%active weekly trend signals
MD33.0%positive activity pressure
RS16.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape45/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 45/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis37/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 7/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 6/12.
Activity pressure 0.44; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.35%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.35% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors31/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 87; Small Cap Core rank 86 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options46/100Call activity leads. Options balance does not yet confirm the saved weekly stock trend.
2026-10-13 · Use with limits · Priced move Unavailable Sentiment51/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.
HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital stock sees USD 48.10 target Insiders10 / 210 acquisitions and 2 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings23dNext report is scheduled for 05 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | 36.49 USD | 0.6% | 38.67 USD | 29.25 USD | -0.91 | -8.09 | 5.4M | Off |
| 2 Oct 2026 | 36.27 USD | 0.7% | 38.62 USD | 29.11 USD | -1.02 | -7.50 | 5.1M | Off |
| 25 Sep 2026 | 36.02 USD | -0.8% | 38.59 USD | 28.96 USD | -0.91 | -8.28 | 5.9M | Off |
| 18 Sep 2026 | 36.30 USD | -1.7% | 38.59 USD | 28.84 USD | -0.80 | -6.31 | 5.7M | Off |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 36.94 USD | -2.5% | 38.61 USD | 28.74 USD | -0.68 | -4.57 | 3.4M | Off |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 37.90 USD | -4.2% | 38.69 USD | 28.64 USD | -0.33 | -2.58 | 8.9M | On |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 39.54 USD | 0.1% | 38.62 USD | 28.53 USD | -0.27 | 2.02 | 3.8M | On |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 39.48 USD | -6.3% | 38.43 USD | 28.40 USD | -0.42 | 2.70 | 4.7M | On |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 42.12 USD | 3.5% | 38.24 USD | 28.26 USD | -0.59 | 8.41 | 4.5M | On |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 40.68 USD | 7.4% | 37.97 USD | 28.10 USD | -0.95 | 5.37 | 5.5M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 37.87 USD | -1.3% | 37.71 USD | 27.97 USD | -1.20 | 2.06 | 4.4M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 38.37 USD | -0.1% | 37.50 USD | 27.86 USD | -1.20 | 4.97 | 4.2M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 38.42 USD | 1.6% | 37.29 USD | 27.76 USD | -0.97 | 4.86 | 3.6M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 37.82 USD | -1.2% | 37.07 USD | 27.66 USD | -0.79 | 2.04 | 3.8M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.