- The trend backdrop is active with a 37-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
ATD
TOR
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
Latest close
93.30 CAD
2.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 96.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.5%, after a 2.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 48/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
68
out of 100
Latest Close
93.30 CAD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
2.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
2.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
18.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
90.4%
47 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.9x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 39.70% based on similar historical setup states.
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
2.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move 2.3%.
Indicator stack
95/74
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 39.70%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
48/100
24 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 96.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.5%, after a 2.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.9x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.7612-week average 0.56
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership7/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.76Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 2.3% over four weeks, 18.9% over 12 weeks, and 34.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 37 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak37 weeks
Active weeks in one year47
Trend breadth90.4%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.22Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change20.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership6.52Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-7.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Apr 2026
Field coverage 94%
Model confidence 92%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength45/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 56; rank 1 is best.
Value23/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
Quality77/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Momentum67/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 34; rank 1 is best.
Growth68/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework45/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 27.2x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.1x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 13.8x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 3.4% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 18.9% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 6.0% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 4.4% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 11.6% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 5.0% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 25.8% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 24.4% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 7/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.9% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 1.8% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 2.7% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.9x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment48/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 24 relevant articles.
5 positive · 16 neutral · 3 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-0.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.4%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-7.8%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week+2.5%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses12
Sharp losses1
Recent vol4.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.8% / -2.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorCA Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank19 / 50
Group average0.1%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD56.0%positive activity pressure
RS28.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryCA Specialty Retail
4-week rank3 / 7
Group average1.3%
Trend breadth42.9%
Trend42.9%active weekly trend signals
MD71.4%positive activity pressure
RS28.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape69/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 69/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis67/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 7/12.
Activity pressure 0.76; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 39.70%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 39.70% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors52/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 18 SVQF45/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 167.0 of 304 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment48/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 24 relevant articles.
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc. (ATD.TO) Interactive Stock Chart Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 93.30 CAD | 2.5% | 82.03 CAD | 75.57 CAD | 1.22 | 6.52 | 9.0M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 91.01 CAD | 2.5% | 81.41 CAD | 75.41 CAD | 1.30 | 7.37 | 7.6M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 88.82 CAD | -2.4% | 80.89 CAD | 75.23 CAD | 1.28 | 4.37 | 5.8M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 91.01 CAD | -0.2% | 80.39 CAD | 75.08 CAD | 1.34 | 7.12 | 6.3M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 91.19 CAD | 0.0% | 79.82 CAD | 74.92 CAD | 1.01 | 7.07 | 8.6M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 91.17 CAD | -2.2% | 79.18 CAD | 74.75 CAD | 0.69 | 7.27 | 559.9K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 93.21 CAD | 13.4% | 78.61 CAD | 74.57 CAD | 0.34 | 10.57 | 2.1M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 82.18 CAD | -2.3% | 78.03 CAD | 74.40 CAD | -0.06 | -2.36 | 2.6M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 84.12 CAD | 2.1% | 77.68 CAD | 74.27 CAD | -0.30 | -0.19 | 1.3M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 82.41 CAD | 5.8% | 77.20 CAD | 74.13 CAD | -0.60 | -0.97 | 762.1K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 77.89 CAD | -0.9% | 76.73 CAD | 74.01 CAD | -0.63 | -7.58 | 8.9M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 78.58 CAD | 0.2% | 76.49 CAD | 73.93 CAD | -0.56 | -6.29 | 4.2M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 78.46 CAD | -1.0% | 76.34 CAD | 73.84 CAD | -0.47 | -4.94 | 4.1M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 79.23 CAD | -2.3% | 76.21 CAD | 73.75 CAD | -0.35 | -4.92 | 4.6M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.