AVAH NASDAQ Week ended 11 Sep 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc · Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities

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Latest close 14.08 USD
3.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 64.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 94.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.7%, after a 14.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 59/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; earnings are due in 47d.

Setup score 67 out of 100
Latest Close 14.08 USD 11 Sep 2026
1W Return 3.7% latest completed week
4W Return 14.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return 80.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 57.7% 30 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 8-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 6 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 3.7% Latest completed week; four-week move 14.3%. Indicator stack 59/84 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 59/100 conviction; expected move 8.9%. News sentiment 55/100 53 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 47d Next report is scheduled for 05 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 64.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 94.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.7%, after a 14.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug 14 Aug 21 Aug 28 Aug 4 Sep 11 Sep
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9012-week average 0.55

12-week confirmation

Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.90Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers66 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 6 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 14.3% over four weeks, 80.7% over 12 weeks, and 66.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 8 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.7%
4W14.3%
12W80.7%
26W102.3%
52W66.8%
Active trend streak8 weeks
Active weeks in one year30
Trend breadth57.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.72Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change32.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership47.89Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change58.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 11 Sep 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 94%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength66/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 35; rank 1 is best.
Value34/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 67; rank 1 is best.
Quality75/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Momentum90/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 11; rank 1 is best.
Growth78/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework71/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
11.2x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
14.6x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
3.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
32.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
11.1%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
5.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
12.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
19.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
97.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.3%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-0.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
4.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

AVAH shows volatility options pressure with a 59/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.19, expected move of 8.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction59/100
Expected move8.9%
Put/call volume0.19
Pressure76
Speculation40
Volatility92
Trend agreement36
Open options detail
Insider activity0 / 20

0 acquisitions and 20 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 53 relevant articles.

23 positive · 18 neutral · 12 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings47dNext report is scheduled for 05 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move8.9%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-3.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+29.8%Week of 14 Aug.
Worst week-6.8%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week+3.7%Week of 11 Sep.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses3
Recent vol8.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.1% / -3.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape63/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 63/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis73/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.90; 6 reversal markers Factors65/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 83; Small Cap Core rank 79 SVQF71/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 220.5 of 747 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options48/100

AVAH shows volatility options pressure with a 59/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.19, expected move of 8.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 8.9% Sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 53 relevant articles.

Jim Cramer Compares Aveanna Healthcare (AVAH) With Hinge Health (HNGE) Insiders0 / 20

0 acquisitions and 20 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings47d

Next report is scheduled for 05 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
11 Sep 202614.08 USD3.7%8.56 USD5.52 USD1.7247.8914.9MOn
4 Sep 202613.58 USD2.0%8.35 USD5.43 USD1.7342.9112.1MOn
28 Aug 202613.32 USD1.2%8.16 USD5.36 USD1.6041.6116.7MOn
21 Aug 202613.16 USD6.8%8.00 USD5.28 USD1.4341.4323.5MOn
14 Aug 202612.32 USD29.8%7.85 USD5.20 USD1.2930.2425.3MOn
7 Aug 20269.49 USD1.1%7.74 USD5.14 USD1.222.137.9MOn
31 Jul 20269.39 USD-0.6%7.71 USD5.09 USD1.326.588.1MOn
24 Jul 20269.45 USD-2.5%7.67 USD5.04 USD1.338.9710.1MOn
17 Jul 20269.69 USD-0.1%7.64 USD4.99 USD1.3611.1010.5MOff
10 Jul 20269.70 USD6.6%7.62 USD4.94 USD1.217.7212.9MOff
3 Jul 20269.10 USD5.1%7.60 USD4.89 USD0.973.867.3MOff
26 Jun 20268.66 USD11.2%7.61 USD4.84 USD0.820.3818.5MOff
19 Jun 20267.79 USD9.9%7.63 USD4.79 USD0.56-13.357.4MOff
12 Jun 20267.09 USD6.1%7.66 USD4.75 USD0.49-18.838.2MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context