- The trend backdrop is active with a 27-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
CTC-A
TOR
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
Latest close
206.2 CAD
0.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 10.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 98.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.8%, after a 8.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
76
out of 100
Latest Close
206.2 CAD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
0.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
8.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
20.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
73.1%
38 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.2x
vs 13-week average
- 5 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move 8.3%.
Indicator stack
85/97
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 55.44%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
28 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 10.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 98.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.8%, after a 8.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.7112-week average 0.70
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.71Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers55 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 5 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 8.3% over four weeks, 20.6% over 12 weeks, and 33.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 27 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak27 weeks
Active weeks in one year38
Trend breadth73.1%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.65Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change439.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership3.47Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change238.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 94%
Model confidence 88%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength87/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 14; rank 1 is best.
Value78/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Quality63/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 38; rank 1 is best.
Momentum65/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 36; rank 1 is best.
Growth17/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework49/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 23.4x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.7x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 10.8x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 4.1% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 34.5% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 8.2% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 4.9% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 7.3% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 5.2% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -37.7% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -79.9% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 8/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 3.5% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 3.8% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 7.3% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 4.2x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 28 relevant articles.
5 positive · 19 neutral · 4 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-0.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher16 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+4.9%Week of 20 Feb.
Worst week-10.4%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+0.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains11
Flat weeks1
Modest losses7
Sharp losses2
Recent vol3.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.6% / -2.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorCA Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank8 / 50
Group average0.1%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD56.0%positive activity pressure
RS28.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryCA Specialty Retail
4-week rank1 / 7
Group average1.3%
Trend breadth42.9%
Trend42.9%active weekly trend signals
MD71.4%positive activity pressure
RS28.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape76/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 76/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis53/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 5/12.
Activity pressure 0.71; 5 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.44%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.44% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors73/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 10; Small Cap Core rank 19 SVQF49/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 155.5 of 304 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 28 relevant articles.
CT REIT Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 206.2 CAD | 0.8% | 186.1 CAD | 152.0 CAD | 0.65 | 3.47 | 875.3K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 204.6 CAD | 3.8% | 184.9 CAD | 151.6 CAD | 0.38 | 6.09 | 966.0K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 197.1 CAD | 1.3% | 183.9 CAD | 151.3 CAD | 0.13 | 1.52 | 711.8K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 194.5 CAD | 2.1% | 182.9 CAD | 151.0 CAD | 0.00 | 0.12 | 774.0K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 190.4 CAD | -3.0% | 182.1 CAD | 150.8 CAD | -0.19 | -2.51 | 1.0M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 196.2 CAD | 1.5% | 181.2 CAD | 150.6 CAD | -0.40 | 0.17 | 45.6K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 193.3 CAD | 3.9% | 180.2 CAD | 150.4 CAD | -0.71 | -0.94 | 82.8K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 186.1 CAD | -0.4% | 179.3 CAD | 150.2 CAD | -0.92 | -4.94 | 240.1K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 186.8 CAD | 4.6% | 178.6 CAD | 149.9 CAD | -0.95 | -4.94 | 189.7K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 178.6 CAD | 1.0% | 178.0 CAD | 149.7 CAD | -0.91 | -8.05 | 275.1K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 176.9 CAD | -1.2% | 177.6 CAD | 149.5 CAD | -0.43 | -10.25 | 1.3M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 179.1 CAD | 4.8% | 177.0 CAD | 149.3 CAD | -0.10 | -8.75 | 1.3M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 170.9 CAD | -10.4% | 176.6 CAD | 149.1 CAD | 0.27 | -11.59 | 1.6M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 190.8 CAD | 0.9% | 176.5 CAD | 149.0 CAD | 0.71 | -2.37 | 1.3M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.